Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Thursday - December 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-2   SFT (5/2/3/8/1)-(5/2/3/8/1)-(5/2/3/8/1)-(5/2/3/8/1) 120 $0.10 $12.00  8-3-1-5 $15.93 $3.93 33%
PEN-6   EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-4 $12.50 $3.50 39%
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  6-4-2 $23.95 $14.95 166%
    SFT (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 18 $0.10 $1.80  6-4-2-3 $15.48 $13.68 760%
    PK3 (4/5/1/6)-(3/4/7/5)-(6/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4/5-7-6 $30.40 $6.40 27%
PEN-8   PK5 (4/5/1/6)-(3/4/7/5)-(6/3/4)-(1/5/7/2)-(5/6/3) 576 $1.00 $576  4/5-7-6-7-4/5 $681.20 $105.20 18%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   12/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAVA'S LUCKY LADY 6 1 1nk 11   1 1 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 6.00 7.50  
LA MACCHINA ROSSA 7 5 5 4   34 2 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 1.80  
VELVET VIXEN 5 3 3 21   2 3 (vera mi)BRICENO GREGOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.30 S
G'S FIREBALL 1 7 79 7   68 4 (kreiser tim)RAMOS O 120 3.50 18% 4.40 1.90  
ROCK N REWARD 3 6 67 6   58 5 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 57% 0.80 3.10  
HARMONIZING 4 2 4 5   47 66 (mcmahon dem)HAMILTON WESTON 120 8.00 22.40  
SHARED AUTHORITY 2 4 2nk 31   711 713½ (sanchez-)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 43.60  
SCR  PEACE OUT               (meister wil)INIRIO J 121 50.00    
 
PEN-2   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
See original race card.
:221 :454 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINT PELEE 8 1 5 44   5¾ 1½ (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 120 4.50 8% 11.80 1.40 W
NOLO CONTESTO 3 8 6 5   3½ 2½ (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00 15% 5.50 2.40 P
BOSS HOLIDAY 1 5 3 3   4¾ 3 (albright am)INIRIO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 30.30 S
CITIZEN MACK 5 6 7 6   6 4 (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 123 3.00 27% 2.80 2.70  
EDWARD MADDEN 4 4 2½ 2nk   1½ 5 (iannotti thomas)MENA E 121 8.00 17.20  
BARGAINING POWER 7 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 6 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 15.00 20.50  
SHANGHAI SUPERFLY 6 7 8 7   7 7 (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00 44.90  
LARZ 9 2 4 8   813¼ 817 (o'callahan )RAMOS O 121 15.00 90.60  
KHAKI JACK 2 9 915¼ 921¾   928¼ 938¾ (aguirre a)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 26% 2.80 12.10  
 
PEN-3   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAPONARA 1 2 2 21   2nk 11 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 125 3.50 2.00  
11  TOMMY THE TORCH 7 1 1 11   1nk 21 (albright am)INIRIO J 125 4.50 5.40 P
ROCKIN THE PALACE 2 3 32 33   33 3 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 5.00 4.70  
12  CAJUN OCCASION 8 7 63 5   5 4 (boyer jr)FLORES E 125 10.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
DR RAGS 4 5 5 4   46 5 (fields kevin)CORA D 125 10.00 5% 19.00 26.90  
BUCK WILD 5 8 88 6   6 610 (wadams dewigh)TUNON JORDANO 125 50.00 96.60  
A T M AWESOME 3 4 4 7   7 711¼ (harigeorgiou kons)CHIAPPE R 125 30.00 68.80  
DYNAMITE KARMA 6 6 77 815¼   819¼ 829 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 125 2.50 70% 0.40 1.20  
SCR  BEE BY THE SEA               (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 125 6.00    
SCR  BLAZING RED               (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 8.00    
SCR  CHEERS FOR KITTEN               (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 10.00    
SCR  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE               (kravets bruc)VILLEGAS JERRY 125 8.00    
 
PEN-4   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 7:42
See original race card.
:222 :462 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEO'S LEGACY 4 3 2nk 1½   2nk 1nk (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 42% 1.40 1.30 W
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of PURE LEGACY by SIMON PURE)
PANAGIOTIS 6 5 4 3   1nk 2nk (synnefias d)RAMOS O 122 4.50 2.00  
  (by VIOLENCE out of COLBY CAKES by SCAT DADDY)
MY DETROIT CITY 2 4 5 4   33 3 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.50 7.10  
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DEANIES DANCER by LION HEARTED)
GOOD FRIDAY MAN 3 2 6 6   5 45 (harigeorgio)INIRIO J 122 12.00 37.00  
  (by PAT ON THE BACK out of FRIDAY MASS by REDEEMED)
SIR ROB ROY 5 7 7 710¾   68 5 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 122 10.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
  (by COAL FRONT out of ARUBAN TRUTH by YES IT'S TRUE)
AIRMAN TREVOR 7 1 3.2 5   4 6 (gallimore tre)OCASIO M 122 5.00 8.00  
  (by UNIFIED out of BALBINA by LEMON DROP KID)
WILLY WILLY 1 6 1nk 2½   7 715¼ (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50 7% 13.20 5.70  
  (by MO TOWN out of CULLINAN by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  EXPLOSIVE LOVE               (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by VOLATILE out of LAST TRUE LOVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
PEN-5   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TACTICAL HUMOR 7 1 12 12   15 1 (kreiser c)FLORES E 122 3.50 18% 4.50 3.10 W
LUCKY LINUS 4 5 32 22   25 2 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.00 22% 3.50 1.40 P
SUNSHINE JOHNNY 1 3 5 5   4 3 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 5.00 4.70  
UNCLE GEORGY 6 4 22 44   3 4 (meister s)AGUILAR M 123 15.00 59.20  
OUR ETHAN CHARLES 5 6 4 3   5 511¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
JOEY TICKLES 3 2 6 68   613½ 612¾ (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 34% 1.90 4.20  
BRADY 2 7 7 715   720½ 718 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00 34.40  
 
PEN-6   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:22 :454 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POCKET SAND 6 1 1 13   16 17 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 51% 1.00 0.90 W
IRACEBETH 4 6 4 33   26 27 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 8% 12.10 12.00 P
QUERY 2 3 53 5   310 311 (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 2.60 S
MANDY'S MISS 3 7 79 6   410 411¼ (deiter ke)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00 13% 6.60 8.20  
QUIVIRA CRANE 7 5 2 23   510½ 515¼ (kravets bru)RAMOS O 118 4.00 8.90  
SADIE'S GRACE 5 2 32 46   611 619 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 118 12.00 19.70  
ROMANCE BY CHANCE 1 4 63 710¾   718 724½ (hawthorne b)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 8.00 10.20  
 
PEN-7   12/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:09
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:134 1:402   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLEETING EMBER 7 5 11 1 1 17 110¾ (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 21% 3.80 2.50 W
GHEE FOR THE WIN 1 1 44 44 47 38 210¾ (mcmahon dem)HAMILTON WESTON 122 2.50 26% 2.80 1.40 P
INTRO 6 7 8 8 812½ 613 312¼ (moreno tito)INIRIO J 123 8.00 34.50  
MAGGIE K 8 3 32 2 2 27 413 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 8.00 12.80  
CHANNEL LOOP 5 6 77 7 5 512 514 (trombetta)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 26% 2.80 3.60  
STYLE AND PROFILE 4 2 21 3 3 412 616¼ (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00 7.50  
QUEEN CATALINA 3 8 6 66 710½ 716 719¼ (martin f)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00 53.10  
FOREVER FIFI 2 4 5 5 610 816¼ 820 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 123 10.00 7% 14.30 14.00  
 
PEN-8   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:38
See original race card.
:223 :463       1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANSA ARIEL 4 6 1nk 12   1 12 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.00 51% 1.00 1.50 W
PHANCY PHILLY 5 2 44 43   3 22 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 3.00 25% 3.10 1.60 P
BO RUNKLE 6 3 3 22   2 3 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 9.40  
NAMI 3 5 56 5   44 45 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 6.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
TESTED POSITIVE 1 4 69 611½   612 513½ (morzan e)CORA D 121 20.00 43.00  
BETCHA BOOTS BABE 2 1 2nk 3   58 616¼ (johnson m)FLORES E 120 2.50 3.10  
SCR  EARLY FROST               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.