Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - December 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/6)-(5/2/3/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/6)-(5/2/3/8/1)-(9/12/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/2/3/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/8/1)-(5/2/3/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/8/1)-(5/2/3/8/1)-(5/2/3/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/3/8/1)-(9/12/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/8/1)-(9/12/7)-(4/5/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/12/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/12/7)-(9/11/12/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/12/7)-(9/11/12/7)-(9/11/12/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/12/7)-(4/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/12/7)-(4/5/1/6)-(3/4/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/6)-(4/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/6)-(4/5/1/6)-(4/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/6)-(3/4/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/6)-(3/4/7/5)-(6/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/5)-(6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/5)-(6/3/4)-(1/5/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(1/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(1/5/7/2)-(5/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/2)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G'S FIREBALL Dec11 Nov20 Sep27 Sep14 Aug24 (kreiser tim)RAMOS O 120 3.50 18% 4.40    
2  SHARED AUTHORITY Dec06 Nov21 Oct31 Oct04 Aug30 (sanchez-)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROCK N REWARD Oct17 Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 Jul08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 57% 0.80    
4  HARMONIZING Nov15 Oct23 Aug11 Aug04 Jul12 (mcmahon dem)HAMILTON WESTON 120 8.00    
SCR  PEACE OUT Dec04 Nov15 Nov01 Oct24 Oct04 (meister wil)INIRIO J 121 50.00    
6  VELVET VIXEN Dec06 Nov08 Oct11 Sep21 Sep08 (vera mi)BRICENO GREGOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  JAVA'S LUCKY LADY Nov20 Oct28 Aug29 Jul22 May22 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 6.00    
8  LA MACCHINA ROSSA Nov07 Oct11 Sep14 Aug31 Aug22 (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00    
 
PEN-2   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS HOLIDAY Nov01 Oct14 Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 (albright am)INIRIO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  KHAKI JACK Sep25 Aug23 Aug02 Jun27 May24 (aguirre a)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
3  NOLO CONTESTO Dec11 Nov14 Nov01 Oct12 Sep01 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00 15% 5.50    
4  EDWARD MADDEN Nov22 Oct31 Oct11 Aug15 Aug01 (iannotti thomas)MENA E 121 8.00    
5  CITIZEN MACK Nov22 Oct31 Sep20 Aug14 Jul26 (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 123 3.00 27% 2.80    
6  SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Dec03 Nov13 Oct24 Oct11 Oct02 (diaz jorge)CASTILLO A 121 12.00    
7  BARGAINING POWER Nov30 Oct27 Oct18 Sep27 Sep07 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 121 15.00    
8  POINT PELEE Nov29 Oct17 Aug29 Aug16 Jul05 (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 120 4.50 8% 11.80    
9  LARZ Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 Jun11 (o'callahan )RAMOS O 121 15.00    
 
PEN-3   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Nov27 Nov13 Oct24 Aug23 Jul19 (kravets bruc)VILLEGAS JERRY 125 8.00    
2  SAPONARA Nov21 Nov01 Sep21 Sep05 Aug23 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 125 3.50    
SCR  BLAZING RED Nov27 May23 May03 Mar30 Feb23 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 8.00    
4  ROCKIN THE PALACE Nov08 Oct30 Oct17 Sep18 Aug23 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 5.00    
5  A T M AWESOME Nov29 Oct30 Aug23 Aug02 Jul26 (harigeorgiou kons)CHIAPPE R 125 30.00    
SCR  BEE BY THE SEA Nov29 Oct30 Sep17 Aug30 Aug16 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 125 6.00    
7  DR RAGS Nov27 Oct23 Oct10 Sep24 Sep04 (fields kevin)CORA D 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BUCK WILD Nov25 Nov08 Oct29 Oct14 Sep30 (wadams dewight )RODRIGUEZ E 125 50.00    
9  DYNAMITE KARMA Jun19 May17 Mar17 Feb29 Feb02 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 125 2.50 70% 0.40    
SCR  CHEERS FOR KITTEN Nov22 Oct31 Oct10 Sep23 Sep02 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 10.00    
11  TOMMY THE TORCH Nov20 Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 Sep16 (albright am)INIRIO J 125 4.50 ★    
12  CAJUN OCCASION Nov29 Nov08 Aug28 Aug01 May22 (boyer jr)FLORES E 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLY WILLY         (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50 7% 13.20    
  (by MO TOWN out of CULLINAN by GEMOLOGIST)
2  MY DETROIT CITY Nov14 Oct24 Sep10     (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.50    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DEANIES DANCER by LION HEARTED)
3  GOOD FRIDAY MAN Nov22         (harigeorgio)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
  (by PAT ON THE BACK out of FRIDAY MASS by REDEEMED)
4  LEO'S LEGACY Nov25 Nov04 Oct02     (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 42% 1.40    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of PURE LEGACY by SIMON PURE)
SCR  EXPLOSIVE LOVE Nov22 Oct24 Sep19     (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by VOLATILE out of LAST TRUE LOVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  SIR ROB ROY         (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of ARUBAN TRUTH by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  PANAGIOTIS         (synnefias d)RAMOS O 122 4.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of COLBY CAKES by SCAT DADDY)
8  AIRMAN TREVOR Nov29 Nov22 Nov02 Oct14 Oct07 (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 5.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of BALBINA by LEMON DROP KID)
 
PEN-5   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSHINE JOHNNY Dec04 Nov07 Oct16 Sep28 Sep13 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 5.00    
2  BRADY Nov08 Oct25 Aug21 Jun11 May17 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00    
3  JOEY TICKLES Dec04 Nov03 Sep12 Jul12 Jun24 (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  LUCKY LINUS Dec04 Nov15 Oct24 Aug16 Jul25 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
5  OUR ETHAN CHARLES Dec04 Nov15 Sep12 Aug23 Aug01 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNCLE GEORGY Dec04 Nov10 Sep18 Aug16 Jul10 (meister s)AGUILAR M 123 15.00    
7  TACTICAL HUMOR Dec06 Nov15 Oct25 Aug28 Aug16 (kreiser c)FLORES E 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
PEN-6   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMANCE BY CHANCE Dec02 Nov07 Oct09 Sep21 Aug17 (hawthorne b)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 8.00    
2  QUERY Nov27 Nov14 Oct23     (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 ★    
3  MANDY'S MISS Nov27 Oct03       (deiter ke)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00 13% 6.60    
4  IRACEBETH Nov27 Oct23       (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 8% 12.10    
5  SADIE'S GRACE Nov07 Oct09 Sep09 Aug07   (mcclellan c)FLORES E 118 12.00    
6  POCKET SAND Nov14         (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
7  QUIVIRA CRANE Nov27 Sep28       (kravets bru)RAMOS O 118 4.00    
 
PEN-7   12/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHEE FOR THE WIN Nov02 Sep28 Aug30 Jun27 Jun08 (mcmahon dem)HAMILTON WESTON 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  FOREVER FIFI Dec06 Nov20 Dec06 Nov08 Oct25 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 123 10.00 7% 14.30    
3  QUEEN CATALINA Nov29 Oct22 Oct12 Sep08 Sep01 (martin f)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00    
4  STYLE AND PROFILE Oct25 Sep22 Aug16 Jul20 Jun06 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
5  CHANNEL LOOP Nov02 Sep28 Aug24 Aug04 Jun22 (trombetta)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
6  INTRO Oct03 Aug23 Jul18 Jun13 May23 (moreno tito)INIRIO J 123 8.00    
7  FLEETING EMBER Dec06 Nov07 Sep19 Aug21 Jun27 (kreiser tim)RAMOS O 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
8  MAGGIE K Nov20 Nov06 Oct01 Sep07 Jun13 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 8.00    
 
PEN-8   12/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TESTED POSITIVE Dec09 Nov08 Oct23 Oct09 Oct02 (morzan e)CASTILLO A 121 20.00    
2  BETCHA BOOTS BABE Nov29 Nov14 Nov08 Oct04 Aug22 (johnson m)FLORES E 120 2.50    
3  NAMI Nov29 Nov08 Oct17 Oct05 Sep19 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EARLY FROST Nov13 Oct23 Sep29 Aug28 Mar14 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00    
5  SANSA ARIEL Nov20 Oct31 Oct15 Sep30 Sep08 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.00 51% 1.00    
6  PHANCY PHILLY Nov20 Oct23 Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 3.00 25% 3.10    
7  BO RUNKLE Nov29 Nov14 Oct23 Oct05 Aug30 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.