Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Thursday - November 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-4   TRI (3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-1-4 $18.40 $6.40 53%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   11/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  POCKET SAND 2 2 21½ 21½   22 1nk (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 1.10  
  (by ECHO TOWN out of TALL TIMBERCOWGIRL by PRIME TIMBER)
3  TUDOX DAHLIA 3 1 11½ 11½   12 2nk (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.50 44% 1.30 2.50 P
  (by WEIGELIA out of DISTINCT SPARKLE by WITH DISTINCTION)
5  QUALIFIED HIRE 5 6 610½ 610½   59½ 35 (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 121 4.00 6.90  
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of GWENDOLYN by LION HEARTED)
1  QUERCUS 1 3 32½ 35½   36 47½ (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00 32% 2.10 4.00  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of BELLFLOWER by CHEROKEE RUN)
6  AVRIL 6 4 56½ 48½   49 515¼ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 29.00  
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of SWEET EIRE by TRUST N LUCK)
4  GOLDEN STYLE 4 5 45½ 59½   611 620½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 4.00 9.20  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
PEN-2   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:123 1:254   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  UNCLE CAESAR 2 1 21 31½ 22 21 1nk (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.50 2.00  
5  SOCIALLY AWKWARD 4 2 11 11½ 12 11 2nk (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 30% 2.40 0.50 P
6  ZAMBONI WARRIOR 5 5 32½ 21½ 33 310 318¾ (albright r)CORA D 121 8.00 5% 19.00 14.50 S
4  SASSE'S CLASS 3 4 57 47½ 49 411 421 (milosevic mil)TUNON JORDANO 118 5.00 20.20  
2  DIZZY KITTY 1 3 44 59½ 513 526 544½ (rogers ro)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50 48% 1.10 8.50  
SCR  SIREN               (albright am)INIRIO J 118 12.00    
 
PEN-3   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:13
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:151 1:283   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  URBAN DANCER 2 6 11 11½ 14 11½ 13½ (machado antonio)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 2.30  
3  BLAME THE WARRIOR 3 1 45 46½ 46½ 21½ 23½ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 59% 0.70 1.60 P
5  AZTECA STARDUST 5 5 33 33½ 35½ 43½ 313½ (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 10% 9.40 3.60 S
6  RED BETTY 6 2 56 68 58½ 54½ 414¾ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
1  DIXIE MUSIC 1 7 67½ 57½ 78¾ 32½ 515¾ (bravo-estrada)RIVERA D 125 4.00 8.00  
7  ENSUING GRACE 7 3 78½ 78 68½ 66½ 621 (harigeorgiou kons)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 37.00  
4  HEAVENLY LADY 4 4 21 21½ 24 712½ 733¾ (kravets bru)ROBLES O 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
 
PEN-4   11/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 7:42
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  QUERY 3 1 12 12   12 11¾ (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 49% 1.00 1.10 W
  (by GREAT NOTION out of BLACK COCO by CAPE TOWN)
1  WICKLOW POOKA 1 3 22 22   22 21¾ (stites w)CORA D 121 2.50 21% 3.80 2.90 P
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of MELLYUMPKIN by TALENT SEARCH)
4  POOR MANS LADY 4 2 56 68   67½ 35½ (gorham michael )MENA E 121 12.00 5% 19.00 10.40 S
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of DATTS OUR KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  EDGE OF THE BLADE 7 6 66¼ 56   56½ 45¾ (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00 4.70  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SARATOGA MOON by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  FIFTY NINE FIFTY 6 7 35 34   33 57½ (kravets bru)ROBLES O 121 15.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
  (by ROWAYTON out of OVIDIENNE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  QUEEN KHALEESI 5 4 77¾ 79   79½ 612¼ (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00 7.00  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of FLOWER STALL by PETIONVILLE)
2  RAVEN DANCE 2 5 46 44½   46 714 (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 121 5.00 16.30  
  (by HOLY BOSS out of BEKKI'S DANCE by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
 
PEN-5   11/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:11
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BO RUNKLE 5 6 67 35   22 11¼ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 123 10.00 7.10  
2  RAPID RUBY 2 2 12 13   12 21¼ (pecoraro an)ROBLES O 111 1.50 37% 1.70 0.60 P
1  SOMETHING SILLY 1 4 44 58½   44 34¾ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 13.10 S
3  DOWSER 3 1 55 45½   34 46¾ (rideout ronald)CORA D 121 6.00 30% 2.40 18.10  
4  LADY LANCER 4 5 33 69½   67¼ 58 (sepulveda carl)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00 7.80  
6  TAPESTRY COLORS 6 3 22 23   54¼ 614¼ (crook-demasi)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 2.00 3.40  
 
PEN-6   11/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:134 1:404   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BERMONDSEY 4 4 3½ 31 3.2 2nk 1¼ (nunley randy)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 14% 6.00 1.80 W
3  TWIXTER 3 2 1½ 11 1nk 3.2 2¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 6.00 12.60  
7  SIR SAHIB 7 7 65¾ 52¾ 4¼ 41¼ 33¼ (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 125 2.50 14% 6.10 2.20 S
1  LAKE NAKURU 1 6 55¾ 42½ 5½ 1nk 45½ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 6.70  
5  SPOOKY ONE 5 1 2½ 21 2nk 52¾ 510 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 123 6.00 11.40  
6  WAHEEL 6 3 76¾ 74¾ 79½ 67¾ 616¼ (o'callahan ca)TUNON JORDANO 123 4.00 42% 1.40 7.90  
2  SENSIBLE JIM 2 5 4¾ 63¾ 68½ 715¾ 729½ (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
 
PEN-7   11/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 9:09
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PREACH IT WARRIOR 5 4 53 3.2   21½ 1¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 5.10  
4  MY DETROIT CITY 4 3 2½ 1nk   11½ 2¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.50 3.90  
1  ENGLISH DADDY 1 2 42 54¾   56 35¼ (pecoraro anthony)CHIAPPE R 121 2.00 68% 0.50 0.90 S
3  SIRCHARLYBROWN 3 5 31½ 41¾   45 45½ (coletti edwa)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
2  COMPLEX CAT 2 1 1½ 2nk   34½ 511 (hetrick krista)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.50 7.80  
SCR  COVE BAY BOY               (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 12.00    
SCR  GOOD FRIDAY MAN               (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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