Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - November 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(2/5/6)-(3/5/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(3/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(3/5/6/4)-(3/1/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4)-(3/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/4)-(3/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/4)-(3/1/4/6)-(2/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/6)-(2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/6)-(2/3/1)-(6/4/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(6/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(6/4/7/2)-(1/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/2)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUERCUS Oct23         (kravets bruce )HIRALDO JOHN 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of BELLFLOWER by CHEROKEE RUN)
2  POCKET SAND         (kreiser t)VARGAS L 121 3.50    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of TALL TIMBERCOWGIRL by PRIME TIMBER)
3  TUDOX DAHLIA Sep21 Sep01       (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by WEIGELIA out of DISTINCT SPARKLE by WITH DISTINCTION)
4  GOLDEN STYLE         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 4.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
5  QUALIFIED HIRE         (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 121 4.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of GWENDOLYN by LION HEARTED)
6  AVRIL Oct23         (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of SWEET EIRE by TRUST N LUCK)
 
PEN-2   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIREN Oct31 Sep25 Aug28 Aug21 Aug02 (albright am)INIRIO J 118 12.00    
2  DIZZY KITTY Oct21 Oct03 Sep16 Aug14 Jul22 (rogers ro)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  UNCLE CAESAR Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Aug13 Jan27 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.50    
4  SASSE'S CLASS Oct16 Aug28 Aug16 Jul10 Jun12 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 5.00    
5  SOCIALLY AWKWARD Oct25 Sep18 Dec27 Dec07 Nov10 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
6  ZAMBONI WARRIOR Oct24 Oct03 Sep18 Aug29 Jul17 (albright r)CORA D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE MUSIC Nov05 Oct23 Sep30 Sep11 Aug21 (bravo-estrada)RIVERA D 125 4.00    
2  URBAN DANCER Oct25 Sep28 Sep01 Jun23   (machado antonio)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50    
3  BLAME THE WARRIOR Oct02 Aug29 Aug13 Jul15 Jul04 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
4  HEAVENLY LADY Oct23 Oct10       (kravets bruce )HIRALDO JOHN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  AZTECA STARDUST Oct24 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul06 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 10% 9.40    
6  RED BETTY Oct23 Oct08 Aug15 Jul24 Jul17 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ENSUING GRACE Aug29 Aug14 Jul26 Jul17 Jun13 (harigeorgiou kons)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
 
PEN-4   11/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKLOW POOKA         (stites w)CORA D 121 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of MELLYUMPKIN by TALENT SEARCH)
2  RAVEN DANCE Oct26 Oct04       (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 121 5.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of BEKKI'S DANCE by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
3  QUERY Oct23         (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of BLACK COCO by CAPE TOWN)
4  POOR MANS LADY         (gorham michael )MENA E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of DATTS OUR KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  QUEEN KHALEESI         (kravets bruce )CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of FLOWER STALL by PETIONVILLE)
6  FIFTY NINE FIFTY Oct23         (kravets bruce )HIRALDO JOHN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROWAYTON out of OVIDIENNE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  EDGE OF THE BLADE         (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SARATOGA MOON by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
PEN-5   11/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMETHING SILLY Oct07 Sep19 Aug07 Jul24 Jul11 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  RAPID RUBY Oct23 Oct02 Aug24 Jun15 Apr24 (pecoraro an)ROBLES O 111 1.50 37% 1.70    
3  DOWSER Nov01 Aug21 Aug07 Mar13 Mar06 (rideout ronald)CORA D 121 6.00 30% 2.40    
4  LADY LANCER Oct05 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Jul31 (sepulveda carl)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00    
5  BO RUNKLE Oct23 Oct05 Aug30 Aug21 Sep07 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 123 10.00    
6  TAPESTRY COLORS Oct18 Sep28 Aug22 Jul24 Jul11 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00    
 
PEN-6   11/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKE NAKURU Oct30 Sep20 Aug23 Aug08 Jul25 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00    
2  SENSIBLE JIM Oct29 Sep30 Sep11 Aug03 Jul01 (perez ru)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  TWIXTER Oct25 Oct07 Sep11 Aug31 Aug23 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 6.00    
4  BERMONDSEY Oct23 Sep11 Aug16 Jul05 Jun20 (nunley randy)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00 14% 6.00    
5  SPOOKY ONE Nov01 Aug21 Aug12 Jul24 Jul03 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 123 6.00    
6  WAHEEL Oct30 Sep24 Sep16 Aug26 Jul31 (o'callahan )RAMOS O 123 4.00 42% 1.40    
7  SIR SAHIB Oct30 Sep16 Aug26 Aug02 Jul18 (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 125 2.50 14% 6.10    
 
PEN-7   11/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH DADDY Oct25 Oct03 Sep14     (pecoraro )HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 68% 0.50    
2  COMPLEX CAT Oct17 Oct01 Sep18 Aug29 Jul17 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 121 4.50    
3  SIRCHARLYBROWN         (coletti edwa)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY DETROIT CITY Oct24 Sep10       (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.50    
SCR  GOOD FRIDAY MAN         (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  PREACH IT WARRIOR Oct01 Aug27 Aug05     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00    
SCR  COVE BAY BOY Oct24         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.