Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.00 $2.00 33%
PID-3   DD (2/4/3)-(6/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-4 $20.80 $2.80 16%
PID-6   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $21.80 $15.80 263%
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-3 $99.60 $87.60 730%
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-3-2 $807.80 $795.80 6632%
    DD (2/1)-(3/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-6 $36.00 $24.00 200%
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(2/1)-(3/6/2) 18 $2.00 $36.00  1-2/6-6 $147.20 $111.20 309%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NEEDED 6 1 32½ 31   1nk 11¾ (gilmarti)RODRIGUEZ O 121 2.50 2.10  
1  DOMINANT STRANGER 1 5 43 42   42 21¾ (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 16% 5.30 2.40 P
4  JULIETTE FALLS 4 6 65½ 63¼   53½ 33¼ (stokes lance)ALLEN D 122 12.00 27.00  
2  WHATS GOIN ON 2 4 21½ 2nk   3½ 43¼ (gotera car)BAYS BROOKE 115 4.50 21% 3.80 4.10  
3  KEEP IN TOUCH 3 3 11½ 1nk   2nk 54¼ (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 3.50 25% 3.00 6.40  
5  LAST GLIMMER 5 7 77 75¼   75 64½ (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
7  ROUNDBBALL 7 2 54½ 53   64½ 713½ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 4.70  
 
PID-2   10/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:13 1:374   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DIZZY KITTY 2 1 2½ 21 1nk 11½ 1¼ (rogers r)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 43% 1.30 3.00 W
6  FAMOUS FINAL SCENE 6 6 64 64½ 63½ 32 2¼ (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 10.00 12.00  
5  CANDY CORN 5 3 31 32½ 31½ 21½ 31¼ (stidham )GALLARDO A 119 4.50 5.10  
4  SECRET TREASURE 4 2 52½ 54 42½ 53½ 45¾ (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 37% 1.70 1.20  
1  CONSPIRACTHERAPIST 1 4 1½ 11 2nk 42 58½ (matejka pavel)MARTINEZ W 119 3.50 3.40  
3  WITHIN VIEW 3 5 41½ 42½ 53 64 6100 (sells rach)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
 
PID-3   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HECTOR 4 5 3½ 31   3.2 1¼ (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 1.80 19% 4.30 1.40 W
1  JOHN DUTTON 1 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00 7.60  
5  WOW WHATA PARTY 5 6 63¾ 63   51¾ 3½ (lawrence l)MARTINEZ W 119 5.00 3.60  
2  DECLARATION TIME 2 3 52¼ 41½   4¾ 42¼ (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 5.80  
3  LEONARD'S LEGACY 3 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 55¼ (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
6  FACE DOWN 6 2 4¾ 52   62¾ 66¼ (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 44% 1.30 3.60  
 
PID-4   10/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:123 1:371   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALENTINE BUG 1 6 64 63¼ 52¼ 1½ 12¼ (herringt)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 36% 1.80 0.90 W
2  RECYCLE 2 4 32½ 52¼ 42 31½ 22¼ (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00 8.90  
3  MAJOR THOMAS 3 5 53½ 32 31 41½ 32½ (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 21% 3.80 2.90 S
4  MORNING MARCH 4 3 11½ 11 11 2½ 43¼ (gordon-watson)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
5  HOLY MOLY MOSES 5 2 21½ 21 21 53 55½ (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 4.00  
6  MAX BARLEY 6 1 42½ 42 63¼ 66½ 612½ (zalalas )MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 11.80  
 
PID-5   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Mark McDermott Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:222 :453 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  THE BOY'S WARRIOR 2 3 1½ 1½   12½ 14 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 1.20 62% 0.60 0.40 W
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of INCIARTE by BROKEN VOW)
4  BALLAD OF WARRIOR 4 1 31½ 41½   22½ 24 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 ★ 9.10 P
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SONG MEMORY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  MISSION FIRST 5 4 2½ 2½   34 38¾ (hawthorne bobb)TORRES JOMAR 118 4.50 4.60  
  (by ARMY MULE out of PROPERO by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  SHADOW FACTOR 3 5 51¾ 31½   45 49¾ (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.50 5.50  
  (by THE FACTOR out of AMY FARAH FOWLER by ASTROLOGY)
1  DRUNKLE 1 2 41½ 52   55 512½ (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ROCK SAPPHIRE by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  DANCING ON AIR               (uhacz wendy)MARTINEZ W 116 8.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of BOTTLE DANCE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
 
PID-6   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:222 :454 :572     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRINCESS RUNAWAY 5 2 11½ 11   11 11½ (crook-de)RODRIGUEZ O 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90 W
3  FORGOTTEN PEACE 3 4 42½ 31   31 21½ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 1.60 72% 0.40 1.70 P
2  MITOLE MAGIC 2 3 21½ 41½   21 31¾ (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 112 12.00 5% 19.00 32.20 S
1  TRIPLE R RATED 1 6 53½ 52   62¾ 42¾ (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 4.00 5.60  
5  HEAVEN RULES 4 5 63¾ 64   41½ 53 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.00 2.10  
7  TIME FOR AN ANGEL 6 1 31½ 21   52½ 65½ (bourke w)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 2.80  
SCR  CALVARY KAT               (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
 
PID-7   10/21/2024 7920ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:263 :50 1:15 1:413 2:063 2:311   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR MAN MIKE 1 75½ 613¼ 74½ 62¾ 1nk 11¼ (ferraro mich)ALENCAR WALBER 124 2.50 2.90  
3  TEMPUS 2 86½ 815¼ 63½ 52½ 2nk 21¼ (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 7.40  
11  CATATUMBO 7 42 35 31½ 31½ 3.2 31¼ (barron rory)ALLEN M 122 6.00 18.20  
10  COMEDIC TIMING 6 32 49½ 53 42½ 4¾ 41½ (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 33% 2.10 1.80  
5  STARSHIP EMPIRE 4 53½ 59¾ 41½ 2½ 63¼ 57¼ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 30% 2.40 4.20  
4  RUNAWAY HARRY 3 11 1nk 11 1½ 52¼ 612 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 10.00 15% 5.80 5.30  
7  FOUNDER 5 65 714¼ 86 87¼ 77¼ 716½ (valdez moises)BAYS BROOKE 115 20.00 5% 19.00 57.60  
12  FLAWLESS BOURBON 8 21 2nk 21 75¾ 815¼ 832¼ (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 5.00 14.70  
SCR  BEOWULF (IRE)               (garner t)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
SCR  JEN'S SONG               (depasquale k)AYALA J 122 15.00    
SCR  KHOZANDO               (rice kevin)LOPEZ DERECK 115 20.00    
SCR  RECONVENE               (lawrence jame)MORALES PABLO 122 15.00    
 
PID-8   10/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:14 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARAK 1 1 1½ 11 11 12 11¾ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 124 4.50 ★ 1.90  
3  GREY CHARMER 3 2 53 53 52½ 32½ 21¾ (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 124 3.50 13% 6.60 3.50 P
2  THALBERG 2 6 42½ 42 41½ 22 32 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 2.50 59% 0.70 2.40 S
8  RICHARD HOOTY 7 9 96½ 96¼ 95¼ 97¼ 46¾ (kintz matthew)BAYS BROOKE 115 12.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
6  J P CORNETTA 5 3 2½ 21 21 43½ 56¾ (valdez moises)LOPEZ DERECK 115 30.00 69.20  
7  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA 6 4 64 73¼ 62¾ 55 67 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
10  DELTA RIDGE 9 8 85 63¼ 72¾ 85¾ 77 (rice kevin)WALKER M 122 12.00 26.00  
4  YADI 4 7 74½ 84¼ 84¾ 65 87½ (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 9.80  
9  GIANT PAYDAY 8 5 32 32 31 75½ 98¾ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00 26.30  
SCR  EL SOLITARIO               (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 20.00    
SCR  TONY SMALL               (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.