Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (3/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/5)-(2/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/5)-(2/4/3)-(6/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(6/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(1/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(1/3/4)-(2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(2/1)-(3/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(3/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(3/6/2)-(10/5/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-6   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(10/5/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(10/5/4/7)-(2/3/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (10/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/4/7)-(10/5/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (10/5/4/7)-(10/5/4/7)-(10/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/5/4/7)-(2/3/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/8)-(2/3/1/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/8)-(2/3/1/7/8)-(2/3/1/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINANT STRANGER Oct10 Sep30 Sep16 Jul29 Jun26 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
2  WHATS GOIN ON Oct10 Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Jul24 (gotera car)BAYS BROOKE 115 4.50 21% 3.80    
3  KEEP IN TOUCH Oct01 Sep20 Sep01 Aug24 Aug04 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
4  JULIETTE FALLS Aug28 Aug13 Jul10 Jun11 May22 (stokes lance)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
5  LAST GLIMMER Oct17 Oct01 Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  NEEDED Oct01 Sep18 Aug21 Aug12 Jul11 (gilmarti)RODRIGUEZ O 121 2.50    
7  ROUNDBBALL Sep02 Jul24 Jul09 Dec23 Dec02 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
 
PID-2   10/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSPIRACTHERAPIST Oct02 Sep01 Jul13 May30   (matejka pavel)MARTINEZ W 119 3.50    
2  DIZZY KITTY Oct03 Sep16 Aug14 Jul22 Jul02 (rogers r)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  WITHIN VIEW Oct02 Sep21 Aug11 Jul25 Jul05 (sells rach)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SECRET TREASURE Oct08 Sep03 Aug20 Jul31 Jul15 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
5  CANDY CORN Oct12 Jun13 Oct23 Sep07 Jul27 (stidham )GALLARDO A 119 4.50    
6  FAMOUS FINAL SCENE Oct08 Sep09 Aug20 Jul31 Apr20 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 10.00    
 
PID-3   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN DUTTON Oct08 Sep25 Sep09 Aug13 Jul03 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
2  DECLARATION TIME Sep07 Aug15 Jul05 Jun13 Oct21 (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 122 2.50    
3  LEONARD'S LEGACY Sep30 Sep09 Aug27 Jul22 Jul03 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HECTOR Sep30 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul02 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 1.80 19% 4.30    
5  WOW WHATA PARTY Sep30 Sep06 Jul26 Jun25 Jun06 (lawrence l)MARTINEZ W 119 5.00    
6  FACE DOWN Oct08 Sep18 Sep09 Aug05 Jul16 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
PID-4   10/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALENTINE BUG Oct14 Oct03 Aug26 Aug06 Jul01 (herringt)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  RECYCLE Oct14 Oct03 Sep25 Aug26 Aug06 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00    
3  MAJOR THOMAS Sep25 Aug30 Jul04 Jun11 May24 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  MORNING MARCH Sep25 Sep02 Aug22 Jul26 Jul10 (gordon-watson)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOLY MOLY MOSES Sep02 Jul10 Jun17 Nov30 Oct26 (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
6  MAX BARLEY Aug30 Jun24 May31 May09 Apr09 (zalalas )MARTINEZ A 119 2.50    
 
PID-5   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Mark McDermott Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRUNKLE Oct07 Sep20 Aug28 Aug12 Jul09 (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ROCK SAPPHIRE by ROCK HARD TEN)
2  THE BOY'S WARRIOR Sep21 Aug28       (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 1.20 62% 0.60    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of INCIARTE by BROKEN VOW)
3  SHADOW FACTOR Sep20 Jul19 Jun05     (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of AMY FARAH FOWLER by ASTROLOGY)
4  BALLAD OF WARRIOR Oct07 Sep20 Jul24     (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 ★    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SONG MEMORY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  MISSION FIRST Jul06 Jun02       (hawthorne bobb)TORRES JOMAR 118 4.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of PROPERO by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  DANCING ON AIR Jul09 Jun19 Jun05     (uhacz wendy)MARTINEZ W 116 8.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of BOTTLE DANCE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
 
PID-6   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE R RATED Aug20 Jul29 Jul04 May27 Oct18 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 4.00    
2  MITOLE MAGIC Sep16 Jul30 Jun17 May27 Mar30 (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  FORGOTTEN PEACE Oct03 Sep09 Jul30 Jul04 May29 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 1.60 72% 0.40    
SCR  CALVARY KAT Oct07 Sep09 Aug20 Oct24 Sep18 (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
5  HEAVEN RULES Oct18 Sep20 Aug28 Aug15 Jul31 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.00    
6  PRINCESS RUNAWAY Sep03 Aug14 Jun24 Aug21 Aug10 (crook-de)RODRIGUEZ O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  TIME FOR AN ANGEL Oct03 Jul16 Jun25 Jun06 May04 (bourke w)GALLARDO A 122 4.50    
 
PID-7   10/21/2024 7920ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR MAN MIKE Sep24 Sep10 Jul23 Jun26 Nov20 (ferraro mich)ALENCAR WALBER 124 2.50    
SCR  KHOZANDO Sep18 Sep03 Aug28 Aug19 Jul22 (rice kevin)LOPEZ DERECK 115 20.00    
3  TEMPUS Oct09 Sep20 Sep02 Aug14 Jul30 (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
4  RUNAWAY HARRY Sep20 Aug06 Jul27 Jun19 May21 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 10.00 15% 5.80    
5  STARSHIP EMPIRE Sep20 Aug27 Aug06 Jul17 Jul02 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  JEN'S SONG Oct10 Sep30 Aug28 Jul23 Jul02 (depasquale k)AYALA J 122 15.00    
7  FOUNDER Oct04 Sep20 Aug06 Jul03 May27 (valdez moises)BAYS BROOKE 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RECONVENE Oct10 Oct04 Sep06 Aug01 Jul11 (lawrence jame)MORALES PABLO 122 15.00    
SCR  BEOWULF (IRE) Sep05 Nov12 Oct25 Aug25 Jun10 (garner t)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
10  COMEDIC TIMING Oct03 Sep10 Aug22 Aug01 Jul07 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
11  CATATUMBO Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Aug21 Aug12 (barron rory)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
12  FLAWLESS BOURBON Sep20 Aug14 Jul30 Jul02 Jun12 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 5.00    
 
PID-8   10/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARAK Oct01 Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 Aug06 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 4.50 ★    
2  THALBERG Oct03 Sep17 Aug28 Aug12 Jul30 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
3  GREY CHARMER Oct01 Sep24 Sep16 Aug20 Jul30 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
4  YADI Oct08 Sep17 Aug28 Aug19 Aug12 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
SCR  EL SOLITARIO Oct01 Sep17 Aug21 Aug06 Jul22 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 20.00    
6  J P CORNETTA Oct14 Sep24 Aug26 Aug14 Jul30 (valdez moises)LOPEZ DERECK 115 30.00    
7  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Oct08 Sep11 Sep02 Aug14 Jul22 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  RICHARD HOOTY Oct03 Sep17 Aug28 Aug12 Jul23 (kintz matthew)BAYS BROOKE 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  GIANT PAYDAY Oct01 Sep17 Sep10 Aug21 Aug06 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
10  DELTA RIDGE Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 Aug07 Jul22 (rice kevin)WALKER M 122 12.00    
SCR  TONY SMALL Sep23 Sep11 Aug21 Aug13 Jul23 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.