Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charleston
Sunday - November 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CHA-1   11/12/2023 10890ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROPHETS VOICE (IRE) 5 22 11 1nk 2nk 13 16 (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 152   5% 19.00   W
SECRET SOULMATE 2 55 42 3.2 1nk 23 26 (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 148   26% 2.80   P
CARLOUN (IRE) 3 12 21 2nk 33 35 3 (brion keri)BOUCHER MELL 147      
D'ARPINO B C 4 44 5 4 46 415 427¾ (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 140      
BEOWULF (IRE) 1 3 31 5 58 535 5100 (dowling willi)GARNER THOMAS 156   51% 1.00    
SCR  FINDING FREEDOM               (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 148      
 
CHA-2   11/12/2023 10890ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTPERFORM 2 12 12 11 11 2nk 1½ (valentine r)GALLIGAN GERARD 150   25% 2.90   W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TERRIFIC TREASURE by STREET CRY)
IN EFFECT 1 22 22 21 21 1nk 2½ (morris neil )WATTERS GRAHAM 154      
  (by DIALED IN out of MISTY AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
SNOW GEESE 4 37 4 42 4 31 3¾ (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 142   25% 2.90   S
  (by TOURIST out of CAT FEATHERS by CATIENUS)
MR JEFFERSON 3 4 3 32 3 45 4 (morris nei)BESWICK HARRISON 150      
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CLOCKSTRUCKTWELVE by MALIBU MOON)
 
CHA-3   11/12/2023 12540ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEISMIC WAVE 2 510½ 67 5 4 2½ 1¼ (morris neil )WATTERS GRAHAM 157   58% 0.70   W
OSCAR WINNER 5 24 23 22 1½ 1½ 2¼ (young leslie )TIERNEY CONOR 146   10% 8.90   P
DURRAGH (IRE) 4 610½ 7 7 5 510½ 3 (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 155      
NEW APPOINTMENT (IRE) 3 711 4 32 3 3 4 (brion keri)BOUCHER MELL 147   7% 12.60    
BOURBON DIVERSION 7 14 13 12 2½ 4 523 (kingsley arch)GARNER THOMAS 158      
MARSHELLA (IRE) 6 39 36 45 66 620½ 643½ (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 150      
MET IN MIAMI 1 410 5 6 713 730½ 7100 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 158      
 
CHA-4   11/12/2023 10890ft TURF RC11 GOOD Alston Cup Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING RIDGE 1 17 12 14 15 112 121 (brion keri)WATTERS GRAHAM 151   20% 4.00   W
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of FAREENA by POINT GIVEN)
CLIFTON DOWN (IRE) 3 310 3 37 35 212 221 (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 148      
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of STAR OF BRISTOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
KYOGO (IRE) 2 27 22 24 25 315 327½ (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 154      
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
GET KHOZY 4 414 47 415 417 430 447½ (hendriks r)SCULLY ELIZABETH 148   20% 4.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of TOP SHEET by LONE STAR BAR)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.