Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charleston
Sunday - November 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CHA-1   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
CHA-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
CHA-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
CHA-4   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
CHA-5   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CHA-1   11/12/2023 10890ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEOWULF (IRE) Oct25 Aug25 Jun10 Nov13 Oct15 (dowling willi)GARNER THOMAS 156   51% 1.00    
2  SECRET SOULMATE Aug25 Sep21 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 148   26% 2.80    
3  CARLOUN (IRE) Oct28 Oct12 Sep18 Aug24 Oct15 (brion keri)BOUCHER MELL 147      
4  D'ARPINO B C Nov04 Sep02 Aug12 Jul07 Nov11 (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 140      
SCR  FINDING FREEDOM Jul14 Mar25 Oct21 Sep17 Aug06 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 148      
6  PROPHETS VOICE (IRE) Oct11 Sep21 Aug09 Aug02 Jul15 (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 152   5% 19.00    
 
CHA-2   11/12/2023 10890ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN EFFECT Oct10 Jul21 Jul08 Oct21 Oct16 (morris neil )WATTERS GRAHAM 154      
  (by DIALED IN out of MISTY AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
2  OUTPERFORM Mar09 Jan29 Dec17 Oct15 Sep02 (valentine r)GALLIGAN GERARD 150   25% 2.90    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TERRIFIC TREASURE by STREET CRY)
3  MR JEFFERSON May27 Apr13 Mar12 Jan14 Dec18 (morris nei)BESWICK HARRISON 150      
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CLOCKSTRUCKTWELVE by MALIBU MOON)
4  SNOW GEESE         (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 142   25% 2.90    
  (by TOURIST out of CAT FEATHERS by CATIENUS)
 
CHA-3   11/12/2023 12540ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MET IN MIAMI Sep08 Aug11 Oct29 Oct02 Jul28 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 158      
2  SEISMIC WAVE Sep08 Aug11 Jul21 Mar25 Nov13 (morris neil )WATTERS GRAHAM 157   58% 0.70    
3  NEW APPOINTMENT (IRE) Sep08 Aug11 May13 Nov05 Oct02 (brion keri)BOUCHER MELL 147   7% 12.60    
4  DURRAGH (IRE) Aug11 Jul21 May13     (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 155      
5  OSCAR WINNER Sep08 Aug11 May13 Apr28 Mar30 (young leslie )TIERNEY CONOR 146   10% 8.90    
6  MARSHELLA (IRE)         (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 150      
7  BOURBON DIVERSION Sep08 Aug18 Jul14 Jun23 Nov12 (kingsley arch)GARNER THOMAS 158      
 
CHA-4   11/12/2023 10890ft TURF RC11 GOOD Alston Cup Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTNING RIDGE Aug26 Aug18 Jul21 Jun21 May26 (brion keri)WATTERS GRAHAM 151   20% 4.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of FAREENA by POINT GIVEN)
2  KYOGO (IRE)         (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 154      
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  CLIFTON DOWN (IRE)         (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 148      
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of STAR OF BRISTOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  GET KHOZY Aug12 Jun02 Apr06 Mar09 Feb17 (hendriks r)SCULLY ELIZABETH 148   20% 4.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of TOP SHEET by LONE STAR BAR)
 
CHA-5   11/12/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse   3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON STRAIT Aug25 Aug10 Sep07     (kingsley archi)BOUCHER MELL 140      
2  FINGAL Nov03 Oct12 Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 (kingsley ar)KINGSLEY TAYLOR 150      
3  LORD DONEGAL Apr13 Mar04 Oct18 Aug18   (morris nei)BESWICK HARRISON 150   45% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.