Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Pine Mountain
Saturday - November 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PMT-1   11/04/2023 18480ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25K) 5UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
62:36         62:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COURT RULER (IRE) 2 12 12 12 13 13 16¼ (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 165   55% 0.80   W
3  STORM TEAM 3 22 22 22 23 23 26¼ (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 165   23% 3.40   P
4  MERCOEUR (FR) 4 314 316 39 311 315 328¾ (morris r)DOYLE RICKY 165      
1  RAKHAA (GB) 1 419 426 4100 4100 4100 4100 (morris nei)SCULLY ELIZABETH 155      
 
PMT-2   11/04/2023 12540ft TURF RC11 FIRM Collie Jennings Mullin Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
40:402         40:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ANIMAL KINGSTON 2 49 47 310 31½ 2nk 1nk (morris r)DOYLE RICKY 156      
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of PRIVATE DINING by ROYAL ACADEMY)
3  FOR THE PARISH (IRE) 3 39 23 26 2½ 1nk 2nk (young leslie )TIERNEY CONOR 152      
  (by MALINAS out of SHERIKA by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
4  GO POKE THE BEAR 4 18 13 16 1½ 3½ 31¾ (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 155   51% 1.00   S
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MEMORIES MADE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
1  PRESENCE OF MIND (IRE) 1 28 36 4100 4100 4100 4100 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 158   21% 3.70    
  (by PRESENTING out of ALLEYGROVE LASS by ALDERBROOK)
 
PMT-3   11/04/2023 12540ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
4:194         4:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FOXY WALK (IRE) 3 21 27 13 13 110 117¾ (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 150      
  (by WALK IN THE PARK out of CUTEASAFOX by VINNIE ROE)
2  MACHEEDA (IRE) 2 35 39½ 33 310 318 217¾ (neilson kathy)TIERNEY CONOR 149   5% 19.00   P
  (by OL' MAN RIVER out of STEPHOUSE by BIENAMADO)
1  RIPTIDE ROCK 1 45 412 46½ 412 420 321 (morris neil )WATTERS GRAHAM 154   75% 0.30   S
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of IRISH INFLUENCE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  MCSTEAMY 4 11 17 23 23 210 422½ (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 149      
  (by ARTIE SCHILLER out of PLEASANT MCGEE by PLEASANT TAP)
 
PMT-4   11/04/2023 12540ft TURF RC11 FIRM AFLAC Supreme Hurdle Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
41:00         41:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COOL JET (IRE) 2 32 32 35½ 23 22½ 12 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 153   63% 0.60   W
  (by JET AWAY out of COOL TRIX by PRESENTING (GB))
1  THE HERO NEXT DOOR (IRE) 1 12 12 15 13 12½ 22 (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 153      
  (by JET AWAY out of GARW VALLEY by MTOTO (GB))
4  FAST VISION (FR) 4 43½ 43 410½ 45½ 38½ 313½ (young leslie )TIERNEY CONOR 156   16% 5.10   S
  (by VISION D'ETAT out of MILU HAS by SAINT DES SAINTS (FR))
3  CALICO (FR) 3 22 22 25 35½ 428½ 480 (elliot gordon)DOYLE RICKY 151      
  (by SPANISH MOON out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
PMT-5   11/04/2023 12540ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
41:54         41:54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGITARE (IRE) 1 13 2nk 1½ 21 21 15½ (brion keri)WATTERS GRAHAM 156   45% 1.20   W
4  I AM FORTUNATA (IRE) 4 23 1nk 2½ 11 11 25½ (hendriks richar)DOYLE RICKY 156   25% 3.10   P
3  KARL CARES 3 36 46 411½ 418 321 313 (gomens jul)SCULLY ELIZABETH 147      
2  D'ARPINO B C 2 48 34 310½ 316 422½ 413¼ (neilson kathy)BOUCHER MELL 131      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.