Handicappers' Racing Form

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Pine Mountain
Saturday - November 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PMT-1   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PMT-2   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PMT-3   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PMT-4   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PMT-5   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PMT-1   11/04/2023 18480ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25K) 5UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAKHAA (GB) Oct14 Apr22 Apr08     (morris neil )SCULLY ELIZABETH 155      
COURT RULER (IRE) Mar26 Nov05 Oct08     (young leslie )PROCTER FREDDIE 165   55% 0.80    
STORM TEAM Apr08 Oct08       (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 165   23% 3.40    
MERCOEUR (FR) Oct14 Apr15 Nov06 Mar27   (morris r)DOYLE RICKY 165      
 
PMT-2   11/04/2023 12540ft TURF RC11 FIRM Collie Jennings Mullin Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESENCE OF MIND (IRE)         (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 158   21% 3.70    
ANIMAL KINGSTON Aug18 Jun20       (morris r)DOYLE RICKY 156      
FOR THE PARISH (IRE)         (young f)TIERNEY CONOR 152      
GO POKE THE BEAR Jul21 Nov07 Oct16 Sep30 Sep04 (young leslie )PROCTER FREDDIE 155   51% 1.00    
 
PMT-3   11/04/2023 12540ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIPTIDE ROCK Sep08 Aug25 Aug06 Nov06 Oct13 (morris r)WATTERS GRAHAM 154   75% 0.30    
MACHEEDA (IRE)         (neilson kathy)TIERNEY CONOR 149   5% 19.00    
FOXY WALK (IRE)         (young leslie )PROCTER FREDDIE 150      
MCSTEAMY Oct19 Sep13 Sep02 Aug23 Aug07 (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 149      
 
PMT-4   11/04/2023 12540ft TURF RC11 FIRM AFLAC Supreme Hurdle Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE HERO NEXT DOOR (IRE)         (young leslie )PROCTER FREDDIE 153      
COOL JET (IRE) Oct15 Oct02       (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 153   63% 0.60    
CALICO (FR)         (elliot gordon)DOYLE RICKY 151      
FAST VISION (FR) May13 Nov05 Oct02 Sep01 May14 (young f)TIERNEY CONOR 156   16% 5.10    
 
PMT-5   11/04/2023 12540ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGITARE (IRE) Jan28 Dec17 Oct15     (brion keri)WATTERS GRAHAM 156   45% 1.20    
D'ARPINO B C Sep02 Aug12 Jul07 Nov11   (neilson kathy)BOUCHER MELL 131      
KARL CARES Jul21 Jul30 Jun25 May30 Apr09 (gomens julie)SCULLY ELIZABETH 147      
I AM FORTUNATA (IRE) Sep08 Jul14       (hendriks richard )DOYLE RICKY 156   25% 3.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.