Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Pine Mountain
Saturday - November 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PMT-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
PMT-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
PMT-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
PMT-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
PMT-5   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PMT-1   11/04/2023 18480ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25K) 5UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAKHAA (GB) Oct14 Apr22 Apr08     (morris nei)SCULLY ELIZABETH 155      
2  COURT RULER (IRE) Mar26 Nov05 Oct08     (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 165   55% 0.80    
3  STORM TEAM Apr08 Oct08       (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 165   23% 3.40    
4  MERCOEUR (FR) Oct14 Apr15 Nov06 Mar27   (morris r)DOYLE RICKY 165      
 
PMT-2   11/04/2023 12540ft TURF RC11 FIRM Collie Jennings Mullin Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRESENCE OF MIND (IRE)         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 158   21% 3.70    
  (by PRESENTING out of ALLEYGROVE LASS by ALDERBROOK)
2  ANIMAL KINGSTON Aug18 Jun20       (morris r)DOYLE RICKY 156      
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of PRIVATE DINING by ROYAL ACADEMY)
3  FOR THE PARISH (IRE)         (young leslie )TIERNEY CONOR 152      
  (by MALINAS out of SHERIKA by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
4  GO POKE THE BEAR Jul21 Nov07 Oct16 Sep30 Sep04 (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 155   51% 1.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MEMORIES MADE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
 
PMT-3   11/04/2023 12540ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIPTIDE ROCK Sep08 Aug25 Aug06 Nov06 Oct13 (morris neil )WATTERS GRAHAM 154   75% 0.30    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of IRISH INFLUENCE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
2  MACHEEDA (IRE)         (neilson kathy)TIERNEY CONOR 149   5% 19.00    
  (by OL' MAN RIVER out of STEPHOUSE by BIENAMADO)
3  FOXY WALK (IRE)         (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 150      
  (by WALK IN THE PARK out of CUTEASAFOX by VINNIE ROE)
4  MCSTEAMY Oct19 Sep13 Sep02 Aug23 Aug07 (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 149      
  (by ARTIE SCHILLER out of PLEASANT MCGEE by PLEASANT TAP)
 
PMT-4   11/04/2023 12540ft TURF RC11 FIRM AFLAC Supreme Hurdle Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE HERO NEXT DOOR (IRE)         (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 153      
  (by JET AWAY out of GARW VALLEY by MTOTO (GB))
2  COOL JET (IRE) Oct15 Oct02       (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 153   63% 0.60    
  (by JET AWAY out of COOL TRIX by PRESENTING (GB))
3  CALICO (FR)         (elliot gordon)DOYLE RICKY 151      
  (by SPANISH MOON out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  FAST VISION (FR) May13 Nov05 Oct02 Sep01 May14 (young leslie )TIERNEY CONOR 156   16% 5.10    
  (by VISION D'ETAT out of MILU HAS by SAINT DES SAINTS (FR))
 
PMT-5   11/04/2023 12540ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGITARE (IRE) Jan28 Dec17 Oct15     (brion keri)WATTERS GRAHAM 156   45% 1.20    
2  D'ARPINO B C Sep02 Aug12 Jul07 Nov11   (neilson kathy)BOUCHER MELL 131      
3  KARL CARES Jul21 Jul30 Jun25 May30 Apr09 (gomens jul)SCULLY ELIZABETH 147      
4  I AM FORTUNATA (IRE) Sep08 Jul14       (hendriks richar)DOYLE RICKY 156   25% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.