Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Grand National
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
GN-1   04/22/2023 17160ft TURF RC11 FIRM Grand National Timber Purse ($30K) 5UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
5:434         5:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONBEG STREAM (IRE) 2 22 2 13 12 1nk 1 (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 165   21% 3.80   W
  (by LIBERTARIAN out of NO ORDINARY LOVE by EXPELLED)
RENEGADE RIVER 6 12 1 23 22 2nk 2 (dowling william)DALY GEORGE 165     P
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of RIVER DYNA by DYNAFORMER)
SHOOTIST 5 35 3 310 420 315 3 (mckenna todd)TETT FREDERICK 165   41% 1.40   S
  (by SMART STRIKE out of HEATHERDOESNTBLUFF by OLD TRIESTE)
WITHOUTMOREADO (IRE) 3 4 411½ 418 35 419 4 (neilson kathy)TIERNEY CONOR 165      
  (by SHANTOU out of STATIM by MARJU)
ROYAL RUSE 7 6 514½ 622 522 521 517 (neilson sa)SCULLY ELIZABETH 165   14% 6.20    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MASTER SEVILLE 1 58 619½ 521 623 628 619½ (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 165      
  (by SEVILLE out of CASABLANCA LILY by HURRICANE RUN (IRE))
OUR FRIEND (IRE) 4 7 724½ 727 724 733 720½ (davies g)DAVIES TEDDY 165      
  (by SHANTOU out of COLLEEN DUBH by PRESENTING (GB))
 
GN-2   04/22/2023 15840ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12.5K) 5UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
6:05         6:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOGEY'S IMAGE 4 12 1 1 11 14 14 (davies g)PORETZ ERIC 165      
  (by IMAGINING out of CASABLANCA LILY by HURRICANE RUN (IRE))
THE BUTLER YATES (IRE) 1 711 711 47 32 35 24 (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 165      
  (by YEATS out of KERRY'S GIRL by FLEMENSFIRTH)
RHYTHMIA 3 58 46 59 21 24 35 (mckenna todd)TETT FREDERICK 165   78% 0.30   S
  (by MAJESTIC WARRIOR out of MYSTIC RHYTHMS by CITIDANCER (IRE))
DRUID'S ALTAR (IRE) 2 47 57 33 44 729½ 4 (dowling william)DALY GEORGE 165      
  (by MASTERCRAFTSMAN out of SHELL GARLAND by SADLER'S WELLS)
PROFITEER 5 22 33 725½ 59 4 510½ (stifel ada)SCULLY ELIZABETH 165      
  (by WAR FRONT out of HIT IT RICH by SMART STRIKE)
SHOOTIN THE BREEZE 6 69 68 610½ 615 512½ 616½ (neilson kathy)TIERNEY CONOR 165      
  (by HARD SPUN out of PROF. MCGONAGALL by STORM CAT)
HERO'S RETURN 7 34 2 2 722 620½ 723½ (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 165      
  (by TO HONOR AND SERVE out of CITY EMPRESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
GN-3   04/22/2023 17160ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 5UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
6:271         6:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT ROAD 1 4 32 13 17 13 1½ (davies g)PORETZ ERIC 162      
BLACKHALL (IRE) 2 32 2 36 3 23 2½ (davies joe )DIMPFEL THERESA 162      
ROCKET STAR RED 4 2 4 48 4 3 37 (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 170   25% 3.10   S
HILL TIE 3 1 1 23 27 4 411½ (meister wi)KORRELL VIRGINIA 170   49% 1.00    
 
GN-4   04/22/2023 15840ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($10K) 5UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
6:193         6:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOSEN MATE (IRE) 3 15 1 15 1½ 13 12 (hendriks r)KORRELL VIRGINIA 165      
FLETCHED 1 25 2 25 2½ 23 22 (kelly forr)SCULLY ELIZABETH 165   21% 3.80   P
RAKHAA (GB) 5 3 33 37 3 36 3 (young f)NEVIN DAN 170      
HUYANA 2 58 55 412 46 4 426½ (stifel adair)DALY GEORGE 165      
IT'S NOTHING 4 47 4 515 521 533½ 5100 (neilson kathy)TIERNEY CONOR 170      
SCR  PADDY'S CROWN               (hannum emily)DAVIES TEDDY 160   47% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.