Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Thursday - November 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-6   EXA (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-5 $13.80 $1.80 15%
CT-7   EXA (3/5/9/4/1)-(3/5/9/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-1 $21.90 $1.90 10%
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   11/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:151     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PRINCESS OF OMAHA 2 1 1½ 11½   12 14¾ (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 0.60 43% 1.30 0.10 W
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FORCE TO EXCEL by VERRAZANO)
8  FIVECLOCKSOMEWHERE 8 7 65 43   32 24¾ (cooney susa)ROBLES O 117 10.00 30.80  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SHERINI by BERNARDINI)
3  SHESMYTENDERONI 3 3 2½ 21½   22 35½ (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00 29.30  
  (by STREET BOSS out of DANETTE by CURLIN)
7  LASS SASSENACH 7 4 54 54   53½ 47¼ (epley jr)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 16.90  
  (by WAR OF WILL out of KEIRA by UNUSUAL HEAT)
1  CHLOE'S BANKER 1 2 31 33   43 57¾ (smith collie)GILPIN SEAN 122 20.00 83.60  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of CLEARLY CHEATING by BROKEN VOW)
6  BEAUTIFUL TOWN 6 5 42 65½   67½ 619¼ (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 5.00 17% 4.90 8.90  
  (by MO TOWN out of MY QUEEN by FORESTRY)
5  GRACEANDMOREGRACE 5 8 815 725½   717½ 726¼ (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 16% 5.30 28.40  
  (by UNIFIED out of GRACELAND KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  JILLYS WAY 4 6 713 832½   842½ 8124¼ (huet k)LEWIS M 117 30.00 5% 19.00 ######  
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of MY JUDITH MARIE by FLATTER)
 
CT-2   11/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SUBJECT TO CHANGE 5 3 2½ 2nk   13 17 (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 122 3.00 4.00  
2  KENNY HAD A NOTION 2 6 51½ 31   33 27 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 61% 0.60 1.30 P
5  SEXY CHOCOLATTE 4 2 64 64¾   54½ 39½ (bourne j)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 13.20  
3  SMOOTH RICO 3 5 1½ 1nk   23 49½ (jones michae)LEWIS M 117 15.00 24.30  
1  WE B SHACKIN 1 1 31 51¾   44 511¼ (sanchez)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.60 10% 8.90 1.80  
7  BOURBON'S HOPE 6 4 41½ 41¼   65½ 614¾ (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
SCR  THE COLORA KID               (smith collie)GILPIN SEAN 122 15.00    
 
CT-3   11/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:141     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NO BODY LIKES ME 6 7 54½ 55½   23 13 (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 12.00 8.40  
4  WHAT'SHERNAME 4 1 2nk 1½   13 23 (cromer)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.00 58% 0.70 0.40 P
1  LUCKY BLONDE 1 3 44 44   33½ 34¾ (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 4.50 8% 11.70 5.80 S
8  IHEARTRAINACOMN 8 5 31 31   43½ 47¼ (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 12.00 32.00  
5  IMPRESSIONISM 5 6 88¾ 66½   54½ 58 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 119 8.00 13% 6.90 7.70  
7  SAFFRON 7 8 64¾ 76½   65½ 614¼ (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
3  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD 3 4 78¾ 88½   79½ 714½ (jackson ang)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 20.00 38.90  
2  CHAMPAGNE PLEASE 2 2 1nk 2½   811½ 830 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 118 30.00 46.10  
SCR  BULL'S LEGACY               (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00    
 
CT-4   11/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:22 :532         :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHEROKEE CASTLE 5 3 41¼     11 11¾ (rideout antho)THORPE DARIUS 124 2.50 31% 2.30 1.70 W
2  RIVER REWARDS RVF 2 5 64¼     63½ 21¾ (smith osborn)LEWIS M 119 30.00 25.60  
3  SHARED AUTHORITY 3 4 31     52½ 32 (sanchez)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 4.50 5.00  
1  WORTH A PEEK 1 6 52¼     32 43¼ (delong ben)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 36% 1.80 2.60  
7  BUSTIN TIME 6 2 1nk     21 54¾ (davis edm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
5  WITNESS THE ENERGY 4 1 2nk     42½ 66¾ (lucas a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00 4.40  
SCR  LITTLE JOSIE WALES               (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00    
 
CT-5   11/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:222 :463       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SETTLEMENT DATE 5 5 2½     2nk 1¼ (lucas a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 7.60  
1  MISSIONSNINETYNINE 1 7 1½     1nk 2¼ (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 21% 3.80 5.70 P
9  FOREVER TAKES TIME 9 2 72¼     72¾ 3¾ (barber bo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 24.80  
4  DIRECT THE SHOW 4 6 61¾     41½ 42¼ (garber owen)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00 22% 3.60 6.70  
2  GOLD FIBER 2 9 3½     31 52¼ (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
6  ALLEN CAN DO IT 6 4 82½     83¼ 63 (hanagan lela)LEWIS M 117 5.00 8.00  
8  ONE CANDY CASTLE 8 1 41½     52 73¼ (binning matthew)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00 53.40  
3  BUDDY BUDDY 3 8 94     93¾ 85 (collins t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 15.00 8% 10.80 16.20  
7  AREYOUGONNAKISSME 7 3 51¾     62¼ 95½ (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 20% 4.00 1.00  
 
CT-6   11/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:144     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CECIL THE GREAT 3 3 31½ 3½   41¼ 1¼ (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 120 1.00 32% 2.10 2.40 W
5  ROOMMATE MARTIN 5 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 2¼ (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 1.90 P
6  LOVE IS WICKED 6 5 51¾ 52   31 3¾ (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 6.00 6.10  
2  BID ON BLUE 2 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 4¾ (brown keith )LEWIS M 117 5.00 12% 7.00 10.40  
1  TOWN HOT 1 4 75¾ 79   76¼ 55½ (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00 32.60  
4  BRADLEY DO RIGHT 4 6 62¾ 63   52¼ 68 (obed-le)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 8.00 22% 3.50 5.00  
7  DENIZETTI 7 7 41½ 41½   62¼ 710¾ (ceciliano m)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 4.50 5.30  
 
CT-7   11/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:213 :454       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CARIBBEAN PLEASURE 3 8 1nk     1½ 12¾ (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.80 38% 1.60 1.90 W
1  ADVANCE CASH 1 9 84¾     52 22¾ (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00 12.60 P
8  SHIP THE GOODS 8 2 2nk     2½ 33¾ (brown ronney)LEWIS M 115 8.00 4.80  
2  OUTKISSED 2 7 32     31½ 45 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50 1.80  
4  SUTTON VALLEY 4 6 42¼     41½ 55¾ (venham d)MAYHEW W 120 15.00 8% 12.00 30.00  
5  CAJUN JOE 5 4 52¾     73 67½ (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 118 5.00 15% 5.50 11.80  
9  NITRO TIME 9 1 63¾     62½ 77½ (comi ralph )ROBLES O 115 6.00 8% 11.10 18.00  
6  MATH MAN MARCO 6 5 74¾     85 810½ (mangual m)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 10.00 27.30  
7  CARABINERO 7 3 98¾     96 916¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00 13.50  
 
CT-8   11/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:14     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  REMYS SHOWTIME 4 1 33 31½   21 1¾ (craig armonte)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50 18% 4.50 1.50 W
3  HERO'S MAN 3 3 21 11   11 2¾ (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 20% 4.00 2.80 P
7  RIVER CROSROAD RVF 6 9 86 42½   31½ 2¾ (runco jeff )ROBLES O 117 5.00 40% 1.50 4.40 P
2  CAYENNE CREEK 2 5 64½ 75½   55 43 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 120 6.00 6.80  
5  AUBURN MILL 5 6 54½ 53½   44½ 57¾ (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
9  HAPPY YEARS 8 7 75 86½   76 69¼ (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 119 15.00 5% 19.00 31.40  
10  HOT FUDGE SONDE 9 8 97½ 64½   65 711 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 122 12.00 14.60  
1  CHANGE YOUR LUCK 1 2 11 21   87 818¼ (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 34.40  
8  REY O REYES 7 4 43½ 99½   99 921 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 120 50.00 69.50  
SCR  SARGENT KOBE               (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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