Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - November 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/4)-(2/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/4)-(2/6/5/4)-(2/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/4)-(2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/4)-(2/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(4/5/1/7)-(1/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/7)-(1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/7)-(1/6/7)-(4/1/7/3/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(4/1/7/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(4/1/7/3/2)-(3/4/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/1/7/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/3/2)-(4/1/7/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/3/2)-(4/1/7/3/2)-(4/1/7/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/7/3/2)-(3/4/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/3/2)-(3/4/2/5)-(3/5/9/4/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (3/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/5)-(3/5/9/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/5)-(3/5/9/4/1)-(7/3/4/5/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (3/5/9/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/9/4/1)-(3/5/9/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/9/4/1)-(3/5/9/4/1)-(3/5/9/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/9/4/1)-(7/3/4/5/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/3/4/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/5/9)-(7/3/4/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/5/9)-(7/3/4/5/9)-(7/3/4/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHLOE'S BANKER Oct16         (smith collie)GILPIN SEAN 122 20.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of CLEARLY CHEATING by BROKEN VOW)
2  PRINCESS OF OMAHA Nov13 Oct10 Sep22 Aug23 Jun16 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 0.60 43% 1.30    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FORCE TO EXCEL by VERRAZANO)
3  SHESMYTENDERONI Nov03 Oct11 Sep01     (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of DANETTE by CURLIN)
4  JILLYS WAY Oct25         (huet k)LEWIS M 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of MY JUDITH MARIE by FLATTER)
5  GRACEANDMOREGRACE         (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 16% 5.30    
  (by UNIFIED out of GRACELAND KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  BEAUTIFUL TOWN Sep14         (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MO TOWN out of MY QUEEN by FORESTRY)
7  LASS SASSENACH Nov10 Oct09       (epley jr)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of KEIRA by UNUSUAL HEAT)
8  FIVECLOCKSOMEWHERE Sep05 Jul26 Jul11     (cooney susa)ROBLES O 117 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SHERINI by BERNARDINI)
 
CT-2   11/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WE B SHACKIN Nov01 Oct05 Sep18 Sep04 Aug15 (sanchez)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.60 10% 8.90    
2  KENNY HAD A NOTION Nov01 Oct10 Jul25 Jun20 May04 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 61% 0.60    
3  SMOOTH RICO Nov01 Oct11 Jul24 Jun18 May09 (jones michae)LEWIS M 117 15.00    
SCR  THE COLORA KID Nov08 Oct17 Oct04 Sep26 Sep14 (smith collie)GILPIN SEAN 122 15.00    
5  SEXY CHOCOLATTE Nov04 Oct21 Oct09 Sep22 Sep16 (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 8.00    
6  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Oct31 Oct10 Sep20 Apr27 Apr12 (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 122 3.00    
7  BOURBON'S HOPE Nov01 Oct12 Sep24 Sep14 Aug29 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   11/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY BLONDE Nov09 Oct30 Oct10 Aug23 Jul26 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 4.50 8% 11.70    
2  CHAMPAGNE PLEASE Sep26 Jul25 Jul11 Jun20 May30 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 118 30.00    
3  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 Aug23 Jul20 (jackson ang)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 20.00    
4  WHAT'SHERNAME Oct12 Sep13 Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 (cromer)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.00 58% 0.70    
5  IMPRESSIONISM Sep28 Aug20 Aug02 Jul05 May30 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 119 8.00 13% 6.90    
6  NO BODY LIKES ME Oct10 Aug22 Aug01     (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 12.00    
7  SAFFRON Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 Aug16 Jul25 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  IHEARTRAINACOMN Nov09 Oct19 Oct10 Sep28 Sep20 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 12.00    
SCR  BULL'S LEGACY Oct10 Sep27 Aug17 Jul27 May30 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00    
 
CT-4   11/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORTH A PEEK Oct30 Aug28 Jun20 May07 Jul02 (delong ben)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
2  RIVER REWARDS RVF Oct31 Sep28 Sep21 Aug22 Aug02 (smith osborn)LEWIS M 119 30.00    
3  SHARED AUTHORITY Oct31 Oct04 Aug30 Aug17 Aug04 (sanchez)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 4.50    
SCR  LITTLE JOSIE WALES Oct31 Oct10 Sep22 Aug10 Jul21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00    
5  WITNESS THE ENERGY Oct19 Jun28 May07 Apr18 Mar30 (lucas a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00    
6  CHEROKEE CASTLE Nov06 Oct19 Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 (rideout antho)THORPE DARIUS 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
7  BUSTIN TIME Nov05 Oct11 Aug05 Jul04 Jun18 (davis edm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   11/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Oct30 Oct10 Sep26 Aug16 Jun14 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  GOLD FIBER Oct19 Oct11 Aug16 Jul27 Jul12 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BUDDY BUDDY Nov06 Oct19 Sep21 Jul30 Jul20 (collins t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 15.00 8% 10.80    
4  DIRECT THE SHOW Oct30 Oct03 Sep14 Aug03 Jul11 (garber owen)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  SETTLEMENT DATE Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 Sep14 Jun07 (lucas a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00    
6  ALLEN CAN DO IT Oct30 Oct09 Sep21 Aug10 Jul25 (hanagan lela)LEWIS M 117 5.00    
7  AREYOUGONNAKISSME Oct19 Sep21 Aug23 Jul27 Jul04 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
8  ONE CANDY CASTLE Oct30 Oct11 Sep21 Aug15 Jul19 (binning matthew)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
9  FOREVER TAKES TIME Aug10 Jun29 Mar23 Feb10 Jan25 (barber bo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
 
CT-6   11/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOWN HOT Oct24 Oct05 Sep21 Aug16 Jul20 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
2  BID ON BLUE Oct24 Oct05 Jul20 Jun28 Jun21 (brown keith )LEWIS M 117 5.00 12% 7.00    
3  CECIL THE GREAT Oct24 Sep27 Aug23 Jun01 Apr20 (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 120 1.00 32% 2.10    
4  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Oct05 Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jul13 (obed-le)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 8.00 22% 3.50    
5  ROOMMATE MARTIN Sep14 Jul20 Jun07 May16 Mar30 (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LOVE IS WICKED Oct24 Oct05 Sep21 Aug17 Jul13 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 6.00    
7  DENIZETTI Nov09 Oct24 Oct11 Sep21 Aug24 (ceciliano m)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 4.50    
 
CT-7   11/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADVANCE CASH Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 Jul19 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  OUTKISSED Oct24 Sep29 Sep02 Jul18 Jun29 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50    
3  CARIBBEAN PLEASURE Oct18 Sep02 Aug17 Nov29 Nov17 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.80 38% 1.60    
4  SUTTON VALLEY Oct18 Sep19 Sep12 Aug12 Jul24 (venham d)MAYHEW W 120 15.00 8% 12.00    
5  CAJUN JOE Oct10 Sep19 Aug10 Jul06 Jun13 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 118 5.00 15% 5.50    
6  MATH MAN MARCO Oct18 Sep13 Jul18 Jun20 May25 (mangual m)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 10.00    
7  CARABINERO May21 Feb15 Jan22 Dec04 Oct30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00    
8  SHIP THE GOODS Oct17 Sep21 Sep12 Aug24 Jul20 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 115 8.00    
9  NITRO TIME Sep20 Aug29 Jul19 Jun19 Jun12 (comi ralph )ROBLES O 115 6.00 8% 11.10    
 
CT-8   11/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Oct31 Oct17 Sep26 Aug17 Jul12 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
2  CAYENNE CREEK Nov01 Oct10 Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 120 6.00    
3  HERO'S MAN Oct31 Oct10 Aug16 Jun27 May16 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
4  REMYS SHOWTIME Nov01 Oct12 Aug24 Aug10 Jul24 (craig armonte)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
5  AUBURN MILL Oct25 Oct10 Sep21 Aug17 Jul26 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SARGENT KOBE Nov07 Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 Aug24 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50    
7  RIVER CROSROAD RVF Oct25 Aug09 Jul25 May16 Mar28 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 117 5.00 40% 1.50    
8  REY O REYES Nov09 Nov02 Oct11 Aug16 Jul06 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 120 50.00    
9  HAPPY YEARS Nov06 Oct17 Sep27 Sep20 Jun15 (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  HOT FUDGE SONDE Nov08 Nov01 Oct11 Oct04 Aug28 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.