Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Friday - November 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 6.00
PEN-2   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $12.20  
PEN-3   Win (7/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  
PEN-4   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
PEN-5   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $12.40  
PEN-6   Win (3/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
PEN-7   Win (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $6.40  
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   11/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GOLDEN LIMONCELLO 1 4 1nk 1nk   11½ 13½ (reck christophe)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 6.00 5% 19.00 4.00 W
4  FREE CASH FLOW 2 2 2nk 2nk   21½ 23½ (murillo ricar)INIRIO J 122 8.00 32% 2.20 2.50 P
5  PELOSI 3 1 31½ 32   34½ 39¼ (martin jr)CORA D 125 3.00 1.70  
6  MY HUNNY BUNNY 4 3 43 45½   49½ 415¾ (pattershall)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 3.50 1.70  
SCR  ANALOG               (martin jr)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
SCR  WARRIORS JEWEL               (kravets bru)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.40    
 
PEN-2   11/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CALI HEAT 5 1 2nk 1nk   11½ 1¼ (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 5.10  
1  DOUBLE NICKEL 1 3 42¼ 42¼   21½ 2¼ (albright r)CORA D 120 3.00 5.60  
2  HAVE NO REGRETS 2 5 57¼ 56¾   57 36¼ (martin f)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 5% 19.00 28.30 S
4  JIGGERY POKERY 4 2 1nk 2nk   35½ 49 (castillo mich)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 4.50 26% 2.80 9.60  
3  STORMQUIST 3 4 32 32   47 511¼ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.00 46% 1.20 0.30  
 
PEN-3   11/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAT MATTERS 7 2 32 2½   1nk 11¼ (kravets bru)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 60% 0.70 2.20 W
6  TACTICAL HUMOR 6 1 12 1½   2nk 21¼ (kreiser c)FLORES E 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40 P
2  BEJUCO 2 7 89¾ 89   56½ 34¼ (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 12.30  
3  ANNA'S GOT STYLE 3 3 42¼ 43½   33 45 (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 14.20  
8  HYPER INFLATION 8 5 64¾ 33½   43½ 56 (murillo ricar)INIRIO J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
1  OUR ETHAN CHARLES 1 6 22 78   77¼ 69 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 5.00 8% 10.80 3.30  
4  UNSWAYED 4 8 76¾ 67½   67 79¾ (duarte jorge )CONNING CRYSTAL 120 4.00 8.80  
5  LUCKY LINUS 5 4 54¼ 54½   810¼ 839¾ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 2.80  
 
PEN-4   11/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:122 1:391   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REIGERT GIRLS 1 2 33½ 31 11½ 13½ 16¾ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 118 2.00 50% 1.00 2.50 W
4  LADY LIBERTY BELLE 4 1 11½ 11 21½ 23½ 26¾ (matz michae)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.50 19% 4.20 3.50 P
2  AFRICAN ANGEL 2 3 54½ 42½ 33 35½ 310½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.50 1.00  
3  SHE'S A LINO 3 4 21½ 21 45 411 417 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00 7.00  
6  TITOSCHANGEDMYLUCK 5 5 44½ 54½ 512 533 548½ (lawrence jame)ROBLES O 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
SCR  NOISY ON THE BAY               (abrams jack)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 4.50    
 
PEN-5   11/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HERE'S WALDO 2 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 1¾ (sinnefia paul)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 3.00 5.20  
5  MAGNIFICENT RIDE 5 5 42½ 31   2½ 2¾ (kravets bru)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 21% 3.70 2.30 P
3  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 3 6 66½ 66½   42 31¼ (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 125 4.00 10.60  
1  INFAMOUS NONO 1 3 54 55½   53½ 41¾ (kravets bruce )VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00 18% 4.60 8.30  
4  WRITER'S REGRET 4 4 2½ 2nk   3½ 53 (kreiser timothy )TORRES JOMAR 123 2.50 ★ 1.20  
6  FLY FLY AWAY 6 2 3½ 44½   68½ 616½ (garber owen)CORA D 123 5.00 8.80  
 
PEN-6   11/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:141 1:273   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EMMA AT THE GATE 2 6 31½ 22 11½ 13½ 17¾ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.90 W
7  SHARP STYLE 7 5 54 44 31½ 23½ 27¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 125 3.50 7% 12.60 4.50 P
5  AWESOME HARRY 5 1 64 56 54¾ 48½ 38¼ (fields kevin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 9.10 S
4  SWEET SPITE 4 4 21 32 21½ 35½ 410 (fields kevin)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50 4.70  
6  LUCKY DOUBLE ZERO 6 2 76 77 65¼ 510 512½ (beattie d)CORA D 122 15.00 31.80  
1  NANGA PARBAT (GB) 1 7 43½ 66½ 76¾ 611½ 613¼ (saville niall)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 4.00 2.90  
3  R CHELLO 3 3 11 12 44½ 713 723 (rojas murra)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 43% 1.30 6.40  
 
PEN-7   11/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
See original race card.
:223 :46 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PROM KNIGHT 6 1 11½ 11½   14½ 15¾ (mcclellan c)FLORES E 118 3.50 2.20  
1  INDULGE 1 7 56 46   24½ 25¾ (simone mich)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 28% 2.60 3.70 P
4  DUBAI FIRE 4 3 21½ 21½   34½ 311¾ (beecher mar)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 1.80  
7  CHUCKA MOON 7 5 46 57   57½ 414¼ (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00 12% 7.10 4.50  
3  RAGING BEAR 3 4 34 33½   45½ 514½ (albright amy)INIRIO J 121 4.00 30% 2.30 10.90  
5  NINTH OF APRIL 5 6 710½ 713   614 624½ (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 50.50  
2  KEEP DEM TALKING 2 2 66½ 69½   716 729 (nicholson ju)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 4.50 17.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.