Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - November 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/4/2)-(7/1/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(7/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(7/1/8/6)-(1/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/8/6)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/6)-(1/4/6)-(5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(5/1)-(3/2/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(3/2/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(3/2/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANALOG         (martin jr)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
2  GOLDEN LIMONCELLO Aug21         (reck christop)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WARRIORS JEWEL Nov01 Oct02 Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.40    
4  FREE CASH FLOW         (murillo ric)INIRIO J 122 8.00 32% 2.20    
5  PELOSI Oct23 Sep11 Aug29 Dec27 Nov17 (martin jr)CORA D 125 3.00    
6  MY HUNNY BUNNY Oct23 Sep21 Sep14 Aug15 Jun04 (pattersha)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 3.50    
 
PEN-2   11/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE NICKEL Oct25 Oct09 Sep21 Sep13 Aug08 (albright r)CORA D 120 3.00    
2  HAVE NO REGRETS Oct21 Sep25 Sep03 Aug09 Jul14 (martin f)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  STORMQUIST Sep02 Jul12 May27 May12 Apr19 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.00 46% 1.20    
4  JIGGERY POKERY Nov04 Jun26 Jun04 May22 Mar06 (castillo mi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
5  CALI HEAT Oct24 Feb01 Dec15 Dec01 Nov03 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50    
 
PEN-3   11/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR ETHAN CHARLES Sep12 Aug23 Aug01 Jul04 Jun06 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 5.00 8% 10.80    
2  BEJUCO Oct24 Oct04 Aug16 Jul25 Jun26 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00    
3  ANNA'S GOT STYLE Sep12 Aug30 May18 Apr07 Mar20 (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
4  UNSWAYED Oct31 Oct04 Jul13 Jun11 May12 (duarte jorg)CONNING CRYSTAL 120 4.00    
5  LUCKY LINUS Oct24 Aug16 Jul25 Jul08 Jun20 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50    
6  TACTICAL HUMOR Oct25 Aug28 Aug16 Aug08 Jul25 (kreiser c)FLORES E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAT MATTERS Oct24 Sep28 Aug31 Aug18 Jul24 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
8  HYPER INFLATION Jul25 Jun27 Jun11 May23 May10 (murillo ric)INIRIO J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   11/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REIGERT GIRLS Oct09 Sep23 Sep03 Aug07 Jul10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 2.00 50% 1.00    
2  AFRICAN ANGEL Oct24 Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 Jun18 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.50    
3  SHE'S A LINO Oct24 Sep21 Sep03 Aug22 Aug02 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
4  LADY LIBERTY BELLE Oct24 Sep19 Aug23 Jul31   (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  NOISY ON THE BAY Oct22 Oct09 Aug20 Aug01 Apr01 (abrams jack)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 4.50    
6  TITOSCHANGEDMYLUCK Oct16 Oct03 Sep05 Aug13 Jun15 (lawrence ja)ROBLES O 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   11/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFAMOUS NONO Oct30 Oct17 Sep20 Aug23 Jul17 (kravets b)VARGAS L 123 8.00 18% 4.60    
2  HERE'S WALDO Oct30 Aug21 Jul24 Jun27 Jun06 (sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 3.00    
3  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Oct31 Sep25 Aug15 Jul11 Jun26 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 125 4.00    
4  WRITER'S REGRET Aug01 Jul06 Jun29 May27 Apr28 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.50 ★    
5  MAGNIFICENT RIDE Oct17 Oct05 Sep21 Sep15 Sep01 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
6  FLY FLY AWAY Oct10 Sep26 Sep15 Aug24 Aug17 (garber owen)CORA D 123 5.00    
 
PEN-6   11/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANGA PARBAT (GB) Oct17 Oct03 Sep18 Aug31 Aug15 (saville nia)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 4.00    
2  EMMA AT THE GATE Oct30 Sep30 Sep10 Jul15 Jul01 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  R CHELLO Oct24 Oct16 Oct03 Sep23 Jul01 (rojas mur)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
4  SWEET SPITE Oct31 Sep27 Sep08 Jun21   (fields kevin)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50    
5  AWESOME HARRY Oct30 Oct16 Sep27 Sep14 Oct31 (fields kevin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUCKY DOUBLE ZERO Oct30 Aug28 Aug16 Jul25 Jul10 (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
7  SHARP STYLE Oct31 Sep28 Aug01 Jul04 May30 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 125 3.50 7% 12.60    
 
PEN-7   11/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDULGE Oct25 Sep20 Aug10 Jul21 Jun30 (simone mi)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
2  KEEP DEM TALKING Oct31 Sep30 Sep09 Jul26 Jul12 (nicholson )MITCHELL RICHARD 121 4.50    
3  RAGING BEAR Oct31 Oct01 Sep18 Aug14 Jul26 (albright am)INIRIO J 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
4  DUBAI FIRE Oct25 Oct02 Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 (beecher m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00    
5  NINTH OF APRIL Oct16 Sep21 Aug30 Aug13 Jun22 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PROM KNIGHT Oct09 Sep20 Aug23 Aug16 Aug02 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 118 3.50    
7  CHUCKA MOON Oct24 Aug15 Aug02 Jun13 May04 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00 12% 7.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.