Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Wednesday - November 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-5   SFT (8/5/7/4/6)-(8/5/7/4/6)-(8/5/7/4/6)-(8/5/7/4/6) 120 $0.10 $12.00  8-4-5-6 $22.75 $10.75 90%
PEN-7   WIN (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $12.60 $4.60 58%
    EXA (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-3 $32.40 $20.40 170%
    TRI (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-3-4 $77.25 $65.25 544%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERIDOT PENDANT 1 3 12 11½   11½ 13 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.00 39% 1.60 0.80 W
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of EMERALD BRACELET by GREEN DANCER)
5  FLAGRUNNER 4 1 22 21½   21½ 23 (flores-c)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 1.80 38% 1.60 1.10 P
  (by RUNHAPPY out of YIPPEE by PERUVIAN)
3  PEACEOFTASTYCAKE 2 2 32½ 35   38½ 316¼ (montford leslie)LLOYD W 125 15.00 25.20  
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TASTEFULLY SIMPLE by BARBICAN)
6  JUST START DANCIN 5 5 53½ 46   410½ 419¾ (wolfe j)INIRIO J 125 8.00 20.10  
  (by JUMP START out of OUR QUIET DANCER by REAL QUIET)
4  OPHELIAS DREAM 3 4 43 510   518½ 535¾ (rogers michael)CORA D 125 6.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
SCR  LERETHA               (montoya marya)OTERO AAROM 117 3.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of JURERE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
 
PEN-2   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
See original race card.
:214 :444 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HE'S IN CHARGE 4 1 21½ 1nk   13½ 17¾ (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00 53% 0.90 0.50 W
3  PRACTICAL COACH 1 3 33 32   23½ 27¾ (ramire)GONZALEZ JR 121 5.00 19% 4.40 5.50 P
8  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN 5 5 514½ 514   513½ 313 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 12.00 8.50  
6  YES IT'S ROO 3 4 410 48   411 414¼ (rideout ronald)LLOYD W 121 12.00 20.20  
5  ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND 2 2 11½ 2nk   36½ 517¾ (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 8.00 7% 13.20 2.90  
SCR  CAPT. CANDY               (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 4.00    
SCR  KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE               (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 125 5.00    
SCR  SASSY LAD               (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50    
 
PEN-3   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:13
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BOCA ROYALTY 2 4 53½ 41¾   11½ 11¾ (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 118 15.00 14.50  
8  SANSA ARIEL 8 1 11 11½   21½ 21¾ (sinnefia pa)RAMOS O 123 5.00 7% 13.70 3.50 P
1  PHANCY PHILLY 1 3 43 63¼   52¼ 32¼ (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 125 6.00 6% 14.50 6.30 S
4  CARLY HUSTLE 4 7 87 76¼   73¾ 42¼ (salinas jose)CORA D 123 15.00 5% 19.00 32.50  
5  SO SWELL 5 10 1011 87¾   84 53¼ (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 6.00 4.20  
10  TILTED TIARA 10 5 21 21½   31½ 63½ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50 17% 4.90 3.20  
7  MORGANS COVE 7 8 97½ 97¾   63¾ 74¼ (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 123 10.00 13.70  
9  QUEEN WIGGY 9 9 64 52¼   42 88½ (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 46% 1.20 4.40  
3  STORMY SPELL 3 2 31½ 31½   94½ 910 (harigeorgio)INIRIO J 123 10.00 38.00  
6  THEA'S THEME 6 6 75 108¼   109½ 1021¼ (ramirez a)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 17.40  
SCR  AWESOMENEWYEAR               (collazo d)ORTIZ JOSHUA 113 15.00    
SCR  MARZ EXPRESS               (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00    
 
PEN-4   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
See original race card.
:22 :453 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SCRAPPY T LEE 5 1 1½ 12   13½ 14 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 122 10.00 3.20  
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of INSPIRED SAY EYE by TWO PUNCH)
2  KALAHARI NOT SORRY 2 2 2½ 22   23½ 24 (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.00 35% 1.90 0.70 P
  (by NYQUIST out of RISTRETTO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  SANDY'S REFUGEE 3 3 37 36½   36½ 36¼ (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 30% 2.30 2.70 S
  (by WINCHILL out of SHOW SHAPE by SAFFIR)
1  ON SECRET SERVICE 1 5 49 48½   48½ 48 (gordon-watson)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 5.00 13.20  
  (by BLOFELD out of EASTER SERVICE by SERVICE STRIPE)
6  NAUGHTY SQUIDWARD 6 6 621 618½   517½ 513½ (montford leslie)LLOYD W 122 12.00 14% 6.30 54.30  
  (by BOISTEROUS out of GIMMEACLUE by GIMMEAWINK)
4  COME ABOUT 4 4 511 517½   623 629¾ (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 29.70  
  (by GET STORMY out of CAMBIATA by CONCERTO)
 
PEN-5   11/20/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:134 1:393   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHARP TONES 7 6 54 51½ 42 1½ 11¾ (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.50 22% 3.50 0.60 W
6  EASTER BET 5 1 1nk 1nk 11 2½ 21¾ (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 12.00 5% 19.00 50.70 DQ↓4
4  TAKE THE PLEDGE 3 9 99¾ 98 97¼ 45½ 31¾ (lynch cat)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00 10% 8.90 8.80 P
5  FOLE'S NOTION 4 8 64½ 73 52¼ 35 47½ (rathman e)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 4.00 21% 3.70 3.50 S
3  WE'RE EVEN 2 7 85¾ 84 74¼ 76½ 58 (stites p)CORA D 121 10.00 18.30  
7  WARRIOR'S VENDETTA 6 2 74¾ 62½ 85¼ 66 68½ (perez r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 3.00 19% 4.20 7.70  
10  MAX BARLEY 9 5 43 41 21 56 710 (harigeorgio)INIRIO J 118 12.00 ######  
9  MORNING MARCH 8 3 32 3½ 62¾ 813½ 829¼ (gordon-watson)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 12.00 51.30  
2  CALL ME NOW 1 4 2nk 2nk 32 915½ 934¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00 18.20  
SCR  GRAHMALAMADINGDONG               (kirby jo)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 10.00    
 
PEN-6   11/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:134 1:273   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVE THE MISCHIEF 1 3 1½ 11½ 12 15 15½ (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 1.10  
4  SATISFIED 4 8 811½ 812 59½ 58½ 25½ (payne b)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 15.40 P
2  FOREVER FIFI 2 2 2½ 32½ 33 35 35½ (harigeorgio)INIRIO J 123 4.50 41% 1.50 12.30 S
7  UNFOLDING BEAUTY 7 6 54½ 44½ 44½ 25 45½ (caiazzo c)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 29% 2.40 8.90  
5  MAGGIE K 5 5 31 21½ 22 45½ 59½ (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 6.00 1.70  
3  FUNZALO 3 7 65½ 67½ 613½ 618½ 618½ (saville nia)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 6.00 23.20  
6  BELLA MAMA 6 4 78½ 78 716½ 722½ 727¾ (deiter l)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00 27.80  
8  SURPRISINGLY SWEET 8 1 41½ 56½ 819½ 833½ 849½ (bennett j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 8.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
 
PEN-7   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:09
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JACK'S LILLY 4 6 66½ 24   22½ 11¼ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.30 W
3  G'S FIREBALL 1 7 79 66½   34½ 21¼ (kreiser tim)RAMOS O 118 8.00 26% 2.80 3.80 P
4  DWELLER 2 4 12 14   12½ 31½ (kulp l)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00 26% 2.90 1.90 S
5  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY 3 5 55½ 56   48½ 411¾ (meister wil)INIRIO J 121 12.00 5.00  
7  TAK E LADY 5 2 22 35   59 513 (ashby lynn)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 15.00 19.10  
8  RIBOT'S VALENTINE 6 1 43½ 46   612 618 (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 121 8.00 3.80  
9  UPTOWN SERAPHINA 7 3 33½ 77   715 724¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 10.00 11.20  
SCR  ARUMA               (padilla hugo )RIVERA D 121 5.00    
SCR  CORA'S CHOICE               (walters )RODRIGUEZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  HELLUVA HOLIDAY               (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
SCR  MELODIOUS SINGER               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.