Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - November 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(7/3/5)-(9/10/8/1/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(9/10/8/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(9/10/8/1/4)-(2/3/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/10/8/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/8/1/4)-(9/10/8/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/8/1/4)-(9/10/8/1/4)-(9/10/8/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/8/1/4)-(2/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/10/8/1/4)-(2/3/6)-(8/5/7/4/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(8/5/7/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(8/5/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-5   WIN (8/5/7/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/4/6)-(8/5/7/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/4/6)-(8/5/7/4/6)-(8/5/7/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/8)-(2/3/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/8)-(2/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERIDOT PENDANT Nov01 May02       (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of EMERALD BRACELET by GREEN DANCER)
SCR  LERETHA Sep23 Aug26 Jul01 May20 Apr24 (montoya marya)OTERO AAROM 117 3.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of JURERE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
3  PEACEOFTASTYCAKE Nov01 Sep11 Aug23 Jul24   (montford leslie)LLOYD W 125 15.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TASTEFULLY SIMPLE by BARBICAN)
4  OPHELIAS DREAM Oct15 Oct01 Aug27 Aug14 Jul31 (rogers michael)CORA D 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
5  FLAGRUNNER Oct15 Sep23 Aug19 Jul24   (flores-c)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 1.80 38% 1.60    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of YIPPEE by PERUVIAN)
6  JUST START DANCIN Jun06 May02       (wolfe j)INIRIO J 125 8.00    
  (by JUMP START out of OUR QUIET DANCER by REAL QUIET)
 
PEN-2   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE Oct28 Aug04 Jul23 Jun11 May18 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 125 5.00    
SCR  CAPT. CANDY Sep20 Aug29 Jul19 Jul11 Jun20 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 4.00    
3  PRACTICAL COACH Oct30 Oct19 Oct05 Sep15 Sep01 (ramirez sil)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 5.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  SASSY LAD Oct30 Oct12 Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50    
5  ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND Oct30 Oct09 Sep27 Sep08 Aug24 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 8.00 7% 13.20    
6  YES IT'S ROO Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 Jun20 Jun12 (rideout ronald)LLOYD W 121 12.00    
7  HE'S IN CHARGE Oct30 Oct05 Sep18 Aug29 Jul18 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00 53% 0.90    
8  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Oct30 Oct05 Aug29 Aug15 Jul17 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 12.00    
 
PEN-3   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHANCY PHILLY Oct23 Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul24 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 125 6.00 6% 14.50    
2  BOCA ROYALTY Nov11 Oct21 Sep30 Sep18 Aug24 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 118 15.00    
3  STORMY SPELL Oct23 Feb29 Jan26 Dec29 Dec13 (harigeorgio)ROBLES O 123 10.00    
4  CARLY HUSTLE Oct25 Sep22 Aug28 Aug21 Aug08 (salinas jose)CORA D 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SO SWELL Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 Jun17 Jun08 (rodriguez irvin)RUIZ ELISEO 125 6.00    
6  THEA'S THEME Oct31 Oct11 Oct02 Sep13 Aug14 (ramirez a)HIRALDO JOHN 123 8.00    
7  MORGANS COVE Oct31 Sep02 Aug14 Jul12 May31 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 123 10.00    
8  SANSA ARIEL Oct31 Oct15 Sep30 Sep08 Aug07 (sinnefia pa)RAMOS O 123 5.00 7% 13.70    
9  QUEEN WIGGY Oct17 Sep30 Sep10 Aug19 Jul17 (sinnefia)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 4.00 46% 1.20    
10  TILTED TIARA Oct31 Aug28 Aug08 Jun19 May30 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  MARZ EXPRESS Oct23 Oct07 Aug28 Jun19 Mar22 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00    
SCR  AWESOMENEWYEAR Oct21 Sep08 Aug16 Jul27 Jul04 (collazo d)ORTIZ JOSHUA 113 15.00    
 
PEN-4   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON SECRET SERVICE Sep25 Sep04 Jun12     (gordon-watson)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 5.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of EASTER SERVICE by SERVICE STRIPE)
2  KALAHARI NOT SORRY Oct25 Feb06       (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.00 35% 1.90    
  (by NYQUIST out of RISTRETTO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  SANDY'S REFUGEE Oct25 Aug01 Jul12 Jun18 May29 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by WINCHILL out of SHOW SHAPE by SAFFIR)
4  COME ABOUT Nov09 Sep10       (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of CAMBIATA by CONCERTO)
5  SCRAPPY T LEE Oct15         (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 122 10.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of INSPIRED SAY EYE by TWO PUNCH)
6  NAUGHTY SQUIDWARD         (montford leslie)LLOYD W 122 12.00 14% 6.30    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of GIMMEACLUE by GIMMEAWINK)
 
PEN-5   11/20/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAHMALAMADINGDONG Nov06 Oct16 Oct02 Sep09 Aug16 (kirby jo)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 10.00    
2  CALL ME NOW Oct19 Sep18 Aug30 Jul12 Jun26 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00    
3  WE'RE EVEN Oct25 Aug16 Jul19 May30 May17 (stites p)CORA D 121 10.00    
4  TAKE THE PLEDGE Sep13 May23 Mar15 Feb21   (lynch cat)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00 10% 8.90    
5  FOLE'S NOTION Sep14 Jul25 Jun08 May16 May02 (rathman e)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
6  EASTER BET Oct30 Aug28 Jul12 Jul04 May29 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  WARRIOR'S VENDETTA Nov06 Oct16 Sep25 Aug26 Jul15 (perez r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 3.00 19% 4.20    
8  SHARP TONES Nov01 Jun24 May30 May16 Apr19 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
9  MORNING MARCH Oct21 Sep25 Sep02 Aug22 Jul26 (gordon-watson)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 12.00    
10  MAX BARLEY Oct21 Aug30 Jun24 May31 May09 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 118 12.00    
 
PEN-6   11/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVE THE MISCHIEF Oct31 Sep16 Aug21 Aug07 Jul05 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50    
2  FOREVER FIFI Dec06 Nov08 Oct25 Sep14 Apr21 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 123 4.50 41% 1.50    
3  FUNZALO Nov02 Sep18 Aug23 Jul05 Jun16 (saville nia)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 6.00    
4  SATISFIED Oct31 Oct10 Sep20 Sep05 Aug15 (payne b)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAGGIE K Nov06 Oct01 Sep07 Jun13 May23 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 6.00    
6  BELLA MAMA Nov01 Oct04 Sep11 Aug28 Jul27 (deiter l)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00    
7  UNFOLDING BEAUTY Jun13 May12 Mar15 Jan25 Nov19 (caiazzo c)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
8  SURPRISINGLY SWEET Oct31 Oct04 Sep13 Aug29 Jul25 (bennett juanita)MENA E 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARUMA Nov06 Oct05 Sep04 Aug28 Aug01 (padilla hugo )RIVERA D 121 5.00    
SCR  MELODIOUS SINGER Oct23 Aug14 Jul10 Mar14 Feb29 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  G'S FIREBALL Sep27 Sep14 Aug24 Aug09 Jul28 (kreiser t)VARGAS L 118 8.00 26% 2.80    
4  DWELLER Nov01 Oct09 Sep23 Aug29 Aug01 (kulp l)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00 26% 2.90    
5  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Nov08 Oct09 Jul27 Jul11 Jun12 (meister wil)INIRIO J 121 12.00    
6  JACK'S LILLY Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 Jun19 May04 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  TAK E LADY Oct16 Aug24 Aug14 Jun19 Jun07 (ashby lynn)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 15.00    
8  RIBOT'S VALENTINE Oct05 Sep15 Aug29 Jul28 Jun28 (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 121 8.00    
9  UPTOWN SERAPHINA Aug22 Aug02 Jul05 Jun19 May17 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 10.00    
SCR  HELLUVA HOLIDAY Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Jul25 Jun30 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
SCR  CORA'S CHOICE Nov09 Oct31 Oct04 Aug17 May05 (walters )RODRIGUEZ L 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.