Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - December 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
MVR-2   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
MVR-3   Win (5/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
MVR-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
MVR-5   Win (9/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
MVR-6   Win (7/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
MVR-7   Win (2/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
MVR-8   Win (1/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 2.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
1:143         1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THINK BLUE 2 3 11 1   1 1 (cald)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 7% 13.30 4.10 W
PRANCIPANTS 3 5 56 5   3 2 (calderon ivan)NUNEZ Y 124 5.00 4.20  
OOPSIE DOOPSIE 1 4 21 2   2 3 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 2.00 37% 1.70 1.30 S
PERPETUAL PRAISE 5 2 42 4   5 4 (farrior anthony)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 3.10  
VILLAGE QUEEN 4 1 3 3   44 5 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 28% 2.50 5.00  
SCR  ONE NIGHT STAND               (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 12.00    
 
MVR-2   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:23 :463 :594     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LOTTIE 1 5 4 4¾   1nk 1½ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 46% 1.20 0.70 W
KICHI KITSU 4 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (ruberto v)BRACHO A 124 5.00 5% 19.00 3.30 P
THE MIRACLE KIUT 3 2 3.2 2nk   3 36 (vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 124 3.00 5.20  
CROSSED UP 2 4 5 5   47 4 (vecchio )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 18% 4.50 5.30  
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 5 1 1nk 3.2   5 515 (skerr)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 6.00 10.20  
SCR  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE               (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
 
MVR-3   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINCAZUL 5 2 43 44   2 1 (ward a)DIAZ I 120 3.00 27% 2.70 1.00 W
HIGH TOLE 7 1 1 13   1 2 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 117 20.00 15% 5.60 15.60 P
ACTION MAN 6 3 7 7   66 3 (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 122 30.00 5% 19.00 40.10 S
STREETS OF WAR 2 6 6 6   56 4 (rivera nestor)NUNEZ Y 120 3.50 5.80  
PERFECT SHANCES 4 4 2 23   4 5 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 117 1.20 33% 2.00 1.90  
STAROFTHEGAME 3 5 5 34   3 611 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 120 12.00 8.60  
NIGHT NURSE 1 7 33 56   7 712 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 8.00 16.40  
SCR  BIGTONTEN               (farrior anthony)BARBARAN ERIK 122 10.00    
 
MVR-4   12/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:223 :462       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOING IN STYLE 4 1 12 12   12 1 (bailey rica)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 2.00 23% 3.30 0.80 W
LOGICO 3 4 48 4   32 2 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 3.00 5.40  
MAKING ME CRAZY 2 2 3 3   22 3 (mahan jose)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 19% 4.30 6.60 S
BIG ROWDY DAN 5 5 511½ 511½   5 4 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 22% 3.50 2.00  
MORETHANREADYEDDIE 1 3 22 22   4 58 (winters michell)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 14.20  
SCR  ZEN MASTER               (farrior anthony)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.40    
 
MVR-5   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :463 :594     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANTHERA'S FATE 7 2 22 2   33 1¼ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 49% 1.00 1.10 W
CAPTURE MI 2 3 12 1   1nk 2¼ (vlaun ma)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 23.20 P
BUCKET LIST 4 4 32 3   2nk 32 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 125 5.00 3.10  
ON HIS TOES 1 7 7 710   6 45 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00 47.80  
CHAMPAGNE MIKE 3 5 5 59   5 510 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 123 8.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
SERGEANT COUNTZLER 5 1 6 6   710¼ 611½ (meyers shane)STOKES J 124 6.00 9.60  
FLAWLESS CAT 6 6 44 4   47 714 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 3.50 24% 3.20 2.40  
SCR  ANCIENT MAN               (hughe)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
SCR  MOON OVER DUBAI               (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00    
 
MVR-6   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERATE 6 3 31 2nk   1nk 1¾ (hamm timothy)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 1.80 63% 0.60 1.50 W
DARK VADER 4 6 6 4   4 2¾ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 2.50 12% 7.10 2.20 P
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 3 4 21 3   3 3 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 3.00  
RED HEAD KID 2 5 4 5   2nk 43 (gall)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 30.00 33.20  
MIDNIGHT WARSHIP 5 2 11 1nk   5 513 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
BLAZING BURROUGHS 7 1 5 6   6 614¼ (smith larry)BRACHO A 124 12.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
RUMBLE STRIP RON 1 7 7 7   710¼ 720¾ (johnson l)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 20.00 29.30  
SCR  FIRST SONG               (rivera r)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
 
MVR-7   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLE BOTTOMS 6 1 2 2½   13 19 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 23% 3.30 2.60 W
LO BUG 3 4 56 55   47 29 (zielinski rich)AYALA J 120 4.00 1.30  
SIOFRA 2 5 1 1½   23 3 (wolochuk david)CEDILLO MAURO 120 3.50 27% 2.70 6.00 S
MIDNIGHT GODDESS 5 3 4 3   33 411½ (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 120 20.00 5% 19.00 32.00  
FLASHY N 7 2 67 6   5 512 (rivera r)DIAZ I 120 10.00 5.90  
COMPLEXITY GIRL 4 6 33 44   610½ 621½ (rivera nestor)NUNEZ Y 122 4.50 16.40  
SHE'S WILLIE FAST 1 7 711 710½   713 726¼ (poole m)GONZALEZ A 120 8.00 21% 3.80 6.10  
SCR  MALEAH               (anderson susan )BRACHO A 120 5.00    
 
MVR-8   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL IT A NIGHT 6 1 2nk 22   2½ 1 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 125 6.00 7% 14.00 4.00 W
MIDNIGHT COUNCIL 1 7 1nk 12   1½ 2 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 125 2.00 50% 1.00 0.80 P
NORTH SHIP 7 2 4¾ 32   46 3 (hetrick nic)AVILES YAN 125 4.00 20% 4.10 2.10 S
A VAN ON THE RUN 4 3 6 79   58 4 (huffman candac)AYALA J 125 15.00 14.80  
THISISRIDICULOUS 5 5 5 4   3 510 (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 125 12.00 15.40  
LEGENDARY STAR 3 6 7 57   69 610½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 125 20.00 5% 19.00 38.20  
POP THE CORK 2 4 3.2 6   710 718¼ (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 125 20.00 48.30  
SCR  MAIN LINE CIPHER               (farrior anthony)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.