Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - December 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $10.20 $4.20 70%
MVR-2   DD (1/4/2)-(2/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-2 $26.20 $8.20 46%
MVR-3   EXA (5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-8 $36.60 $12.60 53%
    TRI (5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-8-7 $117.85 $105.85 882%
MVR-5   EXA (9/8/5/2)-(9/8/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-2 $62.80 $38.80 162%
MVR-8   WIN (1/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.00 $2.00 25%
    EXA (1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-1 $27.20 $3.20 13%
    TRI (1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-1-8 $15.25 $3.25 27%
    DD (2/6/1/5)-(1/8/7/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-7 $53.00 $21.00 66%
    PK3 (7/4/6/8)-(2/6/1/5)-(1/8/7/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00  7-6-7 $47.35 $15.35 48%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
1:143         1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  THINK BLUE 2 3 11 12½   11½ 15¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 7% 13.30 4.10 W
3  PRANCIPANTS 3 5 56 53¾   33½ 25¼ (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 124 5.00 4.20  
1  OOPSIE DOOPSIE 1 4 21 22½   21½ 35½ (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 2.00 37% 1.70 1.30 S
5  PERPETUAL PRAISE 5 2 42 42¾   54½ 47¾ (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 3.10  
4  VILLAGE QUEEN 4 1 31½ 32½   44 58½ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 28% 2.50 5.00  
SCR  ONE NIGHT STAND               (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 12.00    
 
MVR-2   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:23 :463 :594     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LADY LOTTIE 1 5 43¼ 4¾   1nk 1½ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 46% 1.20 0.70 W
5  KICHI KITSU 4 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (ruberto louis)BRACHO A 124 5.00 5% 19.00 3.30 P
4  THE MIRACLE KIUT 3 2 3.2 2nk   33½ 36 (vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 124 3.00 5.20  
3  CROSSED UP 2 4 54¼ 55¼   47 47¾ (vecchi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 18% 4.50 5.30  
6  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 5 1 1nk 3.2   57¼ 515 (ske)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 6.00 10.20  
SCR  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE               (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
 
MVR-3   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CINCAZUL 5 2 43 44   22½ 12¼ (ward a)DIAZ I 120 3.00 27% 2.70 1.00 W
8  HIGH TOLE 7 1 11½ 13   12½ 22¼ (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 117 20.00 15% 5.60 15.60 P
7  ACTION MAN 6 3 76¾ 76¾   66 36¼ (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 122 30.00 5% 19.00 40.10 S
2  STREETS OF WAR 2 6 65¾ 66½   56 46½ (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 120 3.50 5.80  
5  PERFECT SHANCES 4 4 21½ 23   45½ 58½ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 117 1.20 33% 2.00 1.90  
3  STAROFTHEGAME 3 5 53¼ 34   34½ 611 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 120 12.00 8.60  
1  NIGHT NURSE 1 7 33 56   77½ 712 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 8.00 16.40  
SCR  BIGTONTEN               (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 122 10.00    
 
MVR-4   12/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:223 :462       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GOING IN STYLE 4 1 12 12   12 11½ (bailey ri)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 2.00 23% 3.30 0.80 W
4  LOGICO 3 4 48 49½   32 21½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.00 5.40  
3  MAKING ME CRAZY 2 2 35½ 34½   22 33½ (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 19% 4.30 6.60 S
6  BIG ROWDY DAN 5 5 511½ 511½   53¾ 45¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 22% 3.50 2.00  
1  MORETHANREADYEDDIE 1 3 22 22   42¼ 58 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 14.20  
SCR  ZEN MASTER               (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.40    
 
MVR-5   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :463 :594     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PANTHERA'S FATE 7 2 22 21½   33 1¼ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 49% 1.00 1.10 W
2  CAPTURE MI 2 3 12 11½   1nk 2¼ (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 23.20 P
6  BUCKET LIST 4 4 32 32½   2nk 32 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 125 5.00 3.10  
1  ON HIS TOES 1 7 77¼ 710   68¾ 45 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00 47.80  
5  CHAMPAGNE MIKE 3 5 55½ 59   57¼ 510 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 123 8.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
7  SERGEANT COUNTZLER 5 1 65¾ 69½   710¼ 611½ (meyers shane)STOKES J 124 6.00 9.60  
8  FLAWLESS CAT 6 6 44 44½   47 714 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.50 24% 3.20 2.40  
SCR  ANCIENT MAN               (hug)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
SCR  MOON OVER DUBAI               (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00    
 
MVR-6   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LIBERATE 6 3 31 2nk   1nk 1¾ (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 1.80 63% 0.60 1.50 W
4  DARK VADER 4 6 64½ 41¾   41¾ 2¾ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 2.50 12% 7.10 2.20 P
3  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 3 4 21 31½   31½ 32½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 3.00  
2  RED HEAD KID 2 5 42½ 52¾   2nk 43 (ga)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 30.00 33.20  
6  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP 5 2 11 1nk   55¼ 513 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
8  BLAZING BURROUGHS 7 1 53½ 64¾   66¼ 614¼ (smith larry)BRACHO A 124 12.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
1  RUMBLE STRIP RON 1 7 77½ 78¾   710¼ 720¾ (johnson gary)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 20.00 29.30  
SCR  FIRST SONG               (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 12.00    
 
MVR-7   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BELLE BOTTOMS 6 1 21½ 2½   13 19 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 23% 3.30 2.60 W
3  LO BUG 3 4 56 55   47 29 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 120 4.00 1.30  
2  SIOFRA 2 5 11½ 1½   23 39¼ (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 120 3.50 27% 2.70 6.00 S
5  MIDNIGHT GODDESS 5 3 44½ 33½   33 411½ (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 120 20.00 5% 19.00 32.00  
7  FLASHY N 7 2 67 66½   58½ 512 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 120 10.00 5.90  
4  COMPLEXITY GIRL 4 6 33 44   610½ 621½ (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 122 4.50 16.40  
1  SHE'S WILLIE FAST 1 7 711 710½   713 726¼ (poole m)GONZALEZ A 120 8.00 21% 3.80 6.10  
SCR  MALEAH               (anderson susa)BRACHO A 120 5.00    
 
MVR-8   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CALL IT A NIGHT 6 1 2nk 22   2½ 12¼ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 125 6.00 7% 14.00 4.00 W
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TASTE'S CLASSYLADY by AFLEET ALEX)
1  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL 1 7 1nk 12   1½ 22¼ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 125 2.00 50% 1.00 0.80 P
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SMOOTH PERFORMER by BENCHMARK)
8  NORTH SHIP 7 2 4¾ 32   46 36½ (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 125 4.00 20% 4.10 2.10 S
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LARKIN by BERNARDINI)
4  A VAN ON THE RUN 4 3 62¾ 79   58 49½ (huffman cand)AYALA J 125 15.00 14.80  
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
6  THISISRIDICULOUS 5 5 51¾ 45½   33½ 510 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 125 12.00 15.40  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of GATOR FAN FESTIVAL by EL CORREDOR)
3  LEGENDARY STAR 3 6 72¾ 57   69 610½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 125 20.00 5% 19.00 38.20  
  (by MOBIL out of GIRLIANO by PAULIANO)
2  POP THE CORK 2 4 3.2 67½   710 718¼ (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 125 20.00 48.30  
  (by GENERAL A ROD out of TIZ VEGAS by TIZNOW)
SCR  MAIN LINE CIPHER               (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.80    
  (by HONOR CODE out of MY PHILLY GIRL by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.