Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - December 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(2/3/5)-(5/6/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/6/8/7)-(5/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7)-(5/6/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/8/7)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/7)-(5/6/3)-(9/8/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(9/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(9/8/5/2)-(7/4/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/5/2)-(9/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/5/2)-(9/8/5/2)-(9/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/5/2)-(7/4/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/8/5/2)-(7/4/6/8)-(2/6/1/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/8)-(2/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/8)-(2/6/1/5)-(1/8/7/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/5)-(1/8/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3)-(1/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OOPSIE DOOPSIE Aug16 Jul26 Jun06 May23 Apr10 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  THINK BLUE Nov19 Oct22 Oct13 Sep22 Sep05 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 7% 13.30    
3  PRANCIPANTS Oct19 Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 May27 (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 124 5.00    
4  VILLAGE QUEEN Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 Jun08 May15 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
5  PERPETUAL PRAISE Nov20 Oct02 Sep13 Aug14 Jul25 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
SCR  ONE NIGHT STAND Nov11 Oct20 Oct07 Sep24 Sep03 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 12.00    
 
MVR-2   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Dec03 Nov18 Sep19 Jun22 May23 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
2  LADY LOTTIE Aug13 Jul24 Jul02 Jun07 May18 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  CROSSED UP Nov04 Oct26 Sep19 Aug21 Aug01 (vecchi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
4  THE MIRACLE KIUT Nov18 Oct29 Oct01 Sep19 Sep04 (vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 124 3.00    
5  KICHI KITSU Sep09 Jun22 Jun05 May18 May04 (ruberto louis)BRACHO A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Nov13 Oct28 Aug26 Jul25 Jul03 (ske)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 6.00    
 
MVR-3   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT NURSE Oct14 Sep24 Aug14     (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 8.00    
2  STREETS OF WAR Nov22 Oct23 Oct07 Sep20 Aug15 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 120 3.50    
3  STAROFTHEGAME Oct30 Sep30       (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 120 12.00    
SCR  BIGTONTEN Nov27 Nov11       (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 122 10.00    
5  PERFECT SHANCES May11 Apr11       (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 117 1.20 33% 2.00    
6  CINCAZUL Oct02 Aug15       (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
7  ACTION MAN Nov25 Nov11       (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  HIGH TOLE Sep09         (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 117 20.00 15% 5.60    
 
MVR-4   12/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Nov20 Oct22 Oct07 Sep19 Aug12 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
SCR  ZEN MASTER Nov14 Oct22 Oct03 Jul26 Jul01 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.40    
3  MAKING ME CRAZY Nov26 Oct19 Sep19 Aug22 Jul23 (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
4  LOGICO May21 Apr09 Mar19 Feb26 Jan01 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
5  GOING IN STYLE Nov20 Nov11 Oct30 Oct22 Oct02 (bailey ri)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 2.00 23% 3.30    
6  BIG ROWDY DAN Nov20 Oct19 Sep24 Jun08 Jun01 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 22% 3.50    
 
MVR-5   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON HIS TOES Oct28 Oct03 Aug27 Jul17 May15 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
2  CAPTURE MI Nov07 Oct28 Oct01 Sep18 Sep05 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANCIENT MAN Nov18 Nov02 Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 (hug)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
SCR  MOON OVER DUBAI Dec10 Nov20 Nov07 Oct23 Oct16 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00    
5  CHAMPAGNE MIKE Nov25 Nov07 Oct30 Oct10 Sep19 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BUCKET LIST Nov26 Oct29 Oct09 Sep18 Sep04 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 125 5.00    
7  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Nov25 Oct30 Oct15 Oct02 Sep16 (meyers shane)STOKES J 124 6.00    
8  FLAWLESS CAT Nov25 Oct28 Sep18 Sep05 Aug19 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
9  PANTHERA'S FATE Nov25 Oct23 Oct07 Sep16 Sep03 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 49% 1.00    
 
MVR-6   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUMBLE STRIP RON Nov04 Jul04 Jun12 Apr11 Mar26 (johnson gary)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 20.00    
2  RED HEAD KID Nov18 Oct30 Oct08 Sep17 Aug30 (ga)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 30.00    
3  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Nov25 Nov13 Nov05 Oct26 Sep10 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00    
4  DARK VADER Oct26 Oct10 Sep10 Jun07 May15 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 2.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  FIRST SONG Nov25 Oct22 Aug30 Jul30 Jun22 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 12.00    
6  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Oct22 Sep26 Apr25 Jun02 Apr26 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LIBERATE Oct06 Jun13 May15 Mar11 Dec26 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 1.80 63% 0.60    
8  BLAZING BURROUGHS Nov18 Oct30 Sep07 Aug17 Aug08 (smith larry)BRACHO A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S WILLIE FAST Oct26         (poole m)GONZALEZ A 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
2  SIOFRA Nov11 Oct09 Aug28 Aug07 Jul22 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  LO BUG Sep16 Aug10 Jul22 Jul04   (zielinski ri)AYALA J 120 4.00    
4  COMPLEXITY GIRL Nov26 Nov13 Oct26 Oct09 Sep16 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 122 4.50    
5  MIDNIGHT GODDESS Nov25 Nov07 Oct23 Sep24 Sep06 (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  BELLE BOTTOMS Nov13 Oct26 Oct09 Sep16 Aug28 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
7  FLASHY N Nov11 Oct26 Oct10 Aug28 Aug10 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 120 10.00    
SCR  MALEAH Nov11 Oct02 Sep12 Aug10 Jul19 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 120 5.00    
 
MVR-8   12/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL Nov14 Oct28 Sep24 Aug20 Jul31 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 125 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SMOOTH PERFORMER by BENCHMARK)
2  POP THE CORK Nov14 Oct21 Sep24 Jul02 Jun05 (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 125 20.00    
  (by GENERAL A ROD out of TIZ VEGAS by TIZNOW)
3  LEGENDARY STAR Oct28 Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 Aug15 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of GIRLIANO by PAULIANO)
4  A VAN ON THE RUN Oct23 Oct01 Aug29 Jul02 May30 (huffman cand)AYALA J 125 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
SCR  MAIN LINE CIPHER Feb21 Jan25 Jan11 Nov22 May04 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.80    
  (by HONOR CODE out of MY PHILLY GIRL by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  THISISRIDICULOUS Nov20 Jun07 May25 May11 Apr27 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 125 12.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of GATOR FAN FESTIVAL by EL CORREDOR)
7  CALL IT A NIGHT Nov14 Oct01 Sep09 Aug19   (radosevich je)BRACHO A 125 6.00 7% 14.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TASTE'S CLASSYLADY by AFLEET ALEX)
8  NORTH SHIP Nov14 Oct17 Sep24 Aug21   (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 125 4.00 20% 4.10    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LARKIN by BERNARDINI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.