Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Saturday - January 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(2/10/6/9/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(2/10/6/9/1)-(1/5/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-2   WIN (2/10/6/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/6/9/1)-(2/10/6/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/6/9/1)-(2/10/6/9/1)-(2/10/6/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/6/9/1)-(1/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/10/6/9/1)-(1/5/6)-(2/3/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(2/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(2/3/5/1)-(5/1/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (2/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/10/1)-(2/3/5/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/5/1)-(5/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/1)-(5/1/7/6)-(10/4/8/2/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-5   WIN (5/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/6)-(10/4/8/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/6)-(10/4/8/2/1)-(4/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-6   WIN (10/4/8/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/8/2/1)-(10/4/8/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/8/2/1)-(10/4/8/2/1)-(10/4/8/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/8/2/1)-(4/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/4/8/2/1)-(4/2/5)-(6/8/4/2/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-7   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(6/8/4/2/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(6/8/4/2/9)-(7/8/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-8   WIN (6/8/4/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/2/9)-(6/8/4/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/2/9)-(6/8/4/2/9)-(6/8/4/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/4/2/9)-(7/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-9   WIN (7/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/3)-(7/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/3)-(7/8/4/3)-(7/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUNNY SASSICAIA Sep16 Sep04 Jun13 May25 Apr27 (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 122 3.50    
2  VERO CAMPIONE Dec07 Sep18 Aug27 Jul29 Jun12 (duke steven)MURRAY M 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
3  ITS WILD AGAIN Dec07 Aug27 Jul27 Jul29 May13 (peterson j)ALBERT S 122 8.00 6% 14.50    
4  PUPPETEER (GB) Dec07 Aug10 Jul20 May29 May16 (castille )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00    
5  ZOEY'S HIPPIE Aug17 May23 Apr20 Feb01 Jan11 (journet albe)JOURNET JARRED 122 30.00    
6  WHATTA LIFE Nov26 Nov15 Oct19 Aug17 Aug01 (larrosa juan)TORRES A 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
7  APRIORITY ROCKET Nov29 Sep09 Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.00    
 
FG-2   01/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVE'S DELIGHT Aug27 Aug15 Jul16 Jul03 Jun17 (goins garl)ALBERT S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BOOMIN' BELLE Dec14 Nov16 Sep12 May19 Mar31 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  DREWSILLA Aug19 Jun17 May13 Mar20 Feb29 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00    
4  VISIONISTA Dec15 Aug01 Jun16 May25 May05 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00    
5  PLATINUM MINIT Dec15 Jun14 Mar23 Feb04 Dec31 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
6  SWEET SASSICAIA Sep24 Aug10 May24 Mar24 Feb22 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 6% 17.00    
7  GRACELEADSUSHOME Nov28 Oct06 Aug11 Jul06 Jun16 (simpson daniel)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
8  ISLAND GOLD Dec27 Oct25 Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 (larrosa juan)TORRES A 120 12.00    
9  TOMMIE G Dec14 Oct19 Aug02 Jun20 Jun01 (west g)MCMAHON J 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  EYE OF THE PHARAOH Dec14 Nov29 Aug12     (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  VALE MALE Nov23 Mar24 Mar02 Feb03 Dec09 (claire alexis)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
 
FG-3   01/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTLEIGH Dec19 Nov21 Aug22 Jul12 May29 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
2  BAYSHORE FOXES Dec12 Aug16 Jul21 Jun24 May18 (guillory h)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00    
3  SALLY'S SUPRISE Dec12 Oct19 Oct03 Aug22 Aug01 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.00    
4  TYRONA Oct20 Sep29 Sep02 Jun26 Apr14 (schultz lind)TORRES A 121 1.80    
5  SAINT EROS GIRL Dec07 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 May10 (terre david)MCMAHON J 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
6  SIMONA'S CHOICE Dec12 Jul21 Jun15 Apr27 Mar22 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-4   01/04/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIONEER MISSION         (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MYTHICAL MISSION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  OUT TOO LATE (GB) Dec12 Nov16 Sep21 Aug22 Jul14 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 68% 0.50    
  (by EXPERT EYE out of MISS ATOMIC BOMB by INTIKHAB)
3  IZZY SWEET GIRL (IRE) May02 Mar29       (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 122 4.00 8% 11.60    
  (by KODIAC out of BIONIC BUFFY by DARK ANGEL)
4  CLOSING PRAYER Dec07 Jun02 May19 Mar28 Feb28 (margolis )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 20.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of CLOSING STATEMENT by BLAME)
5  CRANK IT UP Dec07 Aug25 Jul27     (catalano way)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of HERMAJESTYCOMMANDS by WAR FRONT)
6  TAPIT QUICK Nov09 Sep29       (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of INSPEIGHTOF by ORB)
7  PRINCESS POM POM Nov13 Oct24 Sep29 Sep04 May02 (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CECILEABRATION by GRAEME HALL)
8  STAR ANISE Dec07 Oct10 Sep21 Sep04 Jun05 (brinkman bre)TORRES A 122 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LEMON SPICE by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  JADE D'AMORE Sep16 Mar12       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of STRATEGIC MISSILE by STRATEGIC MISSION)
10  JUST A COED Nov23 Oct25 Sep21 Dec31 Nov25 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of STUDENT BODY by COLONEL JOHN)
 
FG-5   01/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Dec15 Jul10 May03 Mar22 Mar03 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 1.80 25% 3.10    
2  OAK HILL LG Nov24 Jul30 Jul09 May29 May04 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 6.00    
3  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Dec14 Sep14 Jun07 May13 Feb29 (ney john)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 5.00    
4  FLASH N CLASS Nov09 Sep14 Sep03 Jul24 Jun25 (foster jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
5  TOTALLY ADDICTED Dec15 Nov24 Jul04 Jun07 May23 (david b)GRAHAM J 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
6  HOOSIER Dec06 Sep26 Aug05 Jul02 Jun10 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Dec12 Sep18 Aug20 Jul10 May18 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 15% 5.70    
 
FG-6   01/04/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SELL THE BUFFALO         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of STAINLESS by FLATTER)
2  GOLDENAGEACTRESS Nov30         (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of APPEALING AUDREY by MALIBU MOON)
3  GIN RUN Dec13         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 30.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of TANQURETTE by STREET BOSS)
4  GOOD CONDUCT Nov30 Oct06 Aug23 Jul18   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 6% 16.00    
  (by WITHOUT PAROLE out of CHURCH ON TIME by HONOR CODE)
5  AVISO Dec16 Oct25       (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of OFF THE ROAD by QUICK ROAD)
6  EXPECTO PATRONUM         (beckman wh)TORRES A 120 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BALLETTE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  RATHER DISTINCT Oct06 Aug19       (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of RATHER SPECIAL by GALILEO)
8  LOVE AND POETRY Oct26         (devaux cheri)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 6% 16.40    
  (by HARD SPUN out of GRACE AND DIGNITY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
9  MISS BIRKIN (IRE)         (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00    
  (by PROFITABLE out of FASHION LINE by MORNING LINE)
10  ATERRADORA (IRE) Nov30         (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 63% 0.60    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of LAST GOLD by GOLD AWAY (IRE))
11  DARING DAME         (amoss thomas )CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of STRIKING STYLE by SMART STRIKE)
 
FG-7   01/04/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORIZZONTE Nov29 Mar21       (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of BROWNIE POINTS by FOREST WILDCAT)
2  EL MAGNIFICO Oct31 Apr06 Feb17 Jan13 Dec23 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SECRET JEWEL by BERNARDINI)
3  BAYOU BLITZ         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LOUISIANA VOODOO by BIG BROWN)
4  SKIP THE LINE Jan31 Jan01 Oct01 Jul29   (sharp joe)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BUBBLER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  BRILLIANT CALL Nov23         (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of AMAZING LITTLELADY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  MAX S Dec22 Dec10 Nov10     (gomez jorge)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 20.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of PERIQUE by TAPIT)
 
FG-8   01/04/2025 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($59K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPLASH MASTER Dec01 Nov15 Oct16 Sep19 Feb17 (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
2  GARNET AND GOLD Dec08 Oct17 Sep24     (rice adam)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  NUMERO SEIS Apr20 Mar03 Sep21 Aug19 Jun15 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
4  CLASSIC PERFORMER Dec08 Jul25 Jun05 Apr27 Apr10 (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 6% 14.60    
5  SUGAR BEE Nov30 Nov03 Oct11     (milosevic)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
6  OBSTREPEROUS Dec08 Sep05 Jul25 Jul04 Mar27 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
7  CYNANE Jun29 May26 Oct27 Sep10 May11 (morley thoma)TORRES A 120 6.00    
8  DON'T SAY IT Nov10 Aug29 Aug05 Oct21 Sep16 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
9  KICK A RHYME (IRE) Dec08 Nov22 Mar16 Feb17 Jan13 (maker j)CURTIS BEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  CLOEY ATTACK Dec08 Oct29 Oct06 Sep01 Aug11 (childers )HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
SCR  THE GREAT MAYBE Mar03 Dec31 Nov10 Sep21 Nov26 (devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  JAYDENSQUEENOHARTS Dec16 Dec06 Sep28 Aug23 Jul28 (guillory henry )MCMAHON J 120 20.00    
SCR  LA FORET Nov22 Oct16 Sep15 Aug29 Jul20 (catalano way)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00    
SCR  NOTABLE QUEEN Dec08 Oct05 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
SCR  RUBIA Nov03 Sep16 Aug21 Jun30 Jun11 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
 
FG-9   01/04/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY OF LOVE Dec12 Jul19 Feb02 Jan06 Dec16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00    
2  WILL TAKE IT Nov23 Oct18 Sep19 Aug24 Jun30 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
3  COPPERMASTER Dec07 Nov07 Oct11 Aug17 Jul19 (troiani n)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GORILLA TREK Nov28 Sep26 Sep01 Jul20 May11 (bauer philip)TORRES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  NATIONAL ECLIPSE Dec07 Nov13 Oct06 Sep15 Jan20 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
6  GLEN AIRY Nov24 Sep19 Jul21 Jun27 May27 (mcgee pau)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
7  MOONLIGHT Dec01 Oct16 Jul27 Jun29 Apr13 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 4.00 59% 0.70    
8  GILDED CRAKEN Nov21 Oct23 Sep12 Aug02 Jul12 (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 9% 9.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.