Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-2   WIN (5/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $8.80 $0.80 10%
    EXA (5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-6 $15.50 $3.50 29%
EVD-3   WIN (10/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.60 $3.60 45%
    EXA (10/6/5/3)-(10/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-6 $34.20 $22.20 185%
    DD (5/6/2/4)-(10/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-3 $20.80 $4.80 30%
EVD-4   EXA (1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-4 $54.50 $42.50 354%
    TRI (1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-4-2 $80.95 $68.95 575%
    DD (10/6/5/3)-(1/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-1 $18.40 $2.40 15%
    PK3 (5/6/2/4)-(10/6/5/3)-(1/2/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00  5-3-1 $39.05 $7.05 22%
EVD-6   EXA (6/4/5/9/3)-(6/4/5/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-3 $39.20 $19.20 96%
    TRI (6/4/5/9/3)-(6/4/5/9/3)-(6/4/5/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-3-5 $94.15 $64.15 214%
EVD-7   TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  6-5-4 $10.05 $1.05 12%
EVD-10   EXA (5/6/7/2/1)-(5/6/7/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-7 $31.30 $11.30 57%

Simulator Race results

 
EVD-1   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:15 1:282   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEE JEE 4 5 5 65 3½ 1nk 12 (david b)VARGAS P 117 4.50 6.60  
BREAKING STAR 7 4 3 3½ 2nk 2nk 22 (bourgeois keith)MCMAHON J 117 6.00 5% 19.00 7.30 P
RED OCTOBER 3 6 710½ 7 65 44 3 (escobar alison)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 15.00 34.20  
MO CAN DO 5 2 2½ 2nk 1nk 31 4 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 121 3.50 12% 7.40 6.10  
MONOLITH 6 3 4 4 53 5 510 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 2.00 58% 0.70 0.80  
MOONOVERMONTGOMERY 1 1 1½ 1nk 42 6 616½ (sanchez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 8.00 3.70  
STRONG DIAMOND 2 7 6 54 78 721¼ 743¾ (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 21.30  
SCR  BLESSED BY CUPID               (bourgeois keith)CARRENO J 120 20.00    
SCR  KAH NIGH               (dussette alv)QUILES ANTONIO 117 20.00    
SCR  MALIBU MONEY               (mojica)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 15.00    
SCR  SWORNTOSILENCE               (jeansonne ju)BARRERA J 117 15.00    
 
EVD-2   07/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REQUESTFORPROPOSAL 5 5 54 4   1nk 1 (sanchez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 2.50 45% 1.20 3.40 W
HIDDEN LOVE 6 3 3 55   4 2 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 124 4.00 25% 3.00 2.60 P
REAUX BINA 7 7 6 6   3.2 3 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 3.00 2.50  
DESPEIGHTFUL 8 4 43 32   6 4 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 117 3.50 2.60  
BETONYA 1 2 2 22   5 5 (zeno benjamin)FLORIAN JOSE 112 12.00 40.90  
CALERA LOVE 2 1 1 12   2nk 6 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
TROSKA 3 8 812½ 7   7 78 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 20.00 34.40  
SUPER SPIRIT 4 6 7 8   8 810 (knudsen kent)CARRENO J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
SCR  DYLAN'S DREAM               (zeno benjamin)FLORIAN JOSE 115 15.00    
 
EVD-3   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:143 1:29   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE MY PICTURE 3 7 714 7 67 4 13 (gelner j)WADE LYNDIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.80 W
SURREY 5 4 5 5 55 32 23 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 124 8.00 24% 3.20 7.80 P
JOVIE G 2 2 2 2½ 2nk 1½ 3 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 13.60  
RUSTY'S SUNRISE 4 3 3 3 43 5 4 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 4.50 6% 15.00 9.10  
COAL DANCER 6 6 611½ 6 3 6 58 (breaux samuel)STOKES J 117 20.00 24.20  
HIGH DONNA 1 1 1 1½ 1nk 2½ 611¼ (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 124 20.00 48.90  
10  HAUNTRESS 7 5 4 4 79 710½ 719¾ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 2.50 44% 1.30 0.40  
SCR  ASPEN LINK               (thomas lee)MAGNON H 121 3.00    
SCR  RULED BY SPIRIT               (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
SCR  TAP IRON FIST               (castille carro)THORNTON G 121 10.00    
 
EVD-4   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:144 1:283   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRE ME LESS 1 1 4 42 22 1 1½ (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 121 2.00 42% 1.40 1.90 W
MSCHITCHATTOUR 4 7 710 7 7 55 2½ (zenon shelton)FLORIAN JOSE 116 20.00 5% 19.00 24.20 P
LILY'S CREED 2 4 3 32 5 2 3½ (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 121 3.00 13% 6.90 1.50 S
CARRY ON 6 3 22 2 3 3 4 (gonzalez v)MCMAHON J 121 20.00 15.90  
FASTED 3 6 5 5 43 67 59 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00 12% 7.30 5.30  
BETISON 7 2 12 1 12 44 610½ (brinkman brett)CARRENO J 121 10.00 11.00  
TOLATETOOWAIT 5 5 68 63 6 79 710¾ (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.50 6.20  
SCR  BE A BANDIT               (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 15.00    
SCR  CASHEW               (gelner scott)BARRERA J 121 5.00    
 
EVD-5   07/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 2 F PT- 8:18
See original race card.
:231 :471       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST MEDICINE 4 6 42     1nk 13 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 1.80 51% 0.90 0.70 W
SMALL TOWN HEROINE 6 3 3½     2nk 23 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 118 3.50 2.50  
HALF AN APPLE 2 1 1½     33 313 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 115 8.00 5% 19.00 7.00 S
FRET NO MORE 1 4 56     58 413½ (ducoing sturges)MCMAHON J 115 3.00 21% 3.70 4.50  
MOMENT TO PREACH 3 2 2½     45 514½ (pomier chase)BARRERA J 115 15.00 29.60  
LAGUNERA 5 5 614     633 648 (west henry)STOKES J 115 20.00 44.10  
SCR  ATTILA THE SPUN               (broberg karl)ROSIER R 115 5.00    
SCR  LA CATRINA               (west henry)FLORIAN JOSE 110 15.00    
 
EVD-6   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
See original race card.
:251 :484 1:142 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT BONZ 6 7 53 54 2 2½ 1½ (mojica edith)QUILES ANTONIO 118 2.50 29% 2.40 2.80 W
HONOR MY SPEED 3 1 1½ 1½ 1 1½ 2½ (landry ray)ROSIER R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 16.00 P
SPHEROID 5 3 4 6 4 3 32 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 121 15.00 15% 5.50 6.60 S
TAKEN BACK 8 8 911 910½ 7 4 4 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 20.00 31.10  
TSURIS 2 5 6 44 5 5 5 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 118 3.50 3.40  
HAPPY BOY ROCKET 7 6 74 7 6 7 6 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 121 10.00 2.10  
BARAHIN 9 4 3 3 3 64 711½ (escobar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00 10% 8.90 22.60  
TAPPIN FORA DANCE 1 9 86 8 8 8 812 (romero alvin)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 33.90  
FLASHING ANGELBABY 4 2 2½ 2½ 9 916½ 926 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 4.50 23% 3.40 7.80  
SCR  EGO               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 121 8.00    
SCR  GOTTATAKEHIMTO               (patt roland)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 15.00    
SCR  NATE'S ATTACK               (briley lonnie)STOKES J 121 5.00    
SCR  SMOKY TOPAZ               (richards coral)THORNTON G 121 10.00    
 
EVD-7   07/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
See original race card.
:22 :451 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUYV 6 2 3 2½   2nk 1 (goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 1.80 31% 2.30 1.10 W
SASSI STRUTTER 5 3 2nk 1½   1nk 2 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 120 2.00 46% 1.20 3.80 P
CANKTON'S COWGIRL 4 4 1nk 32   33 38 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 117 6.00 5% 19.00 7.10 S
MY LUCKY BREAK 1 5 5 56   5 49 (west henry)FLORIAN JOSE 112 15.00 52.50  
STORMY VALENTINE 7 1 4 44   45 511½ (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 10.00 19.60  
ACCOMMODATE EVA 2 7 6 68   67 613½ (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 117 4.00 2.20  
SIENNA BREEZE 3 6 7 7   710 721 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 121 12.00 40.20  
 
EVD-8   07/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:134     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTIE'S DEAL 5 4 5 43   2½ 1 (cuccia j)STOKES J 124 1.60 2.30  
SAUCY GEM 6 1 2½ 1½   1½ 2 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 124 4.00 17% 4.80 1.20 P
COUSHATTA CUTIE 4 3 3 2½   3 3 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 1.80 30% 2.40 2.30 S
TIZ A BREAKUP 3 5 6 76   4 4 (journet albert)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 20.00 33.30  
NANNY'S HOUDINI 2 7 710½ 65   5 511¼ (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 124 10.00 5% 19.00 42.00  
QUICK BITE 7 2 4 55   6 613¾ (ward ronnie)QUILES ANTONIO 124 20.00 21.00  
SEND IT SOARING 1 6 1½ 3   717½ 733 (bernard john)FLORIAN JOSE 115 6.00 20% 4.10 12.60  
 
EVD-9   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:14 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JALOUSE 3 4 3 32 31 2 1¾ (calhoun willia)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 15.00 4.90  
A LIL PSYCHOTIC 4 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 1 2¾ (sanchez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 32% 2.10 4.10 P
IM SINGLED UP 6 3 64 6 55 44 3 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 124 2.50 30% 2.30 1.10 S
MRS. KATZ 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 32 46 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 4.00 5.30  
STEEL GUITAR 1 5 43 4 43 56 5 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 3.50 9.50  
SIGNING 5 6 5 5 67 69 613¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
SCR  SUPER STORMY               (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 124 10.00    
 
EVD-10   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:34
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:152 1:284   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARVINS' POSSE 6 1 1½ 11 11 1nk 1 (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 124 3.00 26% 2.90 2.60 W
ITS WILD AGAIN 7 5 3½ 21 21 2nk 2 (peterson jessi)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 2.50 13% 6.90 8.50 P
MOON TRIP 4 2 5 4 33 32 3 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 20.00 30.30  
SAUCY ARGUMENT 2 9 7 7 6 56 44 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 124 4.00 7% 13.60 4.80  
ADMIRAL AFLEET 3 6 911¼ 810½ 8 8 5 (senegal j)FUSILIER C 124 8.00 2.60  
TUCKER THE GRUMP 1 3 4 5 57 6 6 (zenon shelton)FLORIAN JOSE 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
OUR HEATSEEKER 9 7 2½ 3 45 44 716½ (chevis a)STOKES J 124 10.00 10.00  
MINE YOUR BIZ 8 8 8 910¾ 79 78 825¾ (peterson jessi)THORNTON G 124 15.00 40.70  
IDE LIKE HAWAII 5 4 6 6 911½ 910½ 944¾ (bourgeois keith)MCMAHON J 124 5.00 30% 2.30 5.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.