Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - July 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $24.00 $20.00 500%
    EXA (9/3)-(9/7/3/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00  3-7 $54.10 $46.10 576%
LAD-4   EXA (3/2/9/7/5)-(3/2/9/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-2 $41.30 $21.30 107%
    TRI (3/2/9/7/5)-(3/2/9/7/5)-(3/2/9/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  9-2-3 $66.35 $36.35 121%
    SFT (3/2/9/7/5)-(3/2/9/7/5)-(3/2/9/7/5)-(3/2/9/7/5) 120 $0.10 $12.00  9-2-3-7 $42.58 $30.58 255%
LAD-5   TRI (5/4/3/8/9)-(5/4/3/8/9)-(5/4/3/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-8-4 $33.45 $3.45 12%
LAD-6   WIN (6/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $11.60 $3.60 45%
LAD-7   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $19.60 $13.60 227%
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-1 $94.40 $82.40 687%
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/1/3)-(5/7/2/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-1-7 $444.10 $426.10 2367%
    SHF (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/1/3)-(5/7/2/1/3)-(5/7/2/1/3)-(5/7/2/1/3) 72 $0.50 $36.00  2-1-ALL-ALL-ALL $197.10 $161.10 448%
    DD (6/4/2/7)-(5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-2 $55.90 $43.90 366%
    PK3 (5/4/3/8/9)-(6/4/2/7)-(5/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-4-2 $109.45 $79.45 265%
    PK4 (3/2/9/7/5)-(5/4/3/8/9)-(6/4/2/7)-(5/7/2) 300 $0.50 $150  9-2/5-4-2 $355.95 $205.95 137%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   07/16/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:131 1:253   1:32   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KENYA STRIKE 3 5 65½ 63½   72¼ 1½ (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.00 W
7  MS. CAJUN QUEEN 7 9 77 74½   4¾ 2½ (delany sarah)BARRERA J 122 4.00 ★ 4.10 P
2  COMMUNICATIONISKEY 2 1 11½ 11½   2nk 3¾ (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 10.00 30.10  
8  OUR AMEN 8 3 33 32½   5¾ 4¾ (morris rowdy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 11.30  
9  MONEY WELL SPENT 9 2 21½ 21½   1nk 51 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 76% 0.30 0.70  
4  MIDNIGHT TRIP 4 6 55 53½   3½ 62¼ (del er)RAMIREZ JR 117 4.50 ★ 18.00  
1  MO CLASSY 1 8 87 85   83¼ 72¾ (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 16.30  
5  MISS KENNEDY 5 4 44 43   61¼ 82¾ (duke steven)VARGAS P 122 5.00 ★ 8.50  
6  ANN'S STORM 6 7 98 99   93¾ 93¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00 59.30  
 
LAD-2   07/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HEAVENLY DEAL 4 2 32½ 3½   1nk 11½ (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 3.90  
  (by EL DEAL out of HEAVENS HALL by GRAEME HALL)
5  MYSTIC HOPE 5 4 21 2nk   2nk 21½ (rivera nestor)WADE LYNDIE 120 1.80 56% 0.80 0.60 P
  (by BIND out of MYSTIC DREAMER by FED BIZ)
2  PRINCE PERFECTA 2 1 54½ 55½   46 310½ (johnson )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00 8.50  
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of PRINCESS PERFECT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
6  STAR BYFAR 6 5 43½ 44½   59 418½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 16% 5.30 4.60  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SAFARI CALAMARI by HALF OURS)
3  CHICK THE HOOK 3 3 11 1nk   35 518¾ (dunn ray)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SALESPITCH by ARCH)
1  NOW NOW MELVIN 1 6 65½ 615½   624 680 (goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 10.00 23.40  
  (by NOWNOWNOW out of STELLA HEY STELLA by RULER'S COURT)
 
LAD-3   07/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:213 :45       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBOWED 1 2 1½ 11   1nk 11¼ (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 124 4.50 7.90  
2  D TWO 2 4 45 43½   3½ 21¼ (hewitt michae)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.00 36% 1.80 2.50 P
7  AFLEET ASCENT 5 5 55 55½   41½ 32¼ (schwandt emile)WADE LYNDIE 117 2.50 3.00  
4  JAKE THE BAND MAN 4 1 31 31½   2nk 44 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00 1.10  
3  HUEY DUEY 3 3 2½ 21   52½ 58¾ (hewitt michael)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 20% 3.90 8.60  
SCR  MEN OF KYLE               (duhon paul)FUSILIER C 120 4.00    
SCR  RECKLESS RANSOM               (felks jose)MARQUEZ L 121 10.00    
 
LAD-4   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  INVARIABLY 8 1 53½ 41½   3½ 11¾ (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 124 10.00 14% 6.40 2.70 W
2  TEXAS TURBINE 2 5 1nk 1nk   1nk 21¾ (wilson melto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.00 15% 5.70 15.70 P
3  BIG FIG 3 7 3½ 2nk   2nk 32¾ (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 28% 2.50 2.40 S
7  CHELSEA DAGGER 6 8 86 63¼   52¾ 44 (hebert matt)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 8.00 11% 8.20 8.40  
1  VORTEX (GB) 1 6 2nk 3½   42½ 55½ (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 1.90  
8  SILKY'S DANCE 7 2 75 75¼   66¾ 69¾ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00 26.50  
4  J'S LITTLE MAN 4 3 64½ 86¼   78¾ 712¼ (rufino eusebi)VARGAS P 124 15.00 42.70  
5  PEPPERONIKID 5 4 42½ 53   810¾ 814¼ (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
SCR  UNCLE NICK               (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00    
 
LAD-5   07/16/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:101 1:222   1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CHEAPSKATE DIVA 4 1 11 11½   1½ 11 (felks jose)MARQUEZ L 121 3.00 34% 1.90 0.80 W
8  BIRDIE CALL 7 3 21 21½   2½ 21 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 10.00 7% 12.40 7.90 P
4  TENSAS CANDY 3 2 56 55   53 32¾ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 16% 5.40 13.30 S
1  EVE'S DELIGHT 1 5 46 44½   32 43½ (goins garlan)MURRAY M 119 12.00 15.30  
10  LADY JEOPARDY 9 7 33 33   42½ 54 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 7.00  
9  GASTOWN 8 8 89½ 77½   64 64½ (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
3  MIDNIGHT BELLA 2 6 67½ 65½   74 76½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 11% 8.30 4.40  
6  MARINA'S GOLD 5 4 78 99½   86 89¾ (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00 26.90  
7  ZING 6 9 910½ 88½   97 912¾ (altamirano ele)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 12.00 34.60  
SCR  TENACIOUS LADY               (altamirano )RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00    
 
LAD-6   07/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:122     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LADY ATHENA 4 3 3½ 2nk   14 13¾ (hibdon n)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50 16% 5.40 4.80 W
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of ROSE GUITAR by STAR GUITAR)
5  GOLDEN CITY 5 4 66¼ 57¼   36 23¾ (hodges e)WADE LYNDIE 120 12.00 22.20  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RINGBANG CITY by CARSON CITY)
3  DELIGHTFUL HALO 3 6 43½ 35   46½ 37½ (duke steven)VARGAS P 120 8.00 25.70  
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of LOST MY HALO by FOREST CAMP)
6  IN B. J.'S HONOR 6 1 2nk 1nk   24 48¼ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 44% 1.30 0.30  
  (by COAL FRONT out of WAVE GOODBYE by PRIVATE VOW)
1  LITTLEBITOFAQUEEN 1 7 712¼ 713¼   611½ 511¾ (antwine mich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 10.40  
  (by LITTLEBITOFADEVIL out of IMPERIAL QUEEN by IMPERIALISM)
7  NIGHT TIZZY 7 2 53¾ 45¼   510½ 614¼ (beene linda)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 35.90  
  (by LUCKY TIZ out of NIGHT PARADE by PARADING)
2  CLASSIC DEAL 2 5 1nk 69¼   716½ 731½ (fogarty )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 8% 11.80 9.80  
  (by EL DEAL out of LADY BLUE BELLE by MINARDI)
 
LAD-7   07/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:11 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BRIARTOWN 2 6 2½ 2½ 21 2nk 1hd (beavin judy)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.80 W
1  BLESSED VISION 1 5 1½ 1½ 11 1nk 2hd (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 ★ 14.60 P
7  SHARP SPARK 6 4 32½ 32 33 33 33¾ (gelner jayde)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50 9% 10.60 6.90 S
9  HARD TO COME BY 8 2 96½ 74¾ 65¼ 55¼ 44 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 124 12.00 9.50  
3  SILVER ASSASSIN 3 7 86 96¾ 86¾ 67¼ 57½ (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.00 ★ 4.90  
4  HEXCEL 4 8 43½ 42 43 45 68 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 10.00 26.50  
5  SINGLE RULER 5 9 75 64¼ 76¼ 78¼ 79¼ (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 6.00 67% 0.50 1.20  
10  HOWARD'S GRIT 9 1 53½ 52¼ 55 89¾ 813¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 6.50  
8  LIVE AFFAIR 7 3 64½ 84¾ 98¾ 911¾ 918 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00 25.50  
SCR  EL SMOOCH               (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00    
SCR  GOTTA DEAL               (washington ri)LOZADA CARLOS 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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