Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - July 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/3)-(9/7/3/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/3)-(9/7/3/4/5)-(9/7/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/3)-(5/6/3)-(2/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-2   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(2/3/4)-(3/2/9/7/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-3   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(3/2/9/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(3/2/9/7/5)-(5/4/3/8/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-4   WIN (3/2/9/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/9/7/5)-(3/2/9/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/9/7/5)-(3/2/9/7/5)-(3/2/9/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/9/7/5)-(5/4/3/8/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/2/9/7/5)-(5/4/3/8/9)-(6/4/2/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-5   WIN (5/4/3/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/8/9)-(5/4/3/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/8/9)-(5/4/3/8/9)-(5/4/3/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/3/8/9)-(6/4/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/8/9)-(6/4/2/7)-(5/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-6   WIN (6/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/7)-(5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/1/3)-(5/7/2/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/16/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO CLASSY Jun18 Jun05 May21 May07 Apr10 (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00    
2  COMMUNICATIONISKEY Jun25 Jun08 May13 Apr16 Apr03 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 10.00    
3  KENYA STRIKE Jun18 Dec09 Nov09 Aug12 Jul10 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIDNIGHT TRIP Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 May20 Feb24 (del er)RAMIREZ JR 117 4.50 ★    
5  MISS KENNEDY Jun17 May07 Mar10 Feb10 Jan15 (duke steven)VARGAS P 122 5.00 ★    
6  ANN'S STORM Jul03 Jun25 Jun12 Feb25 Feb17 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
7  MS. CAJUN QUEEN Jun20 Jun06 May21 Mar24 Dec30 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 122 4.00 ★    
8  OUR AMEN Jun18 Jun05 May22 May04 Mar16 (morris rowdy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50    
9  MONEY WELL SPENT Jun18 May21 Mar24 Feb23 Jan25 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 76% 0.30    
 
LAD-2   07/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOW NOW MELVIN         (goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 10.00    
  (by NOWNOWNOW out of STELLA HEY STELLA by RULER'S COURT)
2  PRINCE PERFECTA Jun26 May29 May15 Mar22 Feb24 (johnson )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of PRINCESS PERFECT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
3  CHICK THE HOOK         (dunn ray)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SALESPITCH by ARCH)
4  HEAVENLY DEAL May29         (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of HEAVENS HALL by GRAEME HALL)
5  MYSTIC HOPE May29         (rivera nestor)WADE LYNDIE 120 1.80 56% 0.80    
  (by BIND out of MYSTIC DREAMER by FED BIZ)
6  STAR BYFAR         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SAFARI CALAMARI by HALF OURS)
 
LAD-3   07/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBOWED Jun28 Jun23 May04 Apr14 Apr05 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 124 4.50    
2  D TWO Jul02 Jun03 Apr21 Mar14 Mar03 (hewitt michae)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  HUEY DUEY Jun11 May15 Apr27 Apr14 Mar30 (hewitt michael)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 20% 3.90    
4  JAKE THE BAND MAN Jun10 Mar14 Feb23 Feb09 Oct07 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RECKLESS RANSOM Jun25 May15 Mar14 Feb07 Dec21 (felks jose)MARQUEZ L 121 10.00    
SCR  MEN OF KYLE May27 May15 Jan05 Dec17 Nov23 (duhon paul)FUSILIER C 120 4.00    
7  AFLEET ASCENT Jun10 May09 Feb29 Feb13 Dec08 (schwandt emile)WADE LYNDIE 117 2.50    
 
LAD-4   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VORTEX (GB) Jun26 May27 Mar08 Feb18 Jan26 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50    
2  TEXAS TURBINE Jul02 Jun17 Feb10 Jan12 Dec15 (wilson melto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
3  BIG FIG Jun19 Jun10 May27 Apr20 Apr05 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
4  J'S LITTLE MAN Jun26 Aug26 Jul29 Jun24 May29 (rufino eusebi)VARGAS P 124 15.00    
5  PEPPERONIKID Apr26 Apr07 Mar29 Feb25 Feb17 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNCLE NICK Jun14 Apr21 Mar22 Feb29 Feb08 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00    
7  CHELSEA DAGGER Jun22 May27 Apr21 Apr04 Mar07 (hebert matt)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 8.00 11% 8.20    
8  SILKY'S DANCE Jun24 Jun04 May20 Feb22 Jan27 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
9  INVARIABLY Mar10 Feb16 Jan26 Dec29 Dec14 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 124 10.00 14% 6.40    
 
LAD-5   07/16/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVE'S DELIGHT Jul03 Jun17 Feb25 Jan05 Dec08 (goins garlan)MURRAY M 119 12.00    
SCR  TENACIOUS LADY Jul01 Jun17 May27 May15 Apr19 (altamirano )RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00    
3  MIDNIGHT BELLA Jun17 Dec30 Oct14 Aug12 Jul15 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 11% 8.30    
4  TENSAS CANDY Jun01 May15 Mar24 Feb03 Dec09 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 16% 5.40    
5  CHEAPSKATE DIVA Jun17 May21 Jan05 Dec09 Aug05 (felks jose)MARQUEZ L 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  MARINA'S GOLD Jun17 Jan27 Dec09 Oct07 Jul17 (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 122 6.00    
7  ZING Jun19 May11 Apr18 Mar14 Mar02 (altamirano eleute)BOREL H 122 12.00    
8  BIRDIE CALL Jun24 Dec30 Oct25 Oct07 Aug27 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 10.00 7% 12.40    
9  GASTOWN Jun07 May25 Apr27 Apr18 Apr05 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  LADY JEOPARDY Jun17 Jan15 Dec16 Nov18 Aug27 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00    
 
LAD-6   07/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLEBITOFAQUEEN Jun12 May31 Mar24     (antwine mich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00    
  (by LITTLEBITOFADEVIL out of IMPERIAL QUEEN by IMPERIALISM)
2  CLASSIC DEAL         (fogarty )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 8% 11.80    
  (by EL DEAL out of LADY BLUE BELLE by MINARDI)
3  DELIGHTFUL HALO May27 Mar24 Feb16 Dec10   (duke steven)VARGAS P 120 8.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of LOST MY HALO by FOREST CAMP)
4  LADY ATHENA Jul06 Jun22 Jun09 May18 Apr27 (hibdon n)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of ROSE GUITAR by STAR GUITAR)
5  GOLDEN CITY         (hodges e)WADE LYNDIE 120 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RINGBANG CITY by CARSON CITY)
6  IN B. J.'S HONOR Jun12 May27 Mar21 Feb29 Jan01 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by COAL FRONT out of WAVE GOODBYE by PRIVATE VOW)
7  NIGHT TIZZY Jun12 Nov01 Sep11 Sep02 Jul02 (beene linda)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LUCKY TIZ out of NIGHT PARADE by PARADING)
 
LAD-7   07/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLESSED VISION Jul04 Jun24 May28 May05 Apr13 (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 ★    
2  BRIARTOWN Jun19 May15 May06 Feb21 Feb01 (beavin judy)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SILVER ASSASSIN Jun21 May25 May04 Mar24 Feb23 (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.00 ★    
4  HEXCEL Jul02 Jun12 May29 Apr30 Apr08 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 10.00    
5  SINGLE RULER Mar23 Mar03 Feb08 Nov10 Sep30 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 6.00 67% 0.50    
SCR  GOTTA DEAL Jun24 Jun12 May29 May09 Apr27 (washington ri)LOZADA CARLOS 121 12.00    
7  SHARP SPARK Jun15 May05 Feb29 Jan13   (gelner jayde)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50 9% 10.60    
8  LIVE AFFAIR Jun25 Jun01 May04 Feb08 Jan20 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
9  HARD TO COME BY Jul06 Jun23 May31 May17 May04 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 124 12.00    
10  HOWARD'S GRIT Jun24 May30 May21 Apr17 Mar24 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50    
SCR  EL SMOOCH Jun15 May04 Feb25 Jan28 Jan20 (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.