Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $6.20 $2.20 55%
LAD-7   EXA (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-3 $27.80 $15.80 132%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   05/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:233 :473       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALABRIAN QUEEN 3 3 1nk 2nk   12 1 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00 12% 7.50 0.30 W
MISS CHARGE IT 1 1 2nk 3.2   22 2 (morris rowd)MELANCON JANSEN 124 2.00 56% 0.80 8.50 P
DARE ME 2 2 4 4   3 3 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50 3.70  
CLASSY EDGE 5 4 3½ 1nk   4 4 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
TENSAS CLEAR 4 5 5 5   510½ 520½ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.50 24.10  
SCR  SMOKIN MOTION               (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
 
LAD-2   05/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:14 1:422   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMILYHASHERTURN 3 2 2½ 2nk 12 11 1¼ (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00 13% 6.60 2.10 W
QUEEN OF THE MOON 5 5 5 59 56 31 2¼ (antwine michae)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 3.50 8.10  
MEGANS MILLIONS 2 4 3 35 44 21 3½ (mojica a)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.50 1.20  
COUNTRY BELLE 4 3 4 48 34 4 4 (duke steven)MURRAY M 120 3.00 53% 0.90 4.90  
LITTLE E 1 1 1½ 1nk 22 5 514¼ (lara jorge)BOREL H 124 6.00 4.90  
SCR  EVERLYN'S ANGEL               (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00    
SCR  RIPTIDE ROSE               (silva walter)BARRERA J 119 10.00    
 
LAD-3   05/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:143 1:41   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREWSILLA 3 1 1nk 2nk 11 1 1 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 1.60 47% 1.10 0.50 W
BOLD EXAGGERATION 2 2 3.2 3 32 2 2 (tillis jerry)DEL-CID MARLON 117 6.00 7.50  
THE RAGE OF ART 5 4 5 4 4 3 3 (govea cesar)WADE LYNDIE 122 2.00 11.30  
LADY WITH A CAUSE 1 5 4 54 5 411½ 422¾ (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 4.00 7% 13.70 4.70  
DANCE LIL DARLING 4 3 2nk 1nk 21 515½ 529¼ (garcia luis)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.50 21% 3.70 4.10  
 
LAD-4   05/13/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:13 1:401   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOCKALITTLELOUDER 1 1 13 13 16 13 1 (ney john)BARRERA J 119 2.50 1.60  
HELAIRE 5 4 5 4 26 23 2 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 5.00 24% 3.10 0.90 P
PEPPER JACK 3 5 33 23 37 38 316½ (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.00 5.50  
SENATOR CON 2 3 23 33 49 412 421¼ (balderas alf)DEL-CID MARLON 119 15.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
RIPITTOTHERIGHT 4 2 44 5 511 514 531½ (rangel r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50 44% 1.30 7.40  
SCR  GUITARTUITION PLZZ               (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00    
SCR  SMARTY ALEX               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00    
 
LAD-5   05/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:123     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GYPSYROSELEE 2 2 2nk 1nk   1 1¾ (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 2.50 55% 0.80 1.70 W
CANA GRIS 7 6 6 5   4 2¾ (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 5% 17.20 2.00 P
COMMUNICATIONISKEY 1 1 1nk 2nk   3 31 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 3.50 17% 4.90 3.20 S
I'M ALL MIXED UP 8 4 3½ 3.2   2 4 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50 8.30  
LAKE BALI 4 7 7 6   5 55 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 124 5.00 9.70  
KATIE'S C 5 5 4 4   6 6 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 25.30  
I DONT KNOW EITHER 3 8 8 8   7 79 (gomez jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 10.00 41.30  
CHATAIN'S FLYER 6 3 5 7   815½ 825¾ (vincent jarvi)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 12.00 55.40  
 
LAD-6   05/13/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:141 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KID SHELLEEN 3 3 21 2½ 2nk 12 1½ (borel renay)BOREL H 122 3.50 64% 0.60 1.10 W
STIFF DRINK 2 1 4 4 31 22 2½ (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 119 6.00 4.80  
DUDE DROP KID 4 4 31 3 4 32 3½ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.00 11% 7.80 2.90 S
JULIA'S WARRIOR 1 5 5 52 5 44 4 (alfortish se)MURRAY M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
PREFERITO DA BARBI 5 2 11 1½ 1nk 56 5 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00 15.80  
SCR  BELLO CREEDO               (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
SCR  CHI TOWN HUSTLER               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00    
SCR  CHIEF ALPHA               (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
 
LAD-7   05/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:14     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC WARRIOR 4 6 54 5   2nk 1 (gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00 10% 9.10 3.00 W
NATIVE REQUITE 2 4 3 4   3½ 2 (gomez c)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 8.00 5% 19.00 7.10 P
POPPY T 3 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 3 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 4.60  
BELLAMY BROTHER 1 5 76 6   4 4 (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.00 43% 1.30 2.40  
FRENETIC DAY 6 3 42 3   54 59 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 11.80  
LOST MY BAG 5 2 1nk 2nk   6 6 (ney john)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 9% 9.60 2.80  
STONECOAT 7 7 65 7   716¼ 727¼ (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 27.80  
SCR  A TRUE TARGET               (duhon o)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.