Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(6/5)-(3/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(3/4/1)-(6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(6/7/3)-(2/1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(2/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(2/1/7/5)-(3/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-5   WIN (2/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/5)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/5)-(3/5/1)-(2/5/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-6   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (2/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CHARGE IT Mar15 Feb23 Jan18 Dec28 Dec18 (morris rowd)MELANCON JANSEN 124 2.00 56% 0.80    
2  DARE ME Apr13 Mar23 Jul03 Jun08 May05 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50    
SCR  SMOKIN MOTION Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb21 Jan27 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
4  CALABRIAN QUEEN Feb17 Jan05 Nov30 Sep10 Aug27 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00 12% 7.50    
5  TENSAS CLEAR Apr30 Apr16 Mar27 Mar19 Mar05 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.50    
6  CLASSY EDGE Apr20 Apr05 Mar16 Feb24   (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   05/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EVERLYN'S ANGEL Apr13 Feb22 Jan06 Dec13 Nov01 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00    
2  LITTLE E Feb17 Sep02 Aug05 Jul22 Jul02 (lara jorge)BOREL H 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  RIPTIDE ROSE Dec09 Sep11 Jul21 Jul06 Jun10 (silva walter)BARRERA J 119 10.00    
4  MEGANS MILLIONS Apr26 Apr06 Feb15 Feb03 Jan04 (mojica a)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.50    
5  EMILYHASHERTURN Mar09 Feb02 Dec22 Dec01 Sep04 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00 13% 6.60    
6  COUNTRY BELLE Mar15 Feb29 Feb12 Dec01 Nov18 (duke steven)MURRAY M 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
7  QUEEN OF THE MOON Apr13 Mar16 Feb23 Jan07 Dec09 (antwine michae)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 3.50    
 
LAD-3   05/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY WITH A CAUSE Mar17 Oct11 Sep29 Aug11 Jun11 (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 4.00 7% 13.70    
2  BOLD EXAGGERATION Apr06 Mar01 Feb08 Nov30 Nov21 (tillis jerry)DEL-CID MARLON 117 6.00    
3  DREWSILLA Mar20 Feb29 Feb08 Dec10 Sep04 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 1.60 47% 1.10    
4  DANCE LIL DARLING Mar13 Feb24 Sep09 Aug26 Apr26 (garcia luis)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.50 21% 3.70    
5  THE RAGE OF ART Apr06 Mar17 Feb19 Jan26 Jan13 (govea cesar)WADE LYNDIE 122 2.00    
 
LAD-4   05/13/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Feb29 Feb12 Jan26 Dec08 Jul22 (ney john)BARRERA J 119 2.50    
SCR  SMARTY ALEX Apr11 Feb29 Feb08 Dec16 Sep11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00    
3  SENATOR CON Feb18 Jan13 Dec08 Nov25 Sep10 (balderas alf)DEL-CID MARLON 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  PEPPER JACK Jan27 Jan04 Dec17 Dec08 Nov24 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.00    
SCR  GUITARTUITION PLZZ Apr12 Feb29 Feb03 Jan26 Jan06 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00    
6  RIPITTOTHERIGHT Sep02 Aug05 Jul01 Jun15 May13 (rangel r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50 44% 1.30    
7  HELAIRE Mar16 Feb18 Jan28 Dec09 Nov18 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
LAD-5   05/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMUNICATIONISKEY Apr16 Apr03 Mar02 Feb03 Jan18 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
2  GYPSYROSELEE Feb23 Feb07 Nov29 Nov03 Jul21 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 2.50 55% 0.80    
3  I DONT KNOW EITHER Mar24 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Dec10 (gomez jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 10.00    
4  LAKE BALI Apr18 Feb10 Dec30 Nov17 Nov02 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 124 5.00    
5  KATIE'S C Apr18 Mar09 Feb16 Feb01 Dec10 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHATAIN'S FLYER Jan19 Dec30 Nov24 Oct27 Aug28 (vincent jarvi)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 12.00    
7  CANA GRIS Apr24 Mar16 Feb23 Jan26 Jan13 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 5% 17.20    
8  I'M ALL MIXED UP Feb23 Jan11 Dec30 Dec09 Nov16 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50    
 
LAD-6   05/13/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JULIA'S WARRIOR Mar22 Mar06 Jan26 Sep30 Jul16 (alfortish se)MURRAY M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  STIFF DRINK Feb10 Jan04 Dec09 Jul03 Jun18 (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 119 6.00    
3  KID SHELLEEN Apr27 Mar22 Mar10 Dec06 Nov18 (borel renay)BOREL H 122 3.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  CHI TOWN HUSTLER Apr19 Jan26 Jan04 Dec07 Dec10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00    
5  DUDE DROP KID Mar06 Feb03 Dec29 Aug05 Jul17 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  CHIEF ALPHA Mar27 Aug29 Jul31 Jul01 Jun23 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
7  PREFERITO DA BARBI Mar22 Feb18 Feb03 Jan26 Jan13 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
SCR  BELLO CREEDO Jan06 Dec20 Dec01 Nov24 Nov08 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
 
LAD-7   05/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  A TRUE TARGET Mar15 Mar01 Jan11 Dec21   (duhon o)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 5.00    
2  BELLAMY BROTHER Apr06 Mar01 Feb02 Jan11 Dec02 (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
3  NATIVE REQUITE Jan12 Nov30 Oct21 Sep09 Aug19 (gomez c)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  POPPY T Feb17 Jan19 Dec14 Nov08 Oct11 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
5  CLASSIC WARRIOR May04 Apr17 Feb17 Dec20 Nov29 (gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00 10% 9.10    
6  LOST MY BAG Apr27 Mar23 Mar08     (ney john)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 9% 9.60    
7  FRENETIC DAY May04 Apr01 Jan11 Dec19 Dec02 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50    
8  STONECOAT Feb10 Jan19 Dec20     (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.