Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-2 $17.20 $11.20 187%
LAD-7   EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $8.20 $2.20 37%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :464 :59     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITIARA 5 2 3½ 2nk   12 16 (martin kevin)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 18% 4.50 1.50 W
CALABRIAN QUEEN 2 1 1nk 1nk   22 26 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 124 4.50 43% 1.30 5.20 P
TIZ SWEET CANDY 1 4 2nk 31   34 37 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 1.60 5.80  
VALLEJO 3 3 5 54   5 49 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
SMARTY'S ANGEL 4 5 4 4   47 5 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.00 1.20  
 
LAD-2   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:002     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTRY CAT JAKE 3 2 21 1nk   11 1¼ (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00 6.70  
SEEKING A SOLDIER 6 3 54 4   3 2¼ (thompson kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 8.20  
MY STORY 2 5 43 3   43 3 (tillis jerry )RENGIFO JOHAN 119 6.00 23% 3.40 22.20 S
MYMANROWEN 4 1 11 2nk   21 4 (shamsi)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 42% 1.40 0.30  
FRENETIC DAY 1 4 3 5   56 514½ (dixon tim)WADE LYNDIE 120 2.50 11.10  
LEWIS MEMORIAL 5 6 610 610¼   614 624¾ (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
 
LAD-3   07/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:123     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAYSOM 4 2 1nk 1nk   1 1 (degeyter ran)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00 1.30  
ALL SAINTS 6 3 4 31   2 2 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.00 2.80  
PERFECT STRIKE 2 1 5 56   4 3 (mojica a)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 8.00 5% 19.00 34.00 S
CHROME RUN 5 5 3.2 2nk   3 46 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.00 29% 2.50 3.00  
WINMOR WENDY 3 4 2nk 45   5 511¼ (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 21% 3.70 3.80  
MADMARTIGAN 1 6 6 68   610½ 617 (martin timo)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 12.00 20.10  
 
LAD-4   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Yellow Hammer Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE BRAD 5 1 31 1nk   11 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 23% 3.40 0.40 W
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
HEZA ROYAL CAT 3 4 2½ 2nk   21 2 (ward ronnie)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 17% 5.00 18.80 P
  (by SABERCAT out of COMALA'S SONATA by POLISHED BRASS)
DROMAS 4 5 42 4   33 3 (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90 S
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of VIDI VICI by YES IT'S TRUE)
BOBBY JR. 2 9 7 6   5 4 (savoie sherman)WADE LYNDIE 124 8.00 20% 4.00 14.50  
  (by INDY out of BLUE SUNSHINE by JOHANNESBURG)
UNAFFILIATED 9 3 8 7   7 510 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 124 3.50 32.00  
  (by AMERICAIN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SIMPLICATED 8 2 6 5   66 612½ (schmidt denise)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 10.00 90.90  
  (by CHAMOIS out of SWIFT PROSPECT by FORTUNATE PROSPECT)
KELLYS THE BOSS 1 8 1½ 3.2   4 713¾ (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50 16% 5.10 5.90  
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
AOIDE 6 6 912½ 912¾   914½ 833¼ (schmidt den)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 20.00 62.40  
  (by KHOZAN out of LA FLOR by STREET SENSE)
MISTY RUNAWAY 7 7 53 8   812½ 936¾ (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00 87.40  
  (by WENDY WEND out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
LAD-5   07/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:252 :501 1:142 1:262   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANSOURA 5 2 11 1½ 11 1 1 (borel renay)BOREL H 120 6.00 10.40  
MAGNA TAP 2 6 6 45 43 43 2 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.00 0.90  
SAM'S PROMISE 6 3 21 2½ 21 2 3 (romero d)WADE LYNDIE 120 3.50 5.50  
BLESSED VISION 4 1 4 33 3 33 4 (dixon ti)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
COUNTY JUDGE 1 4 32 6 6 56 5 (cravens ronn)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 62% 0.60 3.80  
GO BROTHER GO 3 5 5 5 55 68 6 (mouton patr)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 10.00 8% 10.80 8.50  
SCR  HELLO MR COPELAND               (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
 
LAD-6   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSPECTOR PENNY 6 3 21 2nk   11 1 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 1.20  
HONDURAS PASSION 3 4 54 54   3 2 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.00 1.30  
ON THE MONEY LUV 1 2 11 1nk   21 36 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 15.40  
KERRIGAN'S TOUCH 4 1 4 32   4 47 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 120 2.50 36% 1.80 5.70  
COWGIRL QUEEN 5 5 6 6   67 515½ (mojica a)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 8.00 22% 3.50 22.00  
TEKANA 2 6 32 43   56 616¼ (borel renay)BOREL H 124 4.00 10.50  
SCR  LA LOMBRIZ               (del eric)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00    
 
LAD-7   07/04/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:223 :46       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLENT RIVER 3 6 5 4   1nk 1nk (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 26% 2.80 0.80 W
BAD DECISIONS 2 3 1nk 1½   2nk 2nk (cangemi danie)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00 46% 1.20 6.00 P
YES JACK 1 4 4 3   3 3 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 6.50  
DRAG MALIBU 5 2 32 5   42 4 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00 3.80  
PRINCE SIMBA 6 5 6 6   6 5 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
MALADJUSTED MISFIT 4 1 2nk 2½   54 611¾ (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 3.50 6.10  
 
LAD-8   07/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:12     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLAMINA 4 4 56 4   15 1 (wong jonathan)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00 1.80  
NATURAL TOUCH 2 1 34 5   510 2 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 17% 4.80 6.00 P
SHEZA CAT 5 6 44 3   25 38 (fogarty desm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00 6.20  
CHOCTAW BLESSINGS 6 3 12 1   37 411¼ (witt ii)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.00 1.20  
K J'S PISTOL ANNIE 3 2 22 2   47 516½ (hewitt michael)BOREL H 124 15.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
JANIS 1 5 611 613¼   625 6100 (hibdon mark )NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 26% 2.90 11.00  
SCR  OH MY GAWD               (hewitt m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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