Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(4/2/5)-(5/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(5/3/2)-(5/2/3/1/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-3   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(5/2/3/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(5/2/3/1/4)-(1/4/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-4   WIN (5/2/3/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/1/4)-(5/2/3/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/1/4)-(5/2/3/1/4)-(5/2/3/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/3/1/4)-(1/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/1/4)-(1/4/5)-(4/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LAD-5   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(4/6)-(2/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-6   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(2/3/6)-(1/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-7   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LAD-8   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ SWEET CANDY Jun19 May20 Apr28 Apr13 Mar23 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 1.60    
2  CALABRIAN QUEEN May29 May13 Feb17 Jan05 Nov30 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 124 4.50 43% 1.30    
3  VALLEJO Feb10 Jan25 Dec15 Oct12 Aug28 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SMARTY'S ANGEL Jun18 May20 Apr05 Mar01 Feb04 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.00    
5  KITIARA Jun08 May18 May03 Apr20 Apr05 (martin kevin)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
LAD-2   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRENETIC DAY Jun25 May13 May04 Apr01 Jan11 (dixon tim)WADE LYNDIE 120 2.50    
2  MY STORY Jun25 May22 May09 Apr18 Feb22 (tillis e)FLORIAN JOSE 119 6.00 23% 3.40    
3  COUNTRY CAT JAKE Jun03 May09 Apr18 Apr05 Feb22 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00    
4  MYMANROWEN Jun03 May22 May08 Jan20 Dec30 (shamsi)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
5  LEWIS MEMORIAL         (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SEEKING A SOLDIER Jun21 May23 May10 Apr27   (thompson kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50    
 
LAD-3   07/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADMARTIGAN May27 Mar29 Feb25 Jan28 Jul30 (martin timo)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 12.00    
2  PERFECT STRIKE Jun10 May27 May07 Apr13 Mar20 (mojica a)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  WINMOR WENDY Jun10 May18 Apr19 Jan04 Dec06 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
4  TAYSOM Jun10 May01 Apr11 Mar22 Feb25 (degeyter ran)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00    
5  CHROME RUN Jun04 Apr26 Mar15 Feb10 Jan12 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  ALL SAINTS Jun19 Jun03 May20 Nov04 Oct21 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.00    
 
LAD-4   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Yellow Hammer Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KELLYS THE BOSS May31 Apr13 Feb24 Feb10 Jan19 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50 16% 5.10    
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
2  BOBBY JR. Jun05 May11 Apr13 Dec09 Nov05 (savoie sherman)WADE LYNDIE 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by INDY out of BLUE SUNSHINE by JOHANNESBURG)
3  HEZA ROYAL CAT Jun08 May01 Dec30 Oct28 Jul08 (ward ronnie)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 17% 5.00    
  (by SABERCAT out of COMALA'S SONATA by POLISHED BRASS)
4  DROMAS Jun04 Apr13 Mar06 Feb04 Jan12 (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of VIDI VICI by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  UNCLE BRAD May11 Apr19 Apr06 Feb16 Jan20 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
6  AOIDE May27         (schmidt den)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 20.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of LA FLOR by STREET SENSE)
7  MISTY RUNAWAY May21 May11 Apr13 Jan18   (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00    
  (by WENDY WEND out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  SIMPLICATED Jun03 May06 Apr13     (schmidt denise)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 10.00    
  (by CHAMOIS out of SWIFT PROSPECT by FORTUNATE PROSPECT)
9  UNAFFILIATED Jun05 May07 Apr13 Oct28 Sep11 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 124 3.50    
  (by AMERICAIN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
LAD-5   07/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTY JUDGE Jun19 May31 May12 Mar24 Feb11 (cravens ronn)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
2  MAGNA TAP May21 Apr13 Mar23 Mar14 Jan06 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.00    
SCR  HELLO MR COPELAND May21 May06 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
4  GO BROTHER GO Feb16 Feb02 Dec09 Nov24 May15 (mouton patr)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 10.00 8% 10.80    
5  BLESSED VISION Jun24 May28 May05 Apr13 Apr04 (dixon ti)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MANSOURA May29 May05 Apr21 Mar29 Mar07 (borel renay)BOREL H 120 6.00    
7  SAM'S PROMISE Jun04 May16 Apr20 Mar21 Dec30 (romero d)WADE LYNDIE 120 3.50    
 
LAD-6   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE MONEY LUV Jun24 May29 May18 Apr26   (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50    
2  TEKANA Jun11 May18 May04 Mar03 Jul24 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 4.00    
3  HONDURAS PASSION Jun11 May29 Apr26 Apr04 Mar16 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.00    
4  KERRIGAN'S TOUCH Jun11 May29 May18     (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  LA LOMBRIZ Jun04 May21 May08     (del eric)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00    
6  COWGIRL QUEEN         (mojica a)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 8.00 22% 3.50    
7  INSPECTOR PENNY Jun11 May12 Apr11 Mar10 Nov20 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 ★    
 
LAD-7   07/04/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES JACK Jun10 May15 Feb09 Jan04 Dec19 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
2  BAD DECISIONS Aug06 Jun10 Feb25 Dec15 Nov12 (cangemi danie)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  VIOLENT RIVER Jun19 May15 Apr27 Mar16 Mar03 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
4  MALADJUSTED MISFIT May04 Apr25 Feb22 Feb09 Jan05 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 3.50    
5  DRAG MALIBU May28 Apr29 Apr08 Mar19 Mar04 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00    
6  PRINCE SIMBA Jun19 Apr06 Mar09 Feb19 Feb03 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-8   07/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JANIS Jun18 Jun08 Apr20 Mar30 Mar03 (hibdon mark )NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
2  NATURAL TOUCH Jun08 Apr20 Apr05 Mar03 Feb04 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
3  K J'S PISTOL ANNIE Jun03 May03 Apr20 Apr05 Mar01 (hewitt michael)BOREL H 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  WILLAMINA Apr20 Apr10 Feb29 Feb01 Dec17 (wong jonathan)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00    
SCR  OH MY GAWD Jun08 May07 Apr27 Apr06 Mar08 (hewitt m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50    
6  SHEZA CAT Jun03 May25 Apr20 Nov21 Oct27 (fogarty desm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00    
7  CHOCTAW BLESSINGS Jun08 Apr28 Apr06 Mar22 Feb17 (witt ii)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.