Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fair Grounds
Monday - December 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-4   EXA (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-5 $20.20 $8.20 68%
Simulator Race results
 
FG-1   12/16/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:222 :473 1:001     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SWEET TEMPERAMENT 5 3 1nk 1nk   12 11½ (bourgeois )HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80 51% 1.00 0.70 W
6  JAYDENSQUEENOHARTS 6 2 32 32   22 21½ (guillo)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00 14.70  
1  FIT AND FAMOUS 1 5 67¼ 67¼   67½ 36¼ (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 14.60 S
3  RUMPUS 3 1 45 55¼   46 46½ (govea cesar)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 6.00 21.70  
4  RAMBERT 4 4 2nk 2nk   34½ 57 (rodriguez ed)TORRES A 121 2.50 21% 3.80 3.30  
2  CHROME ATTACK 2 6 55¼ 45   56½ 611¼ (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 3.20  
SCR  HUNTLEIGH               (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 124 2.50    
SCR  TYRONA               (schultz lindsa)ORTIZ L 121 3.00    
 
FG-2   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:212 :453 :59     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SPEEDY ONE 1 6 26 23   21 13¼ (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 26% 2.90 0.70 W
6  TEMPLE OF PEACE 6 3 59¼ 47   35 23¼ (ducoing stur)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.00 20.70  
2  AZTEC GEM 2 2 16 13   11 33¾ (dandridge court)MCMAHON J 124 2.50 46% 1.20 1.80 S
5  NAME THE TIME 5 1 46¼ 35   45½ 48½ (breaux sa)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 3.50 7.40  
4  YOU GOOD 4 5 36 57½   56½ 59¼ (david b)PARKER L 122 4.50 10.40  
3  HARD KINGS 3 4 619¼ 617½   631½ 630 (ladner herman)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
 
FG-3   12/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:251 :523 1:193 1:442   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FIONN 6 6 56½ 53½ 53 1½ 14¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 45% 1.20 1.00 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of GAELIC GOLD by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
1  DANCETHENITEAWAY 1 5 68½ 65½ 65 42 24¼ (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 3.50 5.00  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of DANCE TO THE SEA by GONE WEST)
3  AVISO 3 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 31 35 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 28.20 S
  (by HIGHTAIL out of OFF THE ROAD by QUICK ROAD)
5  VIVA GLAM 5 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 45¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 17% 4.70 2.00  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of VIVO PER LEI by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  TIZNTSHELOVELY 4 4 32 31½ 41½ 52 58 (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 5.80  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SENSE OF GRACE by STREET SENSE)
2  HIDDEN SHORES 2 3 44 41½ 31 63½ 69¾ (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 18.60  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SISTER IN ARMS by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  BLACK DOG               (amoss tho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of DECLARATIONWARRIOR by DECLARATION OF WAR)
SCR  MASSARAT               (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of AYAADY by TAPIT)
 
FG-4   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:23 :472 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HURRICANE LASSIE 3 2 1½ 11½   12½ 13¼ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 4.50 15% 5.80 0.90 W
5  DIXIE MORNING 5 4 42 42½   22½ 23¼ (carter angel)TORRES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 25.70 P
4  DIAMONDS JOY 4 1 2½ 21½   33 34½ (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00 2.20  
2  REQUESTFORPROPOSAL 2 6 73¾ 54½   57½ 411 (sanchez ju)ALBERT S 121 4.00 31% 2.20 14.80  
7  DESTINY'S GRACE 7 3 32 32   45 512¼ (larrosa jua)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50 23% 3.30 6.10  
6  FREEDOM ATTACK 6 5 62¾ 64½   68½ 613¼ (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 27.50  
1  MRS. NECAISE 1 7 52¼ 76½   710½ 718¼ (ladner herman)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 7.20  
 
FG-5   12/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:252 :51 1:172 1:292   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPTIMUS KAT 1 3 42 42½ 3½ 12 11¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 19% 4.20 3.20 W
8  INTERSTELLAR 7 1 1nk 1½ 2½ 22 21¾ (wilson shane)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50 14% 6.40 2.90 P
9  BROTHER REID 8 10 75 74 52¾ 43 31¾ (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 5.00  
7  DARE TO FAIL 6 4 53½ 53½ 63¼ 63¼ 43¼ (gomez c)MCMAHON J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 51.40  
3  SENDERO 3 7 108½ 95¼ 95¾ 83¾ 53½ (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00 15.70  
5  SEVEN CHANNELS 4 2 2nk 2½ 1½ 32½ 63¾ (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 13.10  
6  TWOKO BAY 5 5 64 63½ 73¾ 73¼ 74¼ (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 13% 6.90 11.00  
2  FORTUITY 2 8 98 106¼ 106 94¼ 86 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00 3.60  
11  NOBRAG JUSTFACT 10 6 31½ 31½ 42½ 53 98 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 14% 6.20 11.50  
10  WILTON 9 9 86½ 85 85¾ 105¾ 1013 (govea cesar)TORRES A 121 20.00 52.00  
SCR  KENTUCKY PEERLESS               (govea cesa)RAMIREZ JR 116 20.00    
SCR  MAU MAU (BRZ)               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
 
FG-6   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:214 :451 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HE'S JUST LUCKY 2 2 21 21   1nk 11 (landry r)THORNTON G 119 3.50 ★ 1.00  
1  CARPIS 1 4 11 11   2nk 21 (david b)MURRAY M 119 3.50 2.50  
6  TAMBOURINE STAR 6 6 32 31½   32 36¾ (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00 13.00  
5  GOT ME A CHRYSLER 5 5 52¼ 54   44½ 413¾ (david sam )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 20% 4.10 7.90  
3  BRITTANY'S DREAM 3 3 42 42½   55 515¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.00 37% 1.70 5.50  
4  STAR REDEMPTION 4 1 63¼ 66   68 622¾ (landry r)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 9.90  
 
FG-7   12/16/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($59K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:224 :473 :593     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STAR'S IMAGE 3 1 11 12   11½ 11¼ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 1.80 37% 1.70 0.40 W
4  INNOVA 4 2 21 22   21½ 21¼ (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.00 8.10  
5  CORMAN 5 4 53½ 54½   35 37 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 117 2.50 42% 1.40 3.10 S
1  CABO MISCHIEF 1 6 66½ 68   55½ 49½ (duhon o)GRAHAM J 117 8.00 29.20  
6  JUST KEEP LOOKING 6 3 42 33   45 510¾ (robertson )MURRILL MITCHELL 117 5.00 9.50  
2  CLAPPING 2 5 31 43½   66½ 615 (stidham mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00 5% 19.00 21.10  
SCR  SHOOT THE NICKEL               (devaux adr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 3.50    
SCR  STRANGER'S CHURCH               (simpson daniel)COHEN DAVID 117 6.00    
 
FG-8   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:222 :46 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE 2 3 1½ 11   12½ 13¾ (thompson kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 117 5.00 8.10  
5  GLOBAL PRIDE 4 6 64¼ 64¼   53¾ 23¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 21% 3.70 1.30 P
7  CRIME SPREE 6 1 41 41¼   42¾ 36¾ (leonard geor)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.50 15% 5.50 5.40 S
3  JULIA'S WARRIOR 3 5 54 53¼   65¼ 46¾ (larrosa jua)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 24% 3.20 2.60  
1  SHUT UP MAN 1 7 2½ 21   22½ 57¾ (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00 13.70  
8  OVER CALENDARED 7 2 75¼ 75¼   76¾ 68¾ (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 46.70  
6  WE MISS ARLINGTON 5 4 3½ 31   32½ 79¼ (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 4.50 5.80  
SCR  LOVE A FIGHTER               (morrell cy)ALBERT S 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.