Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Monday - December 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(2/1/3)-(6/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(6/5/3)-(2/7/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-3   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(2/7/3/5)-(1/11/8/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (2/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/5)-(1/11/8/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/5)-(1/11/8/6/7)-(3/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-5   WIN (1/11/8/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/11/8/6/7)-(1/11/8/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/11/8/6/7)-(1/11/8/6/7)-(1/11/8/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/11/8/6/7)-(3/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/11/8/6/7)-(3/5)-(5/3/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(5/3/2)-(3/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(3/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-8   WIN (3/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/16/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIT AND FAMOUS Sep28 Sep08 Jan06 Sep30 Jul03 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHROME ATTACK Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Apr14 (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00    
3  RUMPUS Sep05 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 Jun05 (govea cesar)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 6.00    
4  RAMBERT Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jul21 Jun30 (rodriguez ed)TORRES A 121 2.50 21% 3.80    
5  SWEET TEMPERAMENT Aug15 Jul12 Jun06 Feb13 Jan06 (bourgeois )HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80 51% 1.00    
6  JAYDENSQUEENOHARTS Dec06 Sep28 Aug23 Jul28 Jul19 (guillo)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00    
SCR  TYRONA Oct20 Sep29 Sep02 Jun26 Apr14 (schultz lindsa)ORTIZ L 121 3.00    
SCR  HUNTLEIGH Nov21 Aug22 Jul12 May29 May10 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 124 2.50    
 
FG-2   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SPEEDY ONE May04 Apr13 Mar22 Mar02 Jan11 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  AZTEC GEM Nov28 Jan06 Nov23 Jul03 May27 (dandridge court)MCMAHON J 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  HARD KINGS Jan18 Nov23 Aug12 Jul13 May10 (ladner herman)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  YOU GOOD Nov28         (david b)PARKER L 122 4.50    
5  NAME THE TIME Nov07         (breaux sa)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 3.50    
6  TEMPLE OF PEACE Sep03 Aug16 Jun13 Apr19 Mar15 (ducoing stur)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.00    
 
FG-3   12/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCETHENITEAWAY Nov13         (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 3.50    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of DANCE TO THE SEA by GONE WEST)
2  HIDDEN SHORES         (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SISTER IN ARMS by COLONEL JOHN)
3  AVISO Oct25         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of OFF THE ROAD by QUICK ROAD)
4  TIZNTSHELOVELY Oct26 Sep11 Aug17 Jul16 Jun28 (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SENSE OF GRACE by STREET SENSE)
5  VIVA GLAM Nov10         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 17% 4.70    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of VIVO PER LEI by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  FIONN Sep26         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of GAELIC GOLD by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  MASSARAT Nov02         (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of AYAADY by TAPIT)
SCR  BLACK DOG Nov30 Aug31 Jul21 Jun28   (amoss tho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of DECLARATIONWARRIOR by DECLARATION OF WAR)
 
FG-4   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRS. NECAISE Nov28 Aug24 Aug02 Jun21 May15 (ladner herman)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
2  REQUESTFORPROPOSAL Oct26 Aug24 Jul27 Jul04 Jun21 (sanchez ju)ALBERT S 121 4.00 31% 2.20    
3  HURRICANE LASSIE Oct31 Oct15 Sep25 Jul17 Jul02 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 4.50 15% 5.80    
4  DIAMONDS JOY Oct17 Sep22 Aug29 Aug11 Jul18 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00    
5  DIXIE MORNING Oct22 Oct08 Oct01 Sep23 Sep17 (carter angel)TORRES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FREEDOM ATTACK Sep29 Sep12 Jul25 Jun09 Apr14 (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
7  DESTINY'S GRACE Nov29 Oct26 Aug24 Aug03 Jul18 (larrosa jua)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
FG-5   12/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPTIMUS KAT Aug22 Jul04 Jun14 May19 May10 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 19% 4.20    
2  FORTUITY Nov24 Oct25 Aug02 Jul04 Jun14 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
3  SENDERO Nov22 Sep29 Aug30 Aug17 Jun16 (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00    
SCR  MAU MAU (BRZ) Nov24 Oct04 Aug07 Jun26 May18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
5  SEVEN CHANNELS Nov24 Aug09 Jul11 Jun07 May22 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
6  TWOKO BAY Nov24 Nov02 Sep21 Aug25 Aug15 (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 13% 6.90    
7  DARE TO FAIL Nov14 Oct11 Sep14 Oct14 Aug19 (gomez c)MCMAHON J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  INTERSTELLAR Nov24 Oct16 Sep11 Aug24 Jul12 (wilson shane)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50 14% 6.40    
9  BROTHER REID Nov15 Jun14 May18 Apr16 Mar26 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00    
10  WILTON Nov29 Nov09 Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 (govea cesar)TORRES A 121 20.00    
11  NOBRAG JUSTFACT Oct10 Aug24 May13 Feb13 Aug25 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Dec05 Nov23 Oct30 Jul19 Jul06 (govea cesa)RAMIREZ JR 116 20.00    
 
FG-6   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARPIS Jun01 Apr26 Feb24 Feb08 Dec31 (david b)MURRAY M 119 3.50    
2  HE'S JUST LUCKY Oct30 Aug24 Mar06 Feb17 Jan20 (landry r)THORNTON G 119 3.50 ★    
3  BRITTANY'S DREAM Jul04 Feb24 Feb09 Jan20 Dec23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.00 37% 1.70    
4  STAR REDEMPTION Nov21 Mar08 Feb17 Jan20 Dec29 (landry r)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
5  GOT ME A CHRYSLER Jul05 Jun07 Apr18 Mar24 Mar10 (david sam )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 20% 4.10    
6  TAMBOURINE STAR Nov30 Jun19 Mar22 Mar06 Feb10 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00    
 
FG-7   12/16/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($59K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CABO MISCHIEF Aug28         (duhon o)GRAHAM J 117 8.00    
2  CLAPPING Nov28 Oct16       (stidham mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  STAR'S IMAGE Nov22         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 1.80 37% 1.70    
4  INNOVA Nov02 Oct03 Aug24     (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.00    
5  CORMAN Nov05 Sep25       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 117 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  JUST KEEP LOOKING Nov28 Oct06 Sep07     (robertson )MURRILL MITCHELL 117 5.00    
SCR  STRANGER'S CHURCH Oct10 Sep11 Jul14     (simpson daniel)COHEN DAVID 117 6.00    
SCR  SHOOT THE NICKEL Nov28 Nov01 Sep28 Jun06   (devaux adr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 3.50    
 
FG-8   12/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHUT UP MAN Nov09 Sep26 Sep14 Aug30 Aug17 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00    
2  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Dec05 Nov16 Oct23 Aug26 Aug15 (thompson kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 117 5.00    
3  JULIA'S WARRIOR Nov22 Sep25 Sep09 Jul31 Jul02 (larrosa jua)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  LOVE A FIGHTER Jun08 May15 Apr11 Feb16 Jan28 (morrell cy)ALBERT S 120 30.00    
5  GLOBAL PRIDE Dec08 Oct13 Sep16 Aug12 Jul16 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
6  WE MISS ARLINGTON Dec06 Oct19 Sep19 Aug29 Aug11 (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 4.50    
7  CRIME SPREE Sep04 Aug03 Jun26 May19 May04 (leonard geor)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
8  OVER CALENDARED Dec06 Nov14 Oct13 Sep15 Aug25 (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.