Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - October 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-3   WIN (2/1/5/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $11.60 $1.60 16%
DED-6   WIN (5/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $32.00 $24.00 300%
    EXA (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-4 $57.50 $45.50 379%
    DD (6/7/5/3/10)-(5/6/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-1 $102.80 $82.80 414%
    PK3 (5/1/3/6/4)-(6/7/5/3/10)-(5/6/4/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00  6-6-1 $97.05 $47.05 94%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   10/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:141 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZ JAMESON 4 6 5 5 3½ 11 1 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 117 4.50 11% 8.30 1.70 W
LILY'S CREED 3 3 31 4 41 34 2 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 1.80 36% 1.80 1.20 P
RAIN 6 5 4 31 1nk 21 3 (bernard john)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 6.00 9.60  
CRYSTAL CRESCENT 2 4 2nk 1½ 2nk 44 4 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 3.50 7.70  
HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS 5 7 74 6 63 610 513¼ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 20% 4.00 7.80  
FREEFORM 7 1 1nk 2½ 52 59 613¾ (daigle walter)ARANA KELVIN 115 15.00 42.10  
LACIS JEWEL 8 2 63 7 78 713 714½ (flugence henry)STOKES J 117 15.00 55.10  
MSCHITCHATTOUR 1 8 88 810½ 811 816 818 (zenon )RUIZ GARCIA 120 10.00 6% 14.80 24.40  
 
DED-2   10/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:222 :46       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HE'S JUST LUCKY 9 3 3 1nk   11 1 (landry r)THORNTON G 118 5.00 19% 4.30 1.80 W
PENNYS DEAL 1 6 2½ 2nk   21 2 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 122 12.00 6% 15.10 5.90 P
TRIPPLE D RULLER 4 2 52 4   34 3 (toups brent)POMPELL L 120 10.00 6.30  
TUSSLING CHARLIE 5 1 4 5   47 49 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 118 6.00 16% 5.20 14.70  
DEAL WITH IT DADDY 6 8 63 6   58 5 (ali and)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 2.50 34% 1.90 10.00  
LETMIKEFIGUREITOUT 2 7 7 9   68 610½ (klanfer al)WELLINGTON KYLIE 113 12.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
SUMMERTIME PEPPERS 8 4 8 7   7 713¼ (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 118 3.50 4.30  
ACHROMEDOUTCAT 7 9 9 8   811½ 814¾ (gabriel terr)MURRAY M 118 20.00 7.50  
J L PAC MAN 3 5 1½ 3.2   913½ 928¼ (alberto anto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00 59.60  
SCR  CALI DREAMIN               (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 8.00    
 
DED-3   10/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 2 F PT- 6:46
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:151     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M SO HOT 1 1 3 32   12 1 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 5.00 15% 5.60 4.80 W
LOLA AND ROSE 4 3 2½ 1nk   22 2 (courville ricky)ROSIER R 120 15.00 15.20  
10  INSTASPEED 10 8 4 4   49 313 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 3.40  
DREAMCHASER JEWELS 6 5 6 5   5 413 (castille ricke)ARANA KELVIN 115 8.00 50.60  
GIVIN OFF SPARKS 2 4 7 96   610 513½ (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 120 3.00 34% 1.90 2.70  
THATS UNBELIEVABLE 8 6 8 74   712 614 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 6.00 11% 8.30 2.30  
CANDY GIRL MISS 3 2 1½ 2nk   37 715¾ (landry jaco)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
SOUTHERNBELLEBETTY 7 9 1010¼ 109   815 818¼ (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 12.00 32.10  
PASILA 5 10 9 8   917 925 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 6.00 11% 8.30 12.40  
THIS GRAY MISCHIEV 9 7 5 6   1017 1027 (dussette a)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 15.00 69.90  
 
DED-4   10/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL MY BANKER 6 5 6 3   1nk 1 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 1.60 W
NORTHERNREFLECTION 9 8 7 6   4 2 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00 6.40  
STREET ART 3 3 21 2½   2nk 3 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 120 6.00 18% 4.70 7.40 S
BELLO CREEDO 1 1 11 1½   3.2 4 (landry ray)ROSIER R 120 3.00 26% 2.90 17.10  
CALCULATED LUV 7 4 44 7   5 5 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 33.60  
KENTUCKY PEERLESS 2 6 8 810½   7 68 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00 85.40  
MAGAWILDTIME 5 2 33 43   6 79 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 121 5.00 29% 2.50 2.20  
LIL BRO COOP 8 10 912½ 913½   9 8 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 120 10.00 15.20  
TOP OF MY GAME 4 9 1013½ 1015½   10 910 (litfin veronica)MCMAHON J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 44.30  
10  BANKROLL 10 7 5 5   8 1012¼ (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 4.00 11.30  
 
DED-5   10/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:133     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYA 5 1 5 5   22 1 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.00 26% 2.80 1.80 W
FABS 2 2 11 1½   12 2 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 10.00 3.20  
JOCASTA 6 4 21 2½   3 3 (scherer gary)THORNTON G 118 4.00 25% 3.00 2.00 S
HONEST ANGUS 1 7 75 7   4 46 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 8.00 35.50  
DASHYNS DREAM 4 6 6 6   6 5 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 120 6.00 20% 3.90 9.90  
PULPIT'S DREAM 3 8 87 8   810 6 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 117 15.00 6% 17.10 15.20  
10  SIENNA BREEZE 9 5 4 4   78 7 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 117 20.00 5% 19.00 82.80  
BLUSHING BELLE 7 3 3 31   5 8 (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 115 20.00 11.70  
SHOW ME THE CANDY 8 9 9 9   913 916½ (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 12.00 38.40  
SCR  TRUE PRINCESS               (briley lonni)MAGNON H 118 5.00    
 
DED-6   10/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:14     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSTY'S SUNRISE 1 1 11 1½   13 14 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 15.00 W
OVERCAST 4 4 31 52   4 24 (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 1.80 P
SHE SMILED AT ME 7 3 21 2½   23 35 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 12.00 7.00  
CIRCLE UP 2 2 4 3   3 46 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 118 4.50 4.80  
CHAPELLETE 3 5 76 77   7 59 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 10.00 52.50  
RUN DREAMING 5 6 63 63   6 613½ (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 54% 0.90 5.10  
RUNTOLIVE 6 7 52 42   5 713½ (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 118 2.00 16% 5.30 2.10  
SCR  MISSNEVERSATISFIED               (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
 
DED-7   10/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:38
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:141     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADISON RAE 4 1 11 11   11 1 (wong jonat)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 1.70  
HAUNTRESS 6 5 21 21   21 2 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 3.00 38% 1.60 3.10 P
BENT HALO 1 6 55 35   36 310½ (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 6.00 5% 19.00 13.10 S
FORGOTTEN FORTUNE 3 2 6 69   510 412¾ (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 4.00 35% 1.90 1.50  
LADY WITH A CAUSE 5 4 34 56   610¼ 516 (coats jame)RAMIREZ JR 115 10.00 22.40  
THE CALLING STONE 2 3 44 45   410 619½ (woodley j)THORNTON G 117 5.00 9.40  
SCR  WILLAMINA               (wong jonathan)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 8.00    
 
DED-8   10/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:06
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:133     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT POWER 1 4 78 76   43 11 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 14% 6.10 2.90 W
WANNA WINNA 4 8 66 4   32 21 (wong jonathan)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 2.50 30% 2.30 1.40 P
SAMMY DANSEUR JR. 9 7 21 2½   1nk 3 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 117 5.00 28% 2.50 3.70 S
JACKED 8 3 11 1½   2nk 4 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
SEEHOSS 2 1 42 5   6 5 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 5.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
SWIFT N TRAFFIC 7 6 53 3   54 66 (mouton cha)MARQUEZ L 117 10.00 56.20  
WESLEYAN 5 5 918 915   711¼ 717¼ (martin kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00 63.10  
MAX PANDOWDY 6 9 814 813   912¼ 821¼ (hirdes john)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 40.70  
CABOCHON TREASURE 3 2 3 64   812¼ 930¾ (lara jorge)PEREZ CARLOS 112 8.00 26.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.