Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Delta Downs
Saturday - November 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-4   WIN (7/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.80 $1.80 23%
    EXA (7/3/9/1)-(7/3/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-3 $27.30 $15.30 128%
    TRI (7/3/9/1)-(7/3/9/1)-(7/3/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-3-7 $32.45 $20.45 170%
    SFT (7/3/9/1)-(7/3/9/1)-(7/3/9/1)-(7/3/9/1) 24 $0.10 $2.40  1-3-7-9 $32.36 $29.96 1248%
DED-9   EXA (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-2 $33.10 $21.10 176%
    TRI (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-2-6 $174.05 $162.05 1350%
Simulator Race results
 
DED-1   11/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:584         :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  VERB 4 4 63¾ 52¼   22 14 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 124 4.50 7.50  
1  PRIZELESS 1 6 1½ 11   12 24 (winslow janine)ARANA KELVIN 116 3.00 63% 0.60 3.30 P
5  ELUSIVE D'ORO 5 2 4¾ 21   54¼ 34¼ (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 2.00 9% 9.80 1.30 S
6  BET AGAIN 6 3 52¼ 62¾   34 45 (toups brent)POMPELL L 121 12.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
3  MINT 3 7 74¼ 73¾   65¾ 55¼ (hewitt michae)VARGAS P 124 5.00 9.30  
2  CARBON STRYKER 2 5 2½ 31   44 65¼ (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00 17.00  
7  LODE OF BLARNEY 7 1 3½ 42   77¾ 711¾ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
 
DED-2   11/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:15     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHANNELFORTYNINE 2 2 21½ 21   12 12½ (ward ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 117 4.00 2.40  
  (by CONAN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
4  UNAFFILIATED 4 1 11½ 11   22 22½ (schmidt denise)THORNTON G 124 1.80 2.30  
  (by AMERICAIN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
5  SIMPLICATED 5 4 43½ 42   34 35¼ (schmidt deni)BARRERA J 124 6.00 7.80  
  (by CHAMOIS out of SWIFT PROSPECT by FORTUNATE PROSPECT)
3  MOOR TO CONQUER 3 3 56½ 54   47 48¼ (savoie she)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 5.00 28% 2.60 8.10  
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of MOOR N MOUNTAIN by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
6  OLYMPIA HARBOR 6 6 31½ 31½   512 519¾ (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 43% 1.30 1.70  
  (by CHAMOIS out of JENNIFER LOVES ED by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
1  NOTHING IS EVERY 1 5 67½ 65½   614 621 (nelson r)ARANA KELVIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 35.70  
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
DED-3   11/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 6:46
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:141     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FACTOR OF TIME 7 4 33 32   32 1½ (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 6.00 ★ 14.60  
  (by THE FACTOR out of SWEET DREAMS DIVA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
10  SWAMP QUEEN 9 5 45 42½   11 2½ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 2.50 48% 1.10 1.30 P
  (by VEKOMA out of ROSE REFLECTION by MALIBU MOON)
5  GRACEFUL STAR 4 2 1nk 11   21 35 (robbins jr)ROSIER R 120 10.00 4.40  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of GRACEFUL REQUEST by SCAT DADDY)
2  DREAMCHASER JEWELS 1 9 99¾ 88   56 47½ (castille ricke)ARANA KELVIN 115 20.00 5% 19.00 41.60  
  (by IRON FIST out of ROMAN JEWELS by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
6  DREAMY DEAL 5 8 77¾ 54½   46 510 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 115 5.00 14.80  
  (by EL DEAL out of SALLY'S DREAM by UTOPIA (JPN))
9  PERFECT DEAL 8 6 89¾ 99   79 614¾ (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5.80  
  (by EL DEAL out of SILVER SPRING by SEATTLE SLEET)
3  CLEARLY BELLA 2 1 67½ 65   68 715 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 3.50 25% 3.10 3.10  
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of BELLA CANZONE by GIO PONTI)
7  CANDY GIRL MISS 6 7 57 78   914 830¼ (landry jacoby)VARGAS P 120 10.00 23.80  
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of TOO MUCH TO BEAR by TOO MUCH BLING)
4  PEPPERED GAL 3 3 2nk 21   813 932½ (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 120 15.00 5% 19.00 43.10  
  (by PEPPERED CAT out of SUMMERTIME GAL by SUMMER BIRD)
SCR  HALF SISTER               (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of LADY TAMER by LION TAMER)
 
DED-4   11/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTTA DEAL 1 1 21½ 2½   12 11¼ (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00 7% 13.40 3.90 W
3  APRIORITY AVENGER 3 2 32 32½   22 21¼ (breaux samue)BARRERA J 124 2.50 21% 3.80 6.20 P
7  ELLS 6 8 65½ 55   44 33¼ (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 34% 1.90 0.60 S
9  FAMILY CREED 8 3 11½ 1½   32 46 (gomez a)ROSIER R 124 10.00 15% 5.60 12.50  
6  PLAY MASTER 5 4 85¾ 89   89¼ 57¼ (mojica edith )VARGAS P 124 15.00 32.90  
2  JAMAICAN ME 2 7 75¾ 77   79¼ 67½ (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00 28.50  
8  PERFECT STRIKE 7 6 42½ 44½   56 77½ (mojica a)PEREZ CARLOS 119 4.00 8.60  
4  CHIEFWEAVE 4 5 52½ 65   69 88½ (gomez rafa)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 119 12.00 46.00  
SCR  THEO D'OR               (dunn ray)HERNANDEZ V 124 6.00    
 
DED-5   11/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 2 ALL PT- 7:42
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:15     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LIAM 1 4 2nk 1½   1½ 11½ (ward ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 115 10.00 15.50  
5  WOW BUBBLE 5 5 41¼ 31   2½ 21½ (sanchez amad)BARRERA J 120 3.00 38% 1.60 6.10 P
9  FRIENDLY HINT 9 6 73¾ 52½   44 34 (dunn he)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 8.00 20.60  
4  NIGHT STICK 4 2 3.2 2½   33½ 45¾ (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 16% 5.30 4.40  
3  ONEMOTIME 3 3 1nk 42   57 58 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 4.00 7% 13.10 1.10  
8  BUTCHY BOY 8 8 86¾ 76   710 611 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 5% 19.00 59.40  
6  MUSTACHEUAQUESTION 6 9 109¼ 1011½   811 711½ (litfin veronica)BIRZER E 120 15.00 53.30  
7  D. A.'S FAVORITE 7 7 52¼ 63   68 813¼ (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 19% 4.40 6.20  
10  SONNY'S NELSON 10 10 97¾ 910   914 917¼ (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 117 8.00 8.20  
2  COPESTHEBOMB 2 1 63¼ 88   1016 1024½ (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 120 12.00 37.80  
 
DED-6   11/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:224 :462       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MADELYN'S HIT 4 4 1½ 11   13 12¼ (averett ronn)BARRERA J 119 8.00 1.90  
7  MOION 7 1 2½ 21   23 22¼ (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 7% 14.30 7.60 P
3  YOU HAVE NO IDEA 3 8 61 33   35 34¼ (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50 11% 7.80 9.40 S
2  GOOD BY FAITH 2 10 102½ 94¾   89 45½ (escobar alison)PEREZ CARLOS 117 15.00 65.70  
6  WINGS LIKE EAGLES 6 9 91½ 84¼   78½ 55½ (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 124 1.20 60% 0.70 2.10  
5  DAY FOR THE GRAY 5 6 71 64   68 66¾ (gomez c)VARGAS P 122 12.00 16.60  
10  PSALM PRAYER 10 3 3½ 43½   47 77¼ (romero j)ARANA KELVIN 116 20.00 79.00  
1  SARAH IN THE HOUSE 1 5 4¾ 53½   57 87¾ (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00 5.90  
9  IMMA GOING TO WIN 9 2 81½ 106¾   914 916 (rangel raul)THORNTON G 122 10.00 5% 19.00 33.70  
8  MONI DESIGN 8 7 5¾ 74¼   1014¼ 1020¼ (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
SCR  TAKE HER AWAY               (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 119 12.00    
 
DED-7   11/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:133     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SPARRA 4 1 2½ 1nk   14 14 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 20.50  
5  HOWIT HAPPENED 5 4 32½ 32   45 24 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 2.50 26% 2.90 1.90 P
9  THREE GOLD PIECES 9 7 76 53¼   34½ 34½ (silva walter)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 6.00 3.20  
6  DARYL'S BOLT 6 8 89 86¾   66 46¼ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.50 3.60  
2  MUD ON MY BOOTS 2 2 1½ 2nk   24 56½ (morrell cyn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00 20% 4.00 5.30  
3  FOUR DICE 3 9 1011 108¾   79 67½ (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 120 5.00 26% 2.90 20.00  
7  HAYHAYCAPTAIN JAC 7 5 43 64¼   55½ 78¼ (litfin ver)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
1  A BRUSH OF LUCK 1 3 65½ 75¾   811 812¾ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00 42.30  
10  BAY BE GONE 10 10 99 97¾   1013 914 (garza joaquin )ARANA KELVIN 115 15.00 5% 19.00 77.40  
8  PREFERITO DA BARBI 8 6 53½ 43   912 1015¼ (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00 47.40  
SCR  DR. SNYDER               (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
 
DED-8   11/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:06
See original race card.
:221 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FLOWER CAT 7 1 31 31½   1nk 1½ (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 120 6.00 3.60  
7  COPTER 5 3 1nk 11   2nk 2½ (robbins ray)BIRZER E 122 8.00 10.00  
8  ALTERANA 6 2 52½ 42   32 32 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 120 6.00 14% 6.20 5.60 S
4  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE 4 5 42 53   53½ 43½ (thompson kevin)HERNANDEZ V 120 12.00 29.10  
2  CHAD'S FLASH 2 6 65½ 65   65½ 56¼ (fuselier jonah)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00 59.90  
1  CHARCO 1 4 2nk 21   43 68 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 20% 4.00 0.50  
3  DOUBLE BARREL MAN 3 7 710½ 710   78½ 78½ (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 115 15.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
SCR  CRYPTOZONIC               (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
SCR  PRADO'S PRIORITY               (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
DED-9   11/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:34
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:14     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TRIPLE L'S CUTTER 3 3 55 33   13 17¼ (larrosa a)BIRZER E 120 2.00 8% 10.80 0.40 W
2  RYAN'S GRACE 2 2 78½ 79¼   57½ 27¼ (cormier car)SANTIAGO EDWARD 120 20.00 5% 19.00 98.20 P
6  KATIE'S KARAT 6 6 1½ 11   23 39½ (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 59% 0.70 2.70 S
8  COZZOLANI 7 5 32½ 64¼   36 411¾ (dixon tim)POMPELL L 120 15.00 54.80  
4  RAIN 4 4 43 43   47 512¼ (bernard john)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 6.00 8.50  
5  CRYSTAL CRESCENT 5 7 66½ 54   78½ 616¼ (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 3.00 10% 8.90 10.70  
1  SAVANNAH'S HERE 1 1 2½ 21   68 718¼ (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00 41.30  
SCR  BE BO               (daigle walter)ARANA KELVIN 115 4.00    
 
DED-10   11/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:231 :473       1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LACEY'S KAT 8 1 3.2 2½   1nk 1½ (toups brent)BIRZER E 121 8.00 7.20  
7  CUPCAKE COWBOY 6 9 93½ 53½   44 2½ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 2.00 47% 1.20 1.20 P
10  THREE SEVENS 9 2 6½ 31½   32 3¾ (fuselier jonah)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 3.00 27% 2.70 5.70 S
1  KNIGHT'S GOLD 1 6 1nk 1½   2nk 42¼ (averett ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 114 8.00 ★ 4.00  
3  CAJUN COUNTRY 2 8 81½ 84¾   68 510¼ (dussette alvin)ARANA KELVIN 116 20.00 34.90  
4  TYLER'S SENSATION 3 4 2nk 41½   57 610¼ (delahoussa)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 121 20.00 38.80  
5  ROMANCING MS JUDY 4 7 4¼ 64   79 715¼ (klanfer al)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 6.00 5.30  
8  TWICE AS SASSI 7 3 71 95¾   912¼ 819¾ (thomas lee)MAGNON H 119 15.00 5% 19.00 47.70  
6  SIXTEEN DEGREES 5 5 5½ 74½   812 920½ (duke steven)HERNANDEZ V 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
SCR  LT. TENT               (player fletch)VARGAS P 121 8.00    
SCR  RED ON THE HEAD               (boxie josep)MELANCON JANSEN 124 4.00    
SCR  THE LAST CAT               (delahoussaye )VARGAS P 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.