Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - November 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/6)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/6)-(6/3/1)-(10/3/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(10/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(10/3/2/4)-(7/3/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-3   WIN (10/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/2/4)-(10/3/8/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/2/4)-(10/3/8/2/4)-(10/3/8/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/3/2/4)-(7/3/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/3/2/4)-(7/3/9/1)-(5/7/4/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (7/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/9/1)-(7/3/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/9/1)-(7/3/9/1)-(7/3/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/9/1)-(5/7/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/9/1)-(5/7/4/3/8)-(6/3/7/8/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-5   WIN (5/7/4/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/3/8)-(5/7/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/3/8)-(5/7/4/3/8)-(5/7/4/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/4/3/8)-(6/3/7/8/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/3/8)-(6/3/7/8/9)-(5/3/2/7/10) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-6   WIN (6/3/7/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/8/9)-(6/3/7/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/8/9)-(6/3/7/8/9)-(6/3/7/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/7/8/9)-(5/3/2/7/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/8/9)-(5/3/2/7/10)-(6/1/8/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-7   WIN (5/3/2/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/7/10)-(5/3/2/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/7/10)-(5/3/2/7/10)-(5/3/2/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/2/7/10)-(6/1/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/7/10)-(6/1/8/3)-(6/5/3/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-8   WIN (6/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/8/3)-(6/5/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-9   WIN (6/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/3/2)-(7/10/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-10   WIN (7/10/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/8/6)-(7/10/1/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/10/8/6)-(7/10/1/8/6)-(7/10/1/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIZELESS Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 May10 Apr28 (winslow janine)ARANA KELVIN 116 3.00 63% 0.60    
2  CARBON STRYKER Oct23 Jun29 Jun01 May10 Apr28 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
3  MINT Aug07 Jul19 Jun26 May28 May10 (hewitt michae)VARGAS P 124 5.00    
4  VERB Aug07 Jun27 Jun01 May21 May04 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 124 4.50    
5  ELUSIVE D'ORO Nov07 Aug09 Jul20 Jun21 Jun16 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 2.00 9% 9.80    
6  BET AGAIN Jun13 May22 May01 Apr05 Feb08 (toups brent)POMPELL L 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  LODE OF BLARNEY Oct16 Sep22 Sep08 Aug09 Jun21 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-2   11/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTHING IS EVERY Oct26         (nelson r)ARANA KELVIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  CHANNELFORTYNINE Oct26         (ward ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 117 4.00    
  (by CONAN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
3  MOOR TO CONQUER         (savoie she)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of MOOR N MOUNTAIN by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
4  UNAFFILIATED Oct26 Sep14 Aug21 Aug05 Jul04 (schmidt denise)THORNTON G 124 1.80    
  (by AMERICAIN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
5  SIMPLICATED Oct26 Sep14 Aug21 Jul29 Jul04 (schmidt deni)BARRERA J 124 6.00    
  (by CHAMOIS out of SWIFT PROSPECT by FORTUNATE PROSPECT)
6  OLYMPIA HARBOR         (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by CHAMOIS out of JENNIFER LOVES ED by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
DED-3   11/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HALF SISTER Oct19         (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of LADY TAMER by LION TAMER)
2  DREAMCHASER JEWELS Oct30 Aug17       (castille ricke)ARANA KELVIN 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of ROMAN JEWELS by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
3  CLEARLY BELLA Oct25         (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 3.50 25% 3.10    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of BELLA CANZONE by GIO PONTI)
4  PEPPERED GAL Oct25         (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PEPPERED CAT out of SUMMERTIME GAL by SUMMER BIRD)
5  GRACEFUL STAR Oct19 Sep02 Aug09     (robbins jr)ROSIER R 120 10.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of GRACEFUL REQUEST by SCAT DADDY)
6  DREAMY DEAL Oct25 Sep17       (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 115 5.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of SALLY'S DREAM by UTOPIA (JPN))
7  CANDY GIRL MISS Oct30 Oct12 Sep02 Aug02   (landry jacoby)VARGAS P 120 10.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of TOO MUCH TO BEAR by TOO MUCH BLING)
8  FACTOR OF TIME Oct19 Aug17 Jul19     (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 6.00 ★    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SWEET DREAMS DIVA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
9  PERFECT DEAL Oct25         (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of SILVER SPRING by SEATTLE SLEET)
10  SWAMP QUEEN Oct19         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by VEKOMA out of ROSE REFLECTION by MALIBU MOON)
 
DED-4   11/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTTA DEAL Nov01 Oct10 Aug17 Aug02 Jun24 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00 7% 13.40    
2  JAMAICAN ME Oct25 Sep03 Aug14 Jul02 Jun10 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00    
3  APRIORITY AVENGER Oct25 Aug22 Aug03 Jul13 Jun14 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
4  CHIEFWEAVE Jul10 Jun24 Dec08 Sep11 Aug13 (gomez rafa)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 119 12.00    
SCR  THEO D'OR Jun10 May04 Nov04 Oct07 Aug21 (dunn ray)HERNANDEZ V 124 6.00    
6  PLAY MASTER Oct29 Jul18 Jun21 Jun07 May17 (mojica edith )VARGAS P 124 15.00    
7  ELLS Oct29 May22 May09 Apr25 Mar07 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
8  PERFECT STRIKE Nov02 Oct16 Sep16 Aug19 Jul04 (mojica a)PEREZ CARLOS 119 4.00    
9  FAMILY CREED Nov01 Jul30 Jul11 Jun21 Jun01 (gomez a)ROSIER R 124 10.00 15% 5.60    
 
DED-5   11/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 2 ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LIAM Sep18         (ward ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 115 10.00    
2  COPESTHEBOMB Sep14         (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 120 12.00    
3  ONEMOTIME Oct18         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 4.00 7% 13.10    
4  NIGHT STICK Oct26         (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 16% 5.30    
5  WOW BUBBLE         (sanchez amad)BARRERA J 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  MUSTACHEUAQUESTION Sep14         (litfin veronica)BIRZER E 120 15.00    
7  D. A.'S FAVORITE Sep26 Sep14       (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
8  BUTCHY BOY Oct10 Sep26 Sep14 Aug28 Aug19 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  FRIENDLY HINT Nov02 Aug31 Aug13     (dunn he)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
10  SONNY'S NELSON Oct18         (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 117 8.00    
 
DED-6   11/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH IN THE HOUSE Oct10 Aug03 Mar03     (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
2  GOOD BY FAITH Aug16 Aug01 Jun20 May17 May04 (escobar alison)PEREZ CARLOS 117 15.00    
3  YOU HAVE NO IDEA Oct29 Sep20 Sep06 Aug12 Jul14 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50 11% 7.80    
4  MADELYN'S HIT Oct12 Aug17 Aug01 Jun13 May08 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 119 8.00    
5  DAY FOR THE GRAY Oct10 Sep04       (gomez c)VARGAS P 122 12.00    
6  WINGS LIKE EAGLES Jul19 Jun21 May30 Nov23 Nov04 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 124 1.20 60% 0.70    
7  MOION Oct29 Aug01 Jul09 May31 May22 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 7% 14.30    
8  MONI DESIGN Mar14 Feb29 Feb07 Jan05 Nov30 (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  IMMA GOING TO WIN Jun16 May31 Apr28 Mar29 Mar03 (rangel raul)THORNTON G 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  PSALM PRAYER Jan12 Dec19 Nov08 Feb11 Jan14 (romero j)ARANA KELVIN 116 20.00    
SCR  TAKE HER AWAY Oct29 Aug23 Jul20 Jul06 Jun06 (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 119 12.00    
 
DED-7   11/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A BRUSH OF LUCK Oct16 Sep23 Sep02 Aug16 Jul21 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00    
2  MUD ON MY BOOTS Oct29 Oct10 Aug23 Aug10 Jul21 (morrell cyn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00 20% 4.00    
3  FOUR DICE Oct18 Sep02 Aug23 Jul05 Jun13 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
4  SPARRA Oct16 Sep11 Jul30 Jul13 Apr18 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
5  HOWIT HAPPENED Oct16 Sep24 Aug14 Jun19   (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
6  DARYL'S BOLT Oct16 Sep15 Sep07 Aug11 Jul29 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.50    
7  HAYHAYCAPTAIN JAC Jul14 Jun27 Jun09 May11 Aug26 (litfin ver)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  PREFERITO DA BARBI Oct25 Sep03 Jul17 Jun24 Jun11 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00    
9  THREE GOLD PIECES Oct29 Aug09 Jul11 Jun20 May09 (silva walter)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 6.00    
10  BAY BE GONE Sep26 Aug28 Jul21 Jul06 Jun15 (garza joaquin )ARANA KELVIN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DR. SNYDER Nov01 Oct18 Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
 
DED-8   11/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARCO Oct25 Aug26 Jul30 Jun25 Jun04 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  CHAD'S FLASH Aug15 Jul30 Jul03 Jun13 May25 (fuselier jonah)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00    
3  DOUBLE BARREL MAN Nov07 Jun07 May10 Apr13 Mar14 (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Oct23 Aug26 Aug15 Jul26 Jun21 (thompson kevin)HERNANDEZ V 120 12.00    
SCR  CRYPTOZONIC Nov05 Sep25 Sep09 Aug20 Jul03 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
SCR  PRADO'S PRIORITY Oct23 Oct10 Aug02 Mar01 Jan25 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
7  COPTER Oct12 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 May23 (robbins ray)BIRZER E 122 8.00    
8  ALTERANA Oct23 Aug26 Aug15 Jul18 May06 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
9  FLOWER CAT Oct25 Aug26 Aug15 Jul18 Jun27 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
 
DED-9   11/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVANNAH'S HERE Nov05 Sep25 Sep03 Aug05 Jul17 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00    
2  RYAN'S GRACE Oct10 Jun27 May08 Apr13 Mar13 (cormier cardel)ROSIER R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRIPLE L'S CUTTER Oct26 Oct17 Aug26 Aug07 Jul23 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 120 2.00 8% 10.80    
4  RAIN Oct30 Oct19 Aug01 Jul13 Jun22 (bernard john)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 6.00    
5  CRYSTAL CRESCENT Oct30 Jul31 Jun18 Jun04 May27 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 3.00 10% 8.90    
6  KATIE'S KARAT Feb15 Dec30 Dec06 Nov25 Nov03 (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 120 5.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  BE BO Nov05 Oct17 Jul01 Jun12 May04 (daigle walter)ARANA KELVIN 115 4.00    
8  COZZOLANI Nov05 Oct10 Sep13 Aug31 Aug16 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
 
DED-10   11/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHT'S GOLD Oct23 Jul25 Jun15 May23 Apr27 (averett ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 114 8.00 ★    
SCR  THE LAST CAT Aug24 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun13 (delahoussaye )VARGAS P 121 10.00    
3  CAJUN COUNTRY Jun28 Jun13 May15     (dussette alvin)ARANA KELVIN 116 20.00    
4  TYLER'S SENSATION Apr06 Oct18 Aug05 Jul07 Jun01 (delahoussaye bre)ROSIER R 121 20.00    
5  ROMANCING MS JUDY Aug01 Jul11       (klanfer al)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 6.00    
6  SIXTEEN DEGREES Sep17 Dec22 Dec01 Sep12 Aug21 (duke steven)HERNANDEZ V 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  CUPCAKE COWBOY Nov01 Oct12 Aug14 Jun27 Apr25 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 2.00 47% 1.20    
8  TWICE AS SASSI Oct29 Jun21 May25     (thomas lee)MAGNON H 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  LACEY'S KAT Jul04 Jun13       (toups brent)BIRZER E 121 8.00    
10  THREE SEVENS Oct23 Aug24 Aug10     (fuselier jonah)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  LT. TENT Nov06 Feb22 Feb08 Jan18   (player fletch)VARGAS P 121 8.00    
SCR  RED ON THE HEAD Feb22 Jan13 Dec13 Oct07 Aug10 (boxie josep)MELANCON JANSEN 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.