Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Thursday - October 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   EXA (4/10/6)-(4/10/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  10-4 $20.50 $8.50 71%
    TRI (4/10/6)-(4/10/6/8/5)-(4/10/6/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  10-4-6 $38.10 $20.10 112%
DED-5   WIN (2/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $9.80 $1.80 23%
    EXA (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-2 $21.20 $9.20 77%
    TRI (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-2-3 $23.35 $11.35 95%
DED-7   WIN (6/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $28.20 $20.20 253%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   10/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:222 :472       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HAWIJA 10 3 43 4   1½ 1 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.50 33% 2.00 1.60 W
  (by MR. MONEY out of AFAAF by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MARDI GRAS MAMBO 4 1 11 12   2½ 2 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 35% 1.90 9.50 P
  (by HALF OURS out of BOURBON N BOOTS by PROSPECTOR'S GIFT)
RUNNING RAGGED 6 4 55 5   64 3 (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 3.50 11% 8.10 8.00 S
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of HILARIOUS BROWN by BIG BROWN)
BELLA'S BOSS 7 7 9 7   54 4 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 12.00 46.00  
  (by STREET BOSS out of ARABELLA BELLA by SKIPSHOT)
IMPERIAL DYNASTY 8 2 32 22   3 5 (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 6.00 4.20  
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of HENNY BETTY by HENNY HUGHES)
HE'S READY TO WIN 5 9 77 8   7 69 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00 5.60  
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of READY'S GAL by MORE THAN READY)
SEITAN 2 6 8 9   8 711 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 15.00 20.30  
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of COOP N NUGGET by CORINTHIAN)
WARRIOR AND A HALF 3 5 21 3   4 811 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 10.00 4.80  
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of HALF A SUGAR by HALF OURS)
MY FIRST DEAL 9 8 67 66   9 912½ (taylor heat)MELANCON JANSEN 120 20.00 65.10  
  (by EL DEAL out of SWEET PEA MAMA VE by HARD SPUN)
BROTHER RYAN 1 10 1010¼ 1010¼   10 1014½ (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 15.00 33.70  
  (by WHENCE out of WITH HONORANDGRACE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
DED-2   10/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:153     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOTTA DEAL 2 1 3 5   2 1hd (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00 28.30  
DEE'S LEGS 5 2 98 9   43 2hd (nelson eri)RAMIREZ JR 119 10.00 23.80 P
10  AVERY'S GEM 9 9 6 4   1 3.15 (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 3.30 S
C F HENRY 6 4 2½ 22   5 4 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 122 8.00 7.40  
STYLING HOOK 3 3 5 6   6 5 (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 10.00 19.40  
ONE MORE SLEEP 4 6 4 3   32 6 (romero d)POMPELL L 124 4.00 33% 2.10 4.70  
YAKETY YAK 1 7 7 7   7 7 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.00 42% 1.40 1.10  
TUCKER THE GRUMP 7 10 1010 1011¼   9 810 (zenon shelton)FLORIAN JOSE 119 12.00 38.60  
11  COOL RIDE 10 5 1½ 12   87 912¼ (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 20.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
ZAPAWAY 8 8 86 8   1018½ 1021½ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00 71.60  
SCR  GRAN CHICO               (pomier d)MCMAHON J 122 5.00    
SCR  SAUCY ARGUMENT               (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 124 6.00    
 
DED-3   10/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 6:46
See original race card.
:223 :463       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTINCTLY GOLDEN 5 5 1½ 1½   12 1 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 2.30  
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of DISTINCT DIVA by WITH DISTINCTION)
HOLD MY HAT 6 1 2½ 2½   22 2 (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 4.50 28% 2.60 6.70 P
  (by IRON FIST out of TOO CLOSE TO PUNCH by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
CAJUN MITOLE 8 4 5 5   5 3 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00 4.50  
  (by MITOLE out of CAJUN FLOWER by FLOWER ALLEY)
DEELITESANDIMSUM 4 6 4 4   34 4 (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 34.20  
  (by CATALINA RED out of DEELITES D'OR by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
WATER TESTER 7 2 3 3   4 5 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 120 3.00 25% 3.10 7.80  
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of RYAN AND MADISON by SAM LORD'S CASTLE)
YAKETY YOCK 2 8 9 8   710½ 69 (johnson henr)BARRERA J 120 5.00 26% 2.80 2.60  
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of FULL FLEET by HALF OURS)
MY SPECIAL STAR 3 9 64 6   6 713¾ (breaux samue)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 10.40  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ELEGANT IDEA by PRIVATE VOW)
DEAL EM JUSTICE 1 7 7 7   814½ 822½ (robbins han)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 89.70  
  (by EL DEAL out of JESSE'S JUSTICE by LEAR FAN)
10  C F SPUNIE STYLE 9 3 8 911½   919½ 932½ (ali and)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 11.10  
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of L. A. STYLE by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  DUBAIAN MONEY               (gonzalez vi)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00    
  (by MR. MONEY out of DUBAIAN by HANSEN)
SCR  V CUT               (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 115 12.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of SPECIAL BLESSING by FLAT OUT)
 
DED-4   10/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:14
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:143 1:28   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONORARY GUEST 7 2 31 32 3 21 1 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 120 2.50 66% 0.50 3.30 W
LILY'S CREED 2 4 2nk 2nk 1½ 11 2 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.00 5% 19.00 1.30 P
MIZ JAMESON 6 7 7 65 55 4 3 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00 2.60 S
JESS'S RAINBOW 3 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 32 4 (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 8.00 9.50  
AGAMI 8 6 42 43 43 5 510½ (patt r)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 20.00 14.70  
TOLATETOOWAIT 9 3 6 54 6 6 613¼ (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 6.00 18.80  
LACIS JEWEL 4 9 9 99 7 8 715 (flugence henry)FLORIAN JOSE 112 20.00 ######  
COZZOLANI 1 5 5 7 810 7 815 (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 20.00 95.40  
10  MSCHITCHATTOUR 10 10 10 1012 1017 1015½ 923½ (zenon )RUIZ GARCIA 120 6.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
RYAN'S GRACE 5 8 8 8 914 914½ 1025½ (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 10.00 5% 19.00 43.70  
 
DED-5   10/10/2024 2640ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
See original race card.
:222 :46         :46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP CHARLIE 7 5 4¾     2nk 1¼ (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 22% 3.60 3.90 W
PRADO'S PRIORITY 2 4 6     4¼ 2¼ (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 117 2.50 41% 1.40 2.10 P
GEAUX SUGAR 3 3 1nk     1nk 31 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 3.50 8% 11.40 1.80 S
INDIA INK (ARG) 5 2 2nk     3.2 4 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 120 6.00 3.20  
WILD BERT 1 7 7     7 53 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 117 10.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
BRAHMS BOY 4 1 3.2     5 6 (sauceda jesse)MCMAHON J 122 12.00 48.30  
MUD ON MY BOOTS 6 6 5     6 75 (morrell cyn)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00 66.00  
SCR  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE               (thompson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 10.00    
SCR  BAYOU BEAUX               (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
SCR  RUM 'N TONIC               (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 12.00    
 
DED-6   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:133     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTRABANDIST 4 2 2½ 3.2   22 12 (noel dane)POMPELL L 120 3.50 1.40  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SUMMERTIME GREEN by EMPIRE MAKER)
MAP OF DONEGAL 1 6 6 2nk   12 22 (noel da)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 5.00 19% 4.30 3.80 P
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of JAZZ TUNE by JOHANNESBURG)
MISCHIEVOUS SMILE 3 3 1½ 1nk   36 311 (robbins han)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 20.60 S
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SUTTON'S SMILE by PADDY O'PRADO)
R Y D'ORO 6 5 5 6½   410 412¼ (amoss thomas)BARRERA J 120 1.40 1.30  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LAUGHABLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
INDIAN CAT 2 1 31 4¼   514 518 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 42% 1.40 8.40  
  (by TAPITURE out of PARTY CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
BUTCHY BOY 5 4 4 5½   614½ 625 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00 52.40  
  (by ORDAINED out of LUCY'S MISS MUSKET by MUSKET MAN)
SCR  DOES NOT COMPUTE               (roberson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MARIA WHO by SKY MESA)
SCR  GREATIZLOVE               (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 112 12.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of SOMETHING LOVELY by NEW TRIESTE)
 
DED-7   10/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:38
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:134     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PULPIT'S DREAM 1 7 67 5   5 1nk (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 115 6.00 9% 9.90 13.10 W
BLING IT K K 4 3 2½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (walker brad)LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00 6.60  
STHEPANIE PRINCESS 6 5 55 4   4 3.2 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 12.00 5.10  
A LIL PSYCHOTIC 5 2 43 33   31 4¼ (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 118 2.00 36% 1.80 2.20  
STEPHANIE'S MARIA 7 6 78 6   6 53 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 3.00 34% 1.90 1.90  
TAKEOVER QUEEN 2 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 6 (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 110 10.00 10.10  
DAY FOR THE GRAY 3 4 3 7   7 713 (gomez davi)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
SCR  MISS LEONA               (latour n)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50    
 
DED-8   10/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:06
See original race card.
:23 :47       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARAH IN THE HOUSE 7 6 5 2nk   1½ 1 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 122 6.00 4.30  
10  KOKOMO STARLET 9 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 2 (jackson )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50 72% 0.40 1.40 P
SHORT STACK 1 9 7 7   4 3 (player fletche)FLORIAN JOSE 119 3.50 4.50 S
SECRETLY SWEET 8 2 1nk 3.2   3 4 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 20.00 4.00  
SPECIAL FEATURE 6 5 6 6   66 5 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 119 12.00 15.00  
MIDNIGHT CIGARETTE 4 3 4¾ 4   54 610 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 114 10.00 5% 19.00 43.60  
STOLEN BULLET 3 8 8 8   8 714¼ (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 15.00  
QUIET MELODY 5 4 3.2 5   78 814¾ (morrell cyn)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00 13.00  
LIL LILAH ANN 2 7 9 913¼   918½ 941 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 121 20.00 84.00  
SCR  MISS MO TOM               (daigle walte)EDISON JOCELYN 116 20.00    
SCR  MIZ MASTERY               (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50    
SCR  SECRET TEE               (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.