Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Thursday - October 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (4/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/10/6)-(4/10/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/6)-(4/10/6/8/5)-(4/10/6/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/10/6)-(1/4/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/10/6)-(1/4/11)-(7/2/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-2   WIN (1/4/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/11)-(1/4/10/11/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/11)-(1/4/10/11/5)-(1/4/10/11/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/11)-(7/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/11)-(7/2/8/1)-(7/2/10/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (7/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/1)-(7/2/8/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/1)-(7/2/8/4/1)-(7/2/8/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/8/1)-(7/2/10/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/1)-(7/2/10/6/5)-(2/7/3/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (7/2/10/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/10/6/5)-(7/2/10/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/10/6/5)-(7/2/10/6/5)-(7/2/10/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/10/6/5)-(2/7/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/10/6/5)-(2/7/3/1)-(4/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-5   WIN (2/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/1)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/1)-(4/3/5)-(6/8/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(6/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(6/8/2/4)-(10/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-7   WIN (6/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/2/4)-(10/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DED-8   WIN (10/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/4)-(10/1/7/4/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (10/4)-(10/1/7/4/9)-(10/1/7/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   10/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROTHER RYAN         (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 15.00    
  (by WHENCE out of WITH HONORANDGRACE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SEITAN         (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of COOP N NUGGET by CORINTHIAN)
WARRIOR AND A HALF         (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 10.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of HALF A SUGAR by HALF OURS)
MARDI GRAS MAMBO Aug31 Aug15 Jul29     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 35% 1.90    
  (by HALF OURS out of BOURBON N BOOTS by PROSPECTOR'S GIFT)
HE'S READY TO WIN         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of READY'S GAL by MORE THAN READY)
RUNNING RAGGED Jul25 Jun29       (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 3.50 11% 8.10    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of HILARIOUS BROWN by BIG BROWN)
BELLA'S BOSS Aug24 Aug10       (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ARABELLA BELLA by SKIPSHOT)
IMPERIAL DYNASTY         (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 6.00    
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of HENNY BETTY by HENNY HUGHES)
MY FIRST DEAL         (taylor heat)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 20.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of SWEET PEA MAMA VE by HARD SPUN)
10  HAWIJA Aug03 Jun23       (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by MR. MONEY out of AFAAF by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
DED-2   10/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YAKETY YAK Aug23 Aug01 Jul20 Jul11 May24 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
GOTTA DEAL Aug17 Aug02 Jun24 Jun12 May29 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00    
STYLING HOOK Aug03 Jul11 May18 May02 Feb10 (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 10.00    
ONE MORE SLEEP Sep24 Aug27 Aug09 Jul26 May02 (romero d)POMPELL L 124 4.00 33% 2.10    
DEE'S LEGS Sep18 Aug21 Aug06 Jun25 Jun12 (nelson eri)RAMIREZ JR 119 10.00    
SCR  SAUCY ARGUMENT Aug24 Jul27 Jul11 May29 May09 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 124 6.00    
C F HENRY Sep18 Aug27 May09 Jan13 Dec16 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 122 8.00    
TUCKER THE GRUMP Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul11 Jun21 (zenon shelton)FLORIAN JOSE 119 12.00    
ZAPAWAY Aug27 Jul29 Jun17 May28 May04 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
10  AVERY'S GEM Sep10 Aug17 Jul19 Jun21 May22 (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
11  COOL RIDE Jun17 Jun04 May06 Apr20 Mar15 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRAN CHICO Aug09 Jul11 Jun21 May09 Apr19 (pomier d)MCMAHON J 122 5.00    
 
DED-3   10/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEAL EM JUSTICE         (robbins han)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of JESSE'S JUSTICE by LEAR FAN)
YAKETY YOCK Aug31         (johnson henr)BARRERA J 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of FULL FLEET by HALF OURS)
MY SPECIAL STAR         (breaux samue)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ELEGANT IDEA by PRIVATE VOW)
DEELITESANDIMSUM Aug19         (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
  (by CATALINA RED out of DEELITES D'OR by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
DISTINCTLY GOLDEN Aug03         (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 6.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of DISTINCT DIVA by WITH DISTINCTION)
SCR  V CUT         (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 115 12.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of SPECIAL BLESSING by FLAT OUT)
HOLD MY HAT Aug10 Jul13       (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
  (by IRON FIST out of TOO CLOSE TO PUNCH by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
WATER TESTER Sep14 Aug11       (scherer gary)MURRAY M 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of RYAN AND MADISON by SAM LORD'S CASTLE)
CAJUN MITOLE         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
  (by MITOLE out of CAJUN FLOWER by FLOWER ALLEY)
10  C F SPUNIE STYLE         (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 10.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of L. A. STYLE by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  DUBAIAN MONEY Aug10 Jul25       (gonzalez vi)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00    
  (by MR. MONEY out of DUBAIAN by HANSEN)
 
DED-4   10/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COZZOLANI Sep13 Aug31 Aug16 Jul18 Jun20 (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 20.00    
LILY'S CREED Sep11 Jul27 Jun22 Jun07 May01 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
JESS'S RAINBOW Sep16 Jul25 Jun22 Jun07 May25 (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 8.00    
LACIS JEWEL May30 May08 Feb22 Feb02 Jan19 (flugence henry)FLORIAN JOSE 112 20.00    
RYAN'S GRACE Jun27 May08 Apr13 Mar13 Feb24 (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MIZ JAMESON Sep23 Sep11 Aug28 Jul23 Jun17 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
HONORARY GUEST Aug10 Jul25 May24 Nov17 Oct07 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 120 2.50 66% 0.50    
AGAMI Sep17 Sep02 Aug24 Jul11 May24 (patt r)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 20.00    
TOLATETOOWAIT Jul27 Jul13 May15 Nov03 Aug04 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 6.00    
10  MSCHITCHATTOUR Aug17 Jul27 Jun18 May30 May08 (zenon )RUIZ GARCIA 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-5   10/10/2024 2640ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD BERT Jun01 May04 Feb03 Dec09 Nov03 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
PRADO'S PRIORITY Aug02 Mar01 Jan25 Jan12 Dec08 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 117 2.50 41% 1.40    
GEAUX SUGAR Jun21 May10 Feb24 Feb03 Jan05 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 3.50 8% 11.40    
BRAHMS BOY Jul03 May11 Apr28 Apr07 Mar08 (sauceda jesse)MCMAHON J 122 12.00    
INDIA INK (ARG) Sep04 Jul11 Jun14 May10 Apr13 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 120 6.00    
MUD ON MY BOOTS Aug23 Aug10 Jul21 Jun16 Jun04 (morrell cyn)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 15.00    
SHARP CHARLIE Aug26 Jun01 May04 Mar23 Feb03 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  RUM 'N TONIC Oct14 Sep11 Aug28 Jul30 Jul10 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 12.00    
SCR  BAYOU BEAUX Aug23 Aug03 May08 Apr12 Feb07 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
SCR  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Aug26 Aug15 Jul26 Jun21 Jun07 (thompson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 10.00    
 
DED-6   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOES NOT COMPUTE Sep26         (roberson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MARIA WHO by SKY MESA)
SCR  GREATIZLOVE Aug10 Jul13       (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 112 12.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of SOMETHING LOVELY by NEW TRIESTE)
MAP OF DONEGAL         (noel da)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of JAZZ TUNE by JOHANNESBURG)
INDIAN CAT Aug24         (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 42% 1.40    
  (by TAPITURE out of PARTY CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
MISCHIEVOUS SMILE Jul25         (robbins han)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SUTTON'S SMILE by PADDY O'PRADO)
CONTRABANDIST Aug29 Aug03       (noel dane)POMPELL L 120 3.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SUMMERTIME GREEN by EMPIRE MAKER)
BUTCHY BOY Sep26 Sep14 Aug28 Aug19   (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
  (by ORDAINED out of LUCY'S MISS MUSKET by MUSKET MAN)
R Y D'ORO Aug18         (amoss thomas)BARRERA J 120 1.40    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LAUGHABLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
DED-7   10/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS LEONA Aug24 Dec13 Nov16 Jul22   (latour n)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50    
PULPIT'S DREAM Aug16         (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 115 6.00 9% 9.90    
TAKEOVER QUEEN Jan19 Nov17 Nov04     (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 110 10.00    
DAY FOR THE GRAY Sep04         (gomez davi)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
BLING IT K K Jul14 Jun09 May25 Nov30   (walker brad)LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
A LIL PSYCHOTIC Aug24 Jul27 Jun28 May29 Apr27 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
STHEPANIE PRINCESS Aug09 May29 May06 Feb15 Nov26 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 12.00    
STEPHANIE'S MARIA Aug24 Aug09 Jul20 Jun20 Jun01 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
DED-8   10/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT STACK Aug21 Jul10 Jun18 May11 Apr20 (player fletche)FLORIAN JOSE 119 3.50    
LIL LILAH ANN Aug02 Feb21       (zenon shelton)STOKES J 121 20.00    
STOLEN BULLET Aug23 Aug09       (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
MIDNIGHT CIGARETTE Aug22 Jul06 May30 Apr27 Apr10 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
QUIET MELODY Jun21         (morrell cyn)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
SPECIAL FEATURE Aug16         (averett ronni)VARGAS P 119 12.00    
SARAH IN THE HOUSE Aug03 Mar03       (pomier chase)BARRERA J 122 6.00    
SCR  MIZ MASTERY May04 Apr18 Mar16 Feb25 Aug17 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50    
SECRETLY SWEET Sep16 Mar20 Mar02 Feb03   (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
10  KOKOMO STARLET Sep16 Aug26 Apr04 Mar03 Dec30 (jackson )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50 72% 0.40    
SCR  SECRET TEE Aug22         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
SCR  MISS MO TOM Aug22         (daigle walte)EDISON JOCELYN 116 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.