Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - September 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-3   EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-6 $8.60 $2.60 43%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   09/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($18K) 2 F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA QUEST 5 2 4 4   23 1 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 119 3.50 34% 1.90 0.60 W
TUSCAN SAINT 4 1 12 12   13 2 (lorefice matt)SINGH R 119 12.00 14.20  
DREAMY DEAL 1 6 611½ 6   3 3 (wilson sha)RAMIREZ JR 114 4.00 24% 3.20 5.10 S
LARYSLITTLERACER 3 4 5 5   4 4 (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00 11% 7.90 27.30  
ATTILA THE SPUN 6 3 22 22   521½ 519 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 3.70  
MOPAC TRAFFIC 2 5 3 3   622½ 619¼ (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00 6.10  
SCR  CANDY GIRL MISS               (zenon charles)FLORIAN JOSE 114 5.00    
SCR  DAZE DAY               (schwandt emile)STOKES J 119 6.00    
 
LAD-2   09/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:142 1:414   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAWBERRY SUNDAE 4 2 1nk 2½ 1½ 1½ 1½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 43% 1.30 0.60 W
STAR'S DREAM 1 1 6 54 3 3 2½ (hargrave ke)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 6.00 41.20  
AGAMI 5 7 3 3 4 4 3 (patt j)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 10.00 8.00  
SHE'S GONE D'WILD 3 3 2nk 1½ 2½ 2½ 4 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 25% 3.00 3.00  
MIDNIGHT TRIP 7 4 4 66 6 5 5 (melancon d)RAMIREZ JR 117 4.00 11.70  
AVERI EVER AFTER 2 5 5 44 57 610 68 (duke steven)VARGAS P 122 4.50 11% 8.20 7.90  
START WELL 6 6 7 7 711½ 716 720 (daigle walte)EBOW JR 117 8.00 5% 19.00 50.60  
 
LAD-3   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECKLESS RANSOM 3 3 4 33   22 1 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00 7% 12.50 1.80 W
BOURBON SPIRIT 6 1 1 12   12 2 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 62% 0.60 1.20 P
INVARIABLY 4 6 5 4   36 3 (rufino eusebi)VARGAS P 122 10.00 3.50  
STOMPING HOTROD 2 2 2 22   4 4 (hewitt michael)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.50 13.30  
DRAFT CHOICE 1 5 3 5   511½ 5 (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 29.80  
RARE STRIPE 5 4 610½ 6   616½ 612¼ (hewitt m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
SCR  CABOCHON TREASURE               (charles keit)BARRERA J 119 6.00    
 
LAD-4   09/17/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:14 1:261   1:322   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOKINGS 1 4 33 4   1nk 1 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 65% 0.50 0.60 W
MUCHO BUENO 4 2 12 1½   2nk 2 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 14.90  
PERRINS 5 7 6 5   4 3 (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 12% 7.00 4.00 S
GO BROTHER GO 7 1 7 7   7 48 (munoz yovani)VARGAS P 124 8.00 13.60  
BROADWAY PEARL 3 5 4 31   3 5 (balderas)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.50 5.00  
GOBOT 2 6 5 66   6 6 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 117 10.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
CLASSIC WARRIOR 6 3 22 2½   5 710½ (gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00 20.40  
SCR  LITTLE Z               (nelson r)WADE LYNDIE 119 6.00    
 
LAD-5   09/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:122     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE SHARP TIZ 3 3 21 12   18 1 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 121 5.00 30% 2.30 0.50 W
SPOONMAN 6 6 56 44   38 2 (borel renay)HERNANDEZ V 124 3.50 29% 2.40 2.40 P
SILVER REDESDALE 7 2 4 54   28 3 (gonzalez victo)FLORIAN JOSE 116 8.00 36.60  
ASTROLOGY WONOWON 8 1 11 22   410 418¼ (patt r)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 13.20  
WILDCATS'S MEOW 2 8 812½ 714   515 519½ (mojica edith )VARGAS P 124 4.50 9% 10.00 27.00  
MALIBU MONEY 5 5 68 69   616½ 622¼ (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 124 4.00 10% 9.20 37.90  
ARCH OF SWORDS 9 9 918½ 922½   826 729 (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 73.70  
RODE BOSS 4 10 1020½ 1025   932 833¾ (hatcher nath)EBOW JR 116 20.00 ######  
SIXTEEN DEGREES 1 4 3 33   724½ 935 (duke steve)RAMIREZ JR 116 12.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
10  JUSTINS SECRET 10 7 711½ 822   1044 1050¾ (mickelso)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00 27.40  
SCR  WHATDIDWEDO               (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 116 15.00    
 
LAD-6   09/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:134 1:394   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY JEOPARDY 2 2 21 2½ 2nk 1 13 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 66% 0.50 1.10 W
CERTIFIED GEM 6 1 33 32 3½ 2 23 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.50 1.70  
TINCANDANCE 1 3 11 1½ 1nk 3 36 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00 5% 19.00 26.20 S
BLUSHING BELLE 5 6 65 6 5 511½ 417 (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 117 5.00 9.00  
BERLAINE 3 4 44 44 4 410½ 519¼ (claire alexis)WADE LYNDIE 119 6.00 8.80  
START SINGING 4 5 5 5 67 613 620¾ (duke steven)VARGAS P 122 10.00 6% 16.50 6.70  
SCR  CLEARLY A TEST               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 1.80    
 
LAD-7   09/17/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:221 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GARNET JUBILEE 2 1 1 1   15 1½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 5.00 37% 1.70 1.60 W
COACH SAM P 1 3 5 4   35 2½ (hewitt michael)WADE LYNDIE 124 8.00 8.70  
ALL IN GOOD TIME 6 7 6 54   5 31 (martin t)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00 18.00  
MACKAY BOY 3 4 32 3   25 45 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 118 3.50 34% 1.90 4.10  
FLASHIN CHIP 4 2 2 2   4 5 (richard rus)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 4.50 7.80  
METRONOME 7 6 7 67   7 66 (zeringue w)RAMIREZ JR 116 4.00 2.10  
10  CONNOR TALKSTRASH 8 8 810½ 7   6 7 (hatcher d)BOREL H 121 20.00 5% 19.00 38.20  
IBENDLIEDTO 5 5 4 8   817¾ 818¼ (poteet r)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 20.00 54.20  
SCR  STAR APRIORITY               (thomas lee)MAGNON H 118 12.00    
SCR  TAP TO CONNECT               (nixon w)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00    
SCR  WILD APRIORITY               (thomas lee)BARRERA J 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.