Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Wednesday - August 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-7   WIN (6/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $26.80 $18.80 235%
    EXA (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $47.90 $35.90 299%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   08/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:151 1:423   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSIN VICKIE 1 7 69 710½ 3 2nk 1 (de beauville )RENGIFO JOHAN 124 3.50 11.80  
MY IDEA 4 1 23 24 2 31 2 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 11.60 P
AURORA AUSTRALIS 3 4 13 14 1 1nk 3 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.00 0.70 S
SUGAR CANE GAL 6 6 7 610 66 5 4 (zeno benjamin)WADE LYNDIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
GIGI'S LUV 7 2 45 59 45 43 510 (duhon jose)RAMIREZ JR 115 2.50 73% 0.40 4.90  
DADDY'S CINDERELLA 2 3 3 3 5 6 632¾ (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 9.50  
GRAEME'S DEAL 5 5 57 4 78 7 7100 (zeno benjamin)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00 8.80  
 
LAD-2   08/21/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:222 :461       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEDDING MARCH 1 7 8 54   3½ 1 (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 5.00 1.90  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of U S S LEXINGTON by WAR FRONT)
RUNNING COMMENTARY 7 4 22 2   2½ 2 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50 5.50 P
  (by LAOBAN out of SUN SALUTATION by INCLUDE)
FOXY'S BAY BULLET 5 1 12 1   1½ 3 (milligan allen)BOREL H 117 6.00 16.00  
  (by BROOKS 'N DOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SPECIAL STRIKE 3 8 76 7   53 4 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 8.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
  (by LONE STAR SPECIAL out of STRIKINGLY SMART by UNION RAGS)
DAZZLING DUCHESS 2 2 4 43   41 55 (gelner j)WADE LYNDIE 117 2.50 56% 0.80 2.50  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of STARRY EXPECTATION by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
SAINT CECILE 4 3 5 64   7 68 (vincent jarvi)VARGAS P 117 10.00 15.00  
  (by MITOLE out of LIP SYNC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
SPUNOUTOFCONTROL 8 5 32 32   65 7 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 117 3.50 20% 4.10 6.00  
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of PIONEER WOMAN by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
LA RONALDA Y G 6 6 65 8   812½ 823 (mallery von)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 117 12.00 18.10  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of UNABASHED by KINGMAMBO)
 
LAD-3   08/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:143 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC WARRIOR 3 4 45 3 21 1 1 (gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.00 20% 4.00 1.70 W
BIG TAP BABY 2 3 2 54 31 3 2 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 44% 1.20 1.50 P
ST PIERRE 5 1 35 2 43 4 312 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 8.60  
BAD BRAD 1 2 1 1 11 2 413½ (venzor jail)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
DEE'S LEGS 4 5 56 4 5 56 516¾ (borel renay)BOREL H 124 3.50 2.70  
SCR  LITTLE WARRIOR               (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 6.00    
SCR  TACTICAL VISION               (zeno benjami)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
 
LAD-4   08/21/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:114 1:241   1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE GOTS TO GO 2 1 68 7   1nk 1¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 5.00 5.40  
FREEDOM LASS 4 2 44 4   2nk 2¾ (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.50 26% 2.90 1.20 P
CANDY FOR CARMEL 6 6 55 6   4 33 (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 124 10.00 15% 5.90 5.80 S
NOW NOW MAN 1 5 911 9   7 4 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 4.50 14.30  
PEPPER JACK 3 8 810½ 5   6 57 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 121 4.00 8.30  
EZMOSH 5 4 1½ 1nk   3½ 67 (jacks e)VARGAS P 124 8.00 4.60  
BIG BROTHER 8 9 7 8   5 7 (bryant geo)RAMIREZ JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 46.50  
FREIGHTRAINFREEMAN 7 3 2½ 2nk   8 812¼ (balderas)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 75.20  
GUITARTUITION PLZZ 9 7 32 31   9 915 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 30% 2.30 11.00  
 
LAD-5   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alabama Crimson Tide Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DROMAS 4 5 5 2nk   2nk 1½ (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 118 2.50 0.80  
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of VIDI VICI by YES IT'S TRUE)
BOBBY JR. 6 2 3 1nk   1nk 2½ (savoie sherman)SINGH R 120 5.00 12% 7.40 5.30 P
  (by INDY out of BLUE SUNSHINE by JOHANNESBURG)
UNAFFILIATED 5 1 4 5   33 3 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 118 3.50 15.00  
  (by AMERICAIN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
AOIDE 1 4 6 6   5 4 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
  (by KHOZAN out of LA FLOR by STREET SENSE)
JOVIE G 3 6 2½ 3.2   6 511¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 1.60 59% 0.70 1.80  
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
SIMPLICATED 2 3 1½ 4¼   4 611¾ (schmidt denise)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 8.00 42.20  
  (by CHAMOIS out of SWIFT PROSPECT by FORTUNATE PROSPECT)
 
LAD-6   08/21/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
See original race card.
:214 :442       :561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAZADERO 3 5 4 3   13 1 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 6.00 2.80  
BIG SCULLY 1 6 6 54   23 2 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.50 1.90  
PUDDING 2 7 7 75   46 37 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00 38% 1.60 7.80 S
UNBOWED 4 3 11 11   35 4 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 122 3.50 25% 3.00 11.50  
ROBO 6 1 5 64   67 5 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 29.40  
CLEAT 5 4 3 43   57 611 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 10% 8.50 2.20  
CHI TOWN HUSTLER 7 2 21 21   78 711¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
SCR  HOT LE ROY               (wong jonathan)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 8.00    
 
LAD-7   08/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:134     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. MACOMBER 1 7 65 6   2nk 1 (wilson melton)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 2.00 17% 4.90 12.40 W
RADIANT REBEL 5 6 54 4   5 2 (mouton patric)LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00 14% 6.20 1.60 P
HONDURAS PASSION 2 1 3 31   4¾ 3 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 1.30  
SHORT STACK 6 3 2nk 2nk   3½ 4 (player fletc)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50 42% 1.40 4.10  
UNO PEA 4 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 5 (mouton patrick)WADE LYNDIE 117 3.50 10.50  
SHELLEY'S ROSE 3 4 43 5   6 622¼ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00 44.60  
THE LADY BULLS EYE 7 5 77 710¾   714¼ 734¾ (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00 45.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.