Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Wednesday - August 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/6)-(2/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(2/8/3)-(2/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-2   WIN (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/3)-(2/8/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/3)-(2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/3)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3)-(2/4/1)-(9/4/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(9/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(9/4/6/8)-(3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (9/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/6/8)-(9/4/6/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/6/8)-(9/4/6/2/8)-(9/4/6/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/4/6/8)-(3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/6/8)-(3/6/1)-(2/5/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-5   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(2/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(2/5/6/8)-(6/1/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-6   WIN (2/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/8)-(2/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/8)-(2/5/6/8)-(2/5/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/8)-(6/1/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LAD-7   WIN (6/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUSIN VICKIE Jun11 Feb16 Jan05 Dec18 Sep11 (de beauville )RENGIFO JOHAN 124 3.50    
2  DADDY'S CINDERELLA Jul09 Jun11 May29 May14   (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00    
3  AURORA AUSTRALIS Jul09 Jun11 May07 Apr05 Feb16 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.00 ★    
4  MY IDEA Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May27 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 ★    
5  GRAEME'S DEAL Jul26 Jun20 May23 May11 Apr20 (zeno benjamin)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00    
6  SUGAR CANE GAL Aug09 Jul20 Jun27 Jun08 May25 (zeno benjamin)WADE LYNDIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  GIGI'S LUV Jul10 Jun08 May14 Mar15 Feb23 (duhon jose)RAMIREZ JR 115 2.50 73% 0.40    
 
LAD-2   08/21/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEDDING MARCH         (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 5.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of U S S LEXINGTON by WAR FRONT)
2  DAZZLING DUCHESS Jul23         (gelner j)WADE LYNDIE 117 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of STARRY EXPECTATION by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
3  SPECIAL STRIKE         (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LONE STAR SPECIAL out of STRIKINGLY SMART by UNION RAGS)
4  SAINT CECILE         (vincent jarvi)VARGAS P 117 10.00    
  (by MITOLE out of LIP SYNC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
5  FOXY'S BAY BULLET Aug03         (milligan allen)BOREL H 117 6.00    
  (by BROOKS 'N DOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  LA RONALDA Y G Jul14 Jun14 May26     (mallery von)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 117 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of UNABASHED by KINGMAMBO)
7  RUNNING COMMENTARY         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50 ★    
  (by LAOBAN out of SUN SALUTATION by INCLUDE)
8  SPUNOUTOFCONTROL         (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 117 3.50 20% 4.10    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of PIONEER WOMAN by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
LAD-3   08/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAD BRAD Jul24 Jun25 May08 Apr19 Mar22 (venzor jail)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BIG TAP BABY Aug06 May14 Apr06 Mar21 Mar01 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 44% 1.20    
SCR  TACTICAL VISION Jun15 May11 Jan26 Jan04 Oct14 (zeno benjami)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
4  CLASSIC WARRIOR Jul29 May13 May04 Apr17 Feb17 (gomez c)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
5  DEE'S LEGS Aug06 Jun25 Jun12 May18 May08 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 3.50    
SCR  LITTLE WARRIOR Aug06 Jun18 Jun04 May18 May07 (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 6.00    
7  ST PIERRE Jul09 May29 May08 Dec17 Nov15 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00    
 
LAD-4   08/21/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOW NOW MAN Aug13 Jul23 Jul03 Feb01 Jan20 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 4.50    
2  HE GOTS TO GO Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 May18 May04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 5.00 ★    
3  PEPPER JACK Aug06 Jun10 May27 May13 Jan27 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 121 4.00    
4  FREEDOM LASS May12 Apr04 Mar01 Oct29 Aug26 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
5  EZMOSH Feb18 Jan06 Dec07 Nov18 Nov01 (jacks e)VARGAS P 124 8.00    
6  CANDY FOR CARMEL Jul20 Jun29 May10 Apr17 Mar17 (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 124 10.00 15% 5.90    
7  FREIGHTRAINFREEMAN Jun11 May27 May18 Mar10 Aug07 (balderas)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
8  BIG BROTHER Jun02 May17 Apr27 Feb15 Jan20 (bryant geo)RAMIREZ JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  GUITARTUITION PLZZ Aug06 Jun17 Apr12 Feb29 Feb03 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
LAD-5   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alabama Crimson Tide Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AOIDE Jul04 May27       (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of LA FLOR by STREET SENSE)
2  SIMPLICATED Jul29 Jul04 Jun03 May06 Apr13 (schmidt denise)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 8.00    
  (by CHAMOIS out of SWIFT PROSPECT by FORTUNATE PROSPECT)
3  JOVIE G Jul27 Jul01 May11 Apr13 Jan05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 1.60 59% 0.70    
  (by DOC N BUBBA G out of AUSBROOK by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
4  DROMAS Jul17 Jul04 Jun04 Apr13 Mar06 (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 118 2.50    
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of VIDI VICI by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  UNAFFILIATED Aug05 Jul04 Jun05 May07 Apr13 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 118 3.50    
  (by AMERICAIN out of TRACK TELLER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  BOBBY JR. Aug06 Jul04 Jun05 May11 Apr13 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 120 5.00 12% 7.40    
  (by INDY out of BLUE SUNSHINE by JOHANNESBURG)
 
LAD-6   08/21/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SCULLY Jul17 Jun25 May16 Mar14 Jan11 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.50    
2  PUDDING Aug07 Jul17 Jun21 May10 Apr07 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  HOT LE ROY Aug13 Jul10 Jun15 May22 Mar13 (wong jonathan)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 8.00    
4  CAZADERO Jul09 Jun21 May09 Nov05 Oct27 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 6.00    
5  UNBOWED Jul16 Jun28 Jun23 May04 Apr14 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  CLEAT Jul30 Jul12 Jun16 Apr28 Apr05 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 10% 8.50    
7  ROBO Jul31 Jun26 Jun11 May27 May17 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00    
8  CHI TOWN HUSTLER Jul30 Jul02 Jun17 May29 Apr19 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-7   08/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRS. MACOMBER Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 Jul30 (wilson melton)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 2.00 17% 4.90    
2  HONDURAS PASSION Jul30 Jul04 Jun11 May29 Apr26 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
3  SHELLEY'S ROSE Jul30 Jul09 Jun18     (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00    
4  UNO PEA Jul10         (mouton patrick)WADE LYNDIE 117 3.50    
5  RADIANT REBEL Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 May14 (mouton patric)LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00 14% 6.20    
6  SHORT STACK Jul10 Jun18 May11 Apr20 Feb21 (player fletc)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  THE LADY BULLS EYE Jul30 Jun08 May07 Feb21 Jan19 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.