Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Delta Downs
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-4   WIN (6/7/5/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $33.40 $23.40 234%
    EXA (6/7/5/1/3)-(6/7/5/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-6 $44.00 $24.00 120%
    TRI (6/7/5/1/3)-(6/7/5/1/3)-(6/7/5/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-6-7 $52.25 $22.25 74%
    SFT (6/7/5/1/3)-(6/7/5/1/3)-(6/7/5/1/3)-(6/7/5/1/3) 120 $0.10 $12.00  1-6-7-3 $33.96 $21.96 183%
DED-5   WIN (10/8/9/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $14.80 $4.80 48%
    DD (6/7/5/1/3)-(10/8/9/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00  1-9 $146.50 $121.50 486%
DED-6   EXA (8/2/5/10/7)-(8/2/5/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-7 $68.50 $48.50 243%
    TRI (8/2/5/10/7)-(8/2/5/10/7)-(8/2/5/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-7-2 $181.40 $151.40 505%
    SFT (8/2/5/10/7)-(8/2/5/10/7)-(8/2/5/10/7)-(8/2/5/10/7) 120 $0.10 $12.00  10-7-2-8 $109.05 $97.05 809%
    DD (10/8/9/5/3)-(8/2/5/10/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00  9-10 $43.50 $18.50 74%
    PK3 (6/7/5/1/3)-(10/8/9/5/3)-(8/2/5/10/7) 125 $0.50 $62.50  1-9-10 $387.40 $324.90 520%
Simulator Race results
 
DED-1   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:241 :50 1:152     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ALEDEAN 3 1 21 2½   1½ 13¾ (amoss thomas)BARRERA J 120 1.40 0.30  
  (by GAME WINNER out of TONI'S HOLLYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  PRIMA BELLA 2 4 31½ 4¾   2½ 23¾ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 5.00 12% 7.10 3.20 P
  (by CUPID out of PRIMA DIVA by FED BIZ)
1  ARMALEESE 1 2 11 1½   35½ 39¾ (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 54% 0.80 6.60 S
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of DOUBLE DOSE by DEVON LANE)
5  HOLIDAY CRUISE 4 3 41½ 52¾   48½ 417½ (mallery vo)RAMIREZ JR 115 12.00 46.70  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of JEMROSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  F J'S WARRIOR 6 6 63¾ 62¾   58½ 517½ (maturin chad)STOKES J 120 10.00 36.90  
  (by BRETHREN out of JOUST by SANDPIT (BRZ))
6  MISS ROSIE T 5 5 51¾ 3½   610½ 620¼ (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 8.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of DANCING ALONE by KINGMAMBO)
SCR  LA PALABRA               (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 6.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of CUT CLASS TRIP by TRIPPI)
 
DED-2   10/12/2024 2640ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:221 :461         :461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOVELYREDSTILETTOS 2 4 1½     13 14 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 117 4.50 0.60  
4  FIRE VISION 3 5 2½     23 24 (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 117 2.50 53% 0.90 2.30 P
1  LADY HOPPER 1 7 52¾     34 35 (ludwig b)THORNTON G 117 8.00 5% 19.00 25.70 S
5  MADELYN'S HIT 4 6 42½     54¼ 45¼ (averett ronn)BARRERA J 115 10.00 20.30  
6  MY GOLDEN BLING 5 3 63¼     66¼ 57¼ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 8.40  
7  SUZY DOLL'S READY 6 1 3½     44 67½ (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 15% 5.90 9.60  
8  EXPECT A DANCER 7 2 73¾     77¼ 78¼ (robbins ray)STOKES J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 39.00  
SCR  TEARDUC               (sanchez amador )MCMAHON J 118 3.50    
 
DED-3   10/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 6:46
See original race card.
:224 :471       1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  MAJESTIC RAGS 8 9 96½ 85¼   51¼ 11¼ (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 120 8.00 5.50  
  (by UNION RAGS out of OCEAN VIEW by GONE WEST)
6  KINSLEY GRACE 5 5 2nk 1½   11 21¼ (balderas)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50 26% 2.80 3.40 P
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of TWINS PLUS A DOT by GIO PONTI)
10  THUNDERING DESIRE 9 4 82½ 52½   21 33½ (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 4.90  
  (by MR. MONEY out of WILL TAKE OVER by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
11  PITCHATIZZY 10 2 62¼ 41½   41¼ 46¾ (dunn henry)RAMIREZ JR 115 20.00 34.10  
  (by OXBOW out of PITCHER by LION TAMER)
7  SPECIAL STRIKE 6 1 1nk 3½   61½ 57¾ (wilson melto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 13% 6.50 13.00  
  (by LONE STAR SPECIAL out of STRIKINGLY SMART by UNION RAGS)
3  JENNY'S DAY 3 7 72¼ 62¾   72 68 (noel da)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of DEV MO by UNCLE MO)
2  GOLDEN BARCENTS 2 6 3.2 2½   31 711 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.00 35% 1.80 2.30  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LEAD US TO THE BAR by DUBLIN)
1  CANDY GIRL MISS 1 8 41¼ 73¼   84 812¼ (landry jacoby)FLORIAN JOSE 115 10.00 5% 19.00 31.50  
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of TOO MUCH TO BEAR by TOO MUCH BLING)
4  THIS GRAY MISCHIEV 4 10 1010½ 108¾   96 912½ (dussette a)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00 36.30  
  (by INTERACTIF out of SAWYERS GRAY GIRL by DUE DATE)
8  BOSTON ELLE 7 3 51¾ 98¼   1010 1021½ (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 12.60  
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of SHOW ELLE THESTAGE by SILVER TRAIN)
SCR  AT FIRST LIGHT               (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 15.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of DAWN BEFORE DAWN by HIGH YIELD)
SCR  DREAMY DEAL               (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of SALLY'S DREAM by UTOPIA (JPN))
 
DED-4   10/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:152 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL MOMENT 1 7 96¼ 95½ 42¼ 3.2 1½ (sauceda jess)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 15.70 W
6  WANNA WINNA 6 9 76 63½ 2nk 1nk 2½ (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 2.50 50% 1.00 0.70 P
7  SILENT POWER 7 1 1½ 11 1nk 2nk 3½ (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 21% 3.80 2.80 S
3  FABLED RULER 3 8 86 85 75¼ 75¼ 46 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
8  CHARLIE'S CREED 8 4 42 42 52¾ 54¾ 56¾ (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50 12.30  
10  UNCLE NICK 10 3 31 21 3.2 44¼ 67½ (govea ce)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 30.90  
5  BRILLIANT COLORS 5 2 2½ 31 63¼ 65¼ 78 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 6% 17.20 20.50  
4  Z'S GUITAR 4 6 64 53 85¾ 88¼ 810½ (zenon shelton)STOKES J 119 10.00 40.40  
2  SHANKINSTINE 2 5 52½ 74 96¾ 911¼ 920 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 112 15.00 79.50  
9  BIG BROTHER 9 10 109¼ 109½ 1011¾ 1015¼ 1027½ (bryant george)FUSILIER C 120 20.00 ######  
SCR  IT'S A BIRD               (larrosa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
SCR  SEEHOSS               (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 8.00    
 
DED-5   10/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
See original race card.
:221 :462       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  OVER PAID 9 1 21½ 21   14 11¼ (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 119 6.00 10% 8.60 6.40 W
1  GRACIOUS KAT 1 8 96½ 77   45 21¼ (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 122 6.00 2.40  
7  MOR JAZZ 7 7 75 44½   24 32½ (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 2.70  
8  TRIPLE RED ACES 8 6 33½ 34   34 45¼ (landry ray)FUSILIER C 124 2.50 29% 2.50 7.90  
2  TOMMY SIX FINGERS 2 9 85½ 87   67½ 57 (averett ronnie)STOKES J 121 20.00 98.30  
5  CLASSY SHIPMAN 5 5 54 65½   78 611 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
3  WESTERN AFLEET 3 4 64½ 98   88¼ 711 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 114 10.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
10  GARNET JUBILEE 10 2 11½ 11   55½ 815 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 37% 1.70 5.40  
4  FLASH FREDDIE 4 10 106¾ 109   910¼ 920¾ (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 121 20.00 88.50  
6  ALL COUNTRY 6 3 44 55   10100 10100 (laday ashton)FLORIAN JOSE 116 15.00 76.60  
SCR  WINDTAPPER WIN               (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 124 20.00    
SCR  YES JACK               (turner patt)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 8.00    
 
DED-6   10/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:153     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TAKEN IT 10 10 74¼ 41½   1nk 12 (journet alber)VARGAS P 124 8.00 7% 13.70 3.50 W
7  FIELD OF LIGHTS 7 4 31½ 31   2nk 22 (broussard vinc)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 17.30 P
2  TAP IRON FIST 2 8 109¼ 96¼   57 33¾ (castille carro)THORNTON G 124 2.50 28% 2.60 4.60 S
8  RUN AWAY SAMARI 8 6 53½ 52½   32 45¾ (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 119 3.50 32% 2.10 1.40  
5  COUSHATTA CUTIE 5 2 42½ 72¾   67½ 57¼ (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 122 5.00 11% 8.20 13.70  
3  FIVE LEAF CLOVER 3 1 1nk 1½   43 611½ (chevis a)FUSILIER C 122 12.00 14.80  
9  ALL AMERICAN PAT 9 9 86¼ 84¾   910 715¼ (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 20.00 12.70  
6  LONG LEGGED LADY 6 3 2nk 2½   78½ 815¼ (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 10.00 24.30  
1  DADDY'S CINDERELLA 1 7 64 62½   89½ 915¾ (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 10.20  
4  GALAXY AFFAIR 4 5 97¼ 1014¼   1020 1029¾ (west henry)STOKES J 124 15.00 50.20  
SCR  COSTA LADY               (boxie s)FUSILIER C 122 20.00    
SCR  COZY COURTNEY               (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
 
DED-7   10/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
See original race card.
:221 :461       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  COPTER 7 1 2nk 2½   12 12½ (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 4.00 1.10  
7  SPARKIN 6 4 32 31½   22 22½ (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 5% 19.00 18.00 P
1  HOSTILE AFLEET 1 7 52¾ 54   55 35 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 6.00 13% 6.80 8.30 S
9  SAMURAI'S GRANDSON 8 2 42¼ 43   44½ 45¼ (govea ce)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00 44.60  
3  MUCHO MARVIN 3 9 84 64½   66 56 (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 12.00 47.80  
2  SLITHER 2 8 63¾ 75   77 69 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 12.00 41.20  
5  WAR SONG 5 6 94 95½   87½ 79¼ (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 117 8.00 5% 19.00 20.40  
4  HOLY BAYOU 4 5 1nk 1½   32½ 810 (klanfer alan)MCMAHON J 122 6.00 17% 4.80 6.30  
10  RECKLESS RANSOM 9 3 73¾ 85½   98½ 910½ (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50 45% 1.20 1.90  
SCR  OUR FREDDIE MAC               (hoda danny)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 12.00    
 
DED-8   10/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:06
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:134     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MAGICAL MARK 2 1 1nk 2nk   11 1nk (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 118 3.00 34% 1.90 2.00 W
6  MAZING MARK 5 8 73¼ 52   21 2nk (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 4.00 1.70  
8  YOU'RE ON MUTE 6 7 86¼ 83¾   43 32¾ (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 15.00 26.80  
10  WAY OUT FRONT 8 6 31½ 31   53½ 46¼ (noel da)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 17% 4.80 12.60  
4  HABANERO TOM 3 3 2nk 1nk   32 56½ (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 20.00 27.20  
5  MINOR DISCREPANCY 4 4 41¾ 41½   64 67½ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
9  BOBBY BOY 7 5 62¾ 63   74½ 78¼ (noel dan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 10.00 20.20  
1  LAST ATTACK 1 2 51¾ 73¼   88½ 89¼ (gelner j)MCMAHON J 118 5.00 4.70  
SCR  HEAVENLY DEAL               (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 8.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  MARCUS GIFT               (gelner jayde)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-9   10/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:34
See original race card.
:23 :47       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  QUICK ZONG 4 5 1½ 1nk   1½ 11 (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 124 12.00 13.50  
10  STAR APRIORITY 10 3 42 31   31½ 21 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 119 6.00 9.40  
9  CUPCAKE COWBOY 9 6 73 42   43 31 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 2.50 16% 5.20 2.50 S
5  I'M A NIGHT TRAIN 5 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 41¼ (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 33% 2.00 2.90  
7  MR. RONNIE 7 7 84 53½   54 53¼ (averett ronnie)STOKES J 114 15.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
2  WE CALL HIM DOC 2 8 63 63¾   64 63¾ (pomier chase)BARRERA J 119 3.50 24% 3.20 3.10  
8  VELOCIDAD 8 2 52½ 84¾   76 74¾ (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 13.60  
1  RIP RULES 1 9 95 95¾   87 88½ (morrell cyn)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 15.00 42.40  
3  SWEET CANDY BOY 3 10 108 107¾   911 913 (mojica a)PEREZ CARLOS 117 15.00 6% 16.70 27.20  
6  IMPRESSIVE BIDDER 6 1 31 74¼   1012 1020¼ (silva )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 10.00 30.70  
SCR  COACH SAM P               (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 5.00    
SCR  TAP TO CONNECT               (nixon w)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.