Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(4/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(4/7/8/1)-(2/6/7/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-2   WIN (4/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/1)-(4/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/1)-(4/7/8/1)-(4/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/8/1)-(2/6/7/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8/1)-(2/6/7/3/1)-(6/7/5/1/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-3   WIN (2/6/7/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/3/1)-(2/6/7/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/3/1)-(2/6/7/3/1)-(2/6/7/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/7/3/1)-(6/7/5/1/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/3/1)-(6/7/5/1/3)-(10/8/9/5/3) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-4   WIN (6/7/5/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/1/3)-(6/7/5/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/1/3)-(6/7/5/1/3)-(6/7/5/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/5/1/3)-(10/8/9/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/1/3)-(10/8/9/5/3)-(8/2/5/10/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-5   WIN (10/8/9/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/9/5/3)-(10/8/9/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/9/5/3)-(10/8/9/5/3)-(10/8/9/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/8/9/5/3)-(8/2/5/10/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/8/9/5/3)-(8/2/5/10/7)-(10/4/1/5/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-6   WIN (8/2/5/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/10/7)-(8/2/5/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/10/7)-(8/2/5/10/7)-(8/2/5/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/5/10/7)-(10/4/1/5/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5/10/7)-(10/4/1/5/7)-(3/2/10/5/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-7   WIN (10/4/1/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/1/5/7)-(10/4/1/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/1/5/7)-(10/4/1/5/7)-(10/4/1/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/1/5/7)-(3/2/10/5/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/4/1/5/7)-(3/2/10/5/7)-(5/2/9/3/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-8   WIN (3/2/10/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/10/5/7)-(3/2/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/10/5/7)-(3/2/10/5/7)-(3/2/10/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/10/5/7)-(5/2/9/3/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
DED-9   WIN (5/2/9/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/3/7)-(5/2/9/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/3/7)-(5/2/9/3/7)-(5/2/9/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   10/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMALEESE Aug17 Jul19       (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 54% 0.80    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of DOUBLE DOSE by DEVON LANE)
2  PRIMA BELLA         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 5.00 12% 7.10    
  (by CUPID out of PRIMA DIVA by FED BIZ)
SCR  LA PALABRA         (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 6.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of CUT CLASS TRIP by TRIPPI)
4  ALEDEAN Sep15 Aug25       (amoss thomas)BARRERA J 120 1.40    
  (by GAME WINNER out of TONI'S HOLLYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  HOLIDAY CRUISE Aug14 Jul14 Jul07 Jun23 Jun09 (mallery vo)RAMIREZ JR 115 12.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of JEMROSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  MISS ROSIE T         (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of DANCING ALONE by KINGMAMBO)
7  F J'S WARRIOR         (maturin chad)STOKES J 120 10.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of JOUST by SANDPIT (BRZ))
 
DED-2   10/12/2024 2640ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY HOPPER Aug09 Jul19 Jun20 May17 May11 (ludwig b)THORNTON G 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TEARDUC Jun28 Jun06 May17 Apr27 Mar27 (sanchez amador )MCMAHON J 118 3.50    
3  LOVELYREDSTILETTOS Aug15 Jul25 Jul12 May11 Apr10 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 117 4.50    
4  FIRE VISION Aug31 Jul13 Jun29 May12 Mar17 (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 117 2.50 53% 0.90    
5  MADELYN'S HIT Aug17 Aug01 Jun13 May08 Apr10 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 115 10.00    
6  MY GOLDEN BLING Sep11 Aug19 Aug07 Jun08 May16 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
7  SUZY DOLL'S READY Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 May24 May08 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 15% 5.90    
8  EXPECT A DANCER Feb17 Jan12 Dec19 Oct06 Jul21 (robbins ray)STOKES J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-3   10/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY GIRL MISS Sep02 Aug02       (landry jacoby)FLORIAN JOSE 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of TOO MUCH TO BEAR by TOO MUCH BLING)
2  GOLDEN BARCENTS Aug09         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LEAD US TO THE BAR by DUBLIN)
3  JENNY'S DAY Jul05         (noel da)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of DEV MO by UNCLE MO)
4  THIS GRAY MISCHIEV         (dussette a)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00    
  (by INTERACTIF out of SAWYERS GRAY GIRL by DUE DATE)
SCR  AT FIRST LIGHT Jun28         (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 15.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of DAWN BEFORE DAWN by HIGH YIELD)
6  KINSLEY GRACE Sep02         (balderas)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of TWINS PLUS A DOT by GIO PONTI)
7  SPECIAL STRIKE Sep02 Aug21       (wilson melto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
  (by LONE STAR SPECIAL out of STRIKINGLY SMART by UNION RAGS)
8  BOSTON ELLE         (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of SHOW ELLE THESTAGE by SILVER TRAIN)
9  MAJESTIC RAGS         (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 120 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of OCEAN VIEW by GONE WEST)
10  THUNDERING DESIRE         (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
  (by MR. MONEY out of WILL TAKE OVER by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
11  PITCHATIZZY         (dunn henry)RAMIREZ JR 115 20.00    
  (by OXBOW out of PITCHER by LION TAMER)
SCR  DREAMY DEAL Sep17         (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of SALLY'S DREAM by UTOPIA (JPN))
 
DED-4   10/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL MOMENT Aug11 Jul21 Jun02 May10 Apr28 (sauceda jess)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHANKINSTINE May07 Mar07 Feb18 Jan20 Dec19 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 112 15.00    
3  FABLED RULER Sep26 Sep09 Aug27 Aug12 Jul24 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  Z'S GUITAR Aug17 Jul18 May24 May11 Apr19 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 119 10.00    
5  BRILLIANT COLORS Sep20 Sep08 Aug26 Aug03 Jul08 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 6% 17.20    
6  WANNA WINNA Aug06 Jul23 May09 Apr25 Apr05 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
7  SILENT POWER Aug24 Jul19 May30 Apr27 Mar14 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
8  CHARLIE'S CREED Jul19 Jun21 May17 Apr19 Mar08 (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50    
9  BIG BROTHER Sep26 Sep09 Aug21 Jun02 May17 (bryant george)FUSILIER C 120 20.00    
10  UNCLE NICK Sep12 Aug17 Aug07 Jun14 Apr21 (govea ce)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
SCR  SEEHOSS Aug14 Jul18 Jun01 May22 May01 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 8.00    
SCR  IT'S A BIRD Aug15 Jul04 Jun13 May18 May03 (larrosa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
 
DED-5   10/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACIOUS KAT Aug09 Jul11 Jun15 May01 Apr05 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 122 6.00    
2  TOMMY SIX FINGERS Jul13 Jun21 May09 Feb07   (averett ronnie)STOKES J 121 20.00    
3  WESTERN AFLEET Aug17 Aug01 Jun24 May21 Apr10 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  FLASH FREDDIE Sep18 Jul29 Jun03 Jan12 Dec08 (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 121 20.00    
5  CLASSY SHIPMAN Aug12 Jun19 May06 Oct20 Jul03 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ALL COUNTRY Aug17 Aug02 Jul19 Mar24 Feb10 (laday ashton)FLORIAN JOSE 116 15.00    
7  MOR JAZZ Sep24 Aug26 Aug08 Jul05 Nov19 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00    
8  TRIPLE RED ACES Sep16 Aug23 Aug14 Jun27 Jun15 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
9  OVER PAID Aug27 Aug05 May20 Apr10 Mar15 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 119 6.00 10% 8.60    
10  GARNET JUBILEE Sep17 Feb25 Feb04     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  YES JACK Sep14 Aug27 Aug13 Jul04 Jun10 (turner patt)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 8.00    
SCR  WINDTAPPER WIN Sep24 Sep09 Aug13 Jul15 Dec13 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 124 20.00    
 
DED-6   10/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADDY'S CINDERELLA Sep18 Aug21 Jul09 Jun11 May29 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00    
2  TAP IRON FIST May01 Apr06 Mar21 Feb09 Jan19 (castille carro)THORNTON G 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  FIVE LEAF CLOVER Aug24 Aug02 Jul20 Jun29 Jun06 (chevis a)FUSILIER C 122 12.00    
4  GALAXY AFFAIR Aug03 Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Dec29 (west henry)STOKES J 124 15.00    
5  COUSHATTA CUTIE Sep24 Sep10 Aug16 Jul27 Oct27 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 122 5.00 11% 8.20    
6  LONG LEGGED LADY Aug22 Aug02 Jul06 May30 Apr24 (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 10.00    
7  FIELD OF LIGHTS Aug24 Jul18 Jun27 May24 May08 (broussard vinc)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  RUN AWAY SAMARI Sep18 Aug27 Jul02 Jun18 May28 (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
9  ALL AMERICAN PAT Sep18 Aug27 Aug16 Jul13 Jun22 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 20.00    
10  TAKEN IT Sep18 Aug24 Jun27 Mar09 Feb22 (journet alber)VARGAS P 124 8.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  COSTA LADY Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 Jun22 May25 (boxie s)FUSILIER C 122 20.00    
SCR  COZY COURTNEY Sep09 Aug24 Jul19 Jun15 Apr24 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
 
DED-7   10/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOSTILE AFLEET Jun16 May10 Apr18 Mar06 Feb21 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
2  SLITHER Aug15 Jun13 May18 May01 Apr13 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 12.00    
3  MUCHO MARVIN Aug02 Jul06 May18 May01 Feb22 (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
4  HOLY BAYOU Aug23 Jul30 May31 May06 Dec21 (klanfer alan)MCMAHON J 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
5  WAR SONG Sep26 Aug28 Aug15 Jun25 Feb07 (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OUR FREDDIE MAC Aug03 Jul19 May25 May15 Apr13 (hoda danny)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 12.00    
7  SPARKIN Sep09 Jul24 Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  COPTER Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 May23 May08 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 4.00    
9  SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Aug28 Jul30 Jul10 May04 Apr27 (govea ce)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
10  RECKLESS RANSOM Sep17 Aug28 Aug02 Jun25 May15 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
DED-8   10/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST ATTACK Jul04 May25 May10 Mar22 Mar06 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 118 5.00    
SCR  HEAVENLY DEAL Jul16 May29       (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 8.00 20% 4.10    
3  MAGICAL MARK Jun14 May03 Feb02 Dec01 Nov09 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  HABANERO TOM Jun21 May24 May02 Jan27 Oct29 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 20.00    
5  MINOR DISCREPANCY Jul25 Jul06 May25 May01 Feb02 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAZING MARK Apr21 Mar15 Feb25 Dec06 Nov21 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 4.00    
SCR  MARCUS GIFT Sep14 Jul27       (gelner jayde)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  YOU'RE ON MUTE Sep28 Sep04 Aug12 Jul17 Jun25 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 15.00    
9  BOBBY BOY Aug17 Jul19 Jul05 Jun14 Dec01 (noel dan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 10.00    
10  WAY OUT FRONT Aug15 Jun27 May09 Feb17 Jan20 (noel da)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
 
DED-9   10/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIP RULES Aug10 Aug12 Jul15 Apr15 Mar31 (morrell cyn)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 15.00    
2  WE CALL HIM DOC Aug17 Jul26 Jul04     (pomier chase)BARRERA J 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  SWEET CANDY BOY         (mojica a)PEREZ CARLOS 117 15.00 6% 16.70    
4  QUICK ZONG Jun13 May23 Feb10 Jan13 Dec27 (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 124 12.00    
5  I'M A NIGHT TRAIN Aug22 Jan18 Nov22 Nov02 Oct12 (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 33% 2.00    
6  IMPRESSIVE BIDDER Sep04 Aug01       (silva )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 10.00    
7  MR. RONNIE Aug22         (averett ronnie)FLORIAN JOSE 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  VELOCIDAD Aug24 Aug01       (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
9  CUPCAKE COWBOY Aug14 Jun27 Apr25     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
10  STAR APRIORITY Sep09 Aug23 Jun27     (thomas lee)MAGNON H 119 6.00    
SCR  TAP TO CONNECT Sep04 Aug05 Jul10 Jun19   (nixon w)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00    
SCR  COACH SAM P Sep17 Sep04 Aug05 Jul03 Jun19 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.