Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Evangeline Downs
Wednesday - August 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (6/11/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.00 $1.00 13%
    EXA (6/11/1/4)-(6/11/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-4 $19.30 $7.30 61%
EVD-3   WIN (8/1/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $14.80 $6.80 85%
    EXA (8/1/2/10)-(8/1/2/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-5 $61.50 $45.50 284%
    DD (4/8/6/2)-(8/1/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-2 $16.80 $0.80 5%
    PK3 (6/11/1/4)-(4/8/6/2)-(8/1/2/10) 64 $0.50 $32.00  1-4-2 $40.30 $8.30 26%
EVD-4   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $4.60 $0.60 15%
    EXA (4/7)-(4/1/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-1 $13.60 $7.60 127%
    DD (8/1/2/10)-(4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00  2-4 $19.30 $11.30 141%
    PK3 (4/8/6/2)-(8/1/2/10)-(4/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00  4-2-4 $20.90 $4.90 31%
EVD-6   WIN (4/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $21.00 $13.00 163%
    EXA (4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $81.20 $69.20 577%
    TRI (4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-5-9 $189.95 $177.95 1483%
    SFT (4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1) 24 $0.10 $2.40  1-5-9-4 $66.79 $64.39 2683%
EVD-8   WIN (2/9/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $8.80 $0.80 10%
    EXA (2/9/1/7)-(2/9/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-2 $18.70 $6.70 56%
    TRI (2/9/1/7)-(2/9/1/7)-(2/9/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  9-2-7 $32.75 $20.75 173%

Simulator Race results

 
EVD-1   08/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:24 :484       1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE BOURBON 1 1 12 1nk 1nk 12 12 (landry allen)MAGNON H 117 6.00 15% 5.70 3.50 W
ATHENS MOON 4 5 4 4 5 22 22 (mouton chadw)BARRERA J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 4.00 P
FIRST CLASS HARLOW 2 2 22 2nk 2nk 32 32 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 2.50 11.00  
MO SATURDAYS 6 3 3 3.2 3.2 4 4 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 124 3.00 27% 2.80 1.10  
DUMBSTRUCK 3 7 67 6 7 5 5 (wilson shane)VARGAS P 120 8.00 10.50  
11  EL PERFECTO 7 6 7 7 4 6 6 (claire alexis)STOKES J 124 5.00 26% 2.80 6.50  
PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN 5 4 5 5 6 78 710¾ (richard russell)POMPELL L 121 20.00 54.40  
SCR  CAJUN AMI               (landry ray)FUSILIER C 121 15.00    
SCR  DEN'S GOOD GRACE               (delany)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
SCR  JAYS HOLIDAY               (zenon shelton)STOKES J 121 10.00    
SCR  LIL SWEET THANG               (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 15.00    
SCR  PERRINS               (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 121 15.00    
SCR  WHITE ICE               (pomier chase)BARRERA J 117 8.00    
 
EVD-2   08/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:13 1:262   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPULIST 3 5 2nk 2nk 12 14 1 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 121 2.00 44% 1.30 0.70 W
SARAH'S VISION 1 1 3 34 32 24 2 (chevis )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.50 3.00  
SMOKY TOPAZ 6 3 49 410 45 410 312½ (richards coral)THORNTON G 121 10.00 20.90  
GOTTATAKEHIMTO 5 6 510 512 57 310 412¾ (patt roland)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 20.00 70.60  
SMOKEY HARBOR 2 2 612 612¼ 69 613 515½ (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
AND FIFTY 4 4 1nk 1nk 22 511 620¾ (david b)GREEN AUBRIE 121 5.00 13% 6.80 5.10  
SCR  BODE'S LIGHT               (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 121 12.00    
SCR  STATE OF THE UNION               (bruno l)FLORIAN JOSE 116 20.00    
SCR  TURN ON THE MAGIC               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 121 2.50 13% 6.60    
 
EVD-3   08/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:113 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLO CREEDO 2 1 12 11 1 12 1¼ (landry ray)ROSIER R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40 W
MUFFIN NUTS 4 8 8 6 4 22 2¼ (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 8.00 8.80 P
CHAOSMOS 3 10 9 8 78 47 3 (richard russell)POMPELL L 121 4.50 6.60  
HANKS 1 2 56 7 6 35 4 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 121 3.50 24% 3.20 4.00  
MINNESOTA MIRACLE 8 4 44 21 3 57 57 (segura kearne)VARGAS P 121 15.00 8.40  
DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) 7 7 66 3 2 68 68 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 1.80 50% 1.00 1.00  
BLEEP BLEEP 5 3 3 44 5 710½ 711 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 118 12.00 58.10  
11  SILVER N LAI 10 9 1012¼ 1015¾ 1020½ 816½ 817 (toups brent)STOKES J 121 20.00 ######  
10  JAZZY JUSTIN 9 5 7 910¾ 918 921½ 924¼ (toups brent)THORNTON G 121 20.00 5% 19.00 67.50  
SWIFT N TRAFFIC 6 6 22 54 813 1024½ 1028¼ (mouton cha)MARQUEZ L 118 20.00 ######  
SCR  CHIEF ALPHA               (del eric)QUILES ANTONIO 121 12.00    
SCR  DON'T BOX ME IN               (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 8.00    
SCR  JOEY'S GAME               (charles keit)BARRERA J 121 15.00    
 
EVD-4   08/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAN SHE 4 2 2nk 2nk   11 1 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 2.00 70% 0.40 1.30 W
EARLY DAWN 1 3 1nk 1nk   21 2 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 124 6.00 5.20 P
CUSTOM CANDY 2 4 31 4   33 3 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 121 15.00 5.40  
GRACE'S SOLDIER 5 7 8 8   45 45 (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00 37.20  
RUN NATALIE RUN 8 6 7 6   56 5 (ward ronnie)QUILES ANTONIO 121 5.00 2.50  
NATURALBORNSENDER 6 8 6 5   7 6 (zeno benjam)MELANCON JANSEN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
ENOUGH HEART 7 1 4 31   66 710¼ (zenon charles)STOKES J 121 20.00 58.90  
FLYING I 3 5 5 7   88 812¼ (west henry)FLORIAN JOSE 119 12.00 55.20  
SCR  FLAWLESS TAKEOVER               (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 3.00    
SCR  MYDEALOFTHEDAY               (constantine)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 20.00    
 
EVD-5   08/14/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:57         :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUS'S DREAM WORLD 4 2 2½ 1½   1 11 (gelner scot)MELANCON JANSEN 117 12.00 7.00  
FATHER MARK 3 3 5 53   44 21 (david b)BARRERA J 121 2.50 1.90  
LOUDERMILK 9 5 34 43   3 3 (mojica edit)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00 57.70  
MASTER OF DISGUISE 7 9 8 76   68 42 (diodoro robert)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 17.10  
TRIPLE RED ACES 2 1 1½ 2½   2 52 (landry allen)MAGNON H 122 6.00 5% 17.70 2.10  
VOYANT 1 6 4 3   58 62 (tillis e)STOKES J 124 8.00 20% 4.10 7.10  
STRUTTIN APRIORITY 5 8 910 6   811½ 7 (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 119 20.00 40.10  
BAD DECISIONS 8 4 6 8   7 8 (cangemi daniel )MCMAHON J 122 3.00 46% 1.20 14.60  
DONEGAL ARROW 6 7 7 910   1015 9 (noel dane)ROSIER R 124 20.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
10  RUN CARLOS 10 10 1012½ 1010½   913½ 1010 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 121 15.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
SCR  CUSTOM CADILLAC               (cuccia j)VARGAS P 121 4.50    
SCR  MISSIN CURFEW               (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 124 6.00    
 
EVD-6   08/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:122     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONEGAL DREAMER 1 3 43 32   31 1¾ (noel dane)ROSIER R 120 6.00 5% 19.00 9.50 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SUNSET STARLET by MALIBU MOON)
GRAND SAM 5 6 79 42   43 2¾ (degeyter ran)BARRERA J 120 2.50 13% 6.70 1.60 P
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of WHAT WHAT WHAT by ARCHARCHARCH)
MIDNIGHT AVENGER 7 1 33 2½   1½ 3 (turner patti)VARGAS P 120 10.00 5% 17.50 5.10 S
  (by FLATTER out of MIDNIGHT SWEETIE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
MYSTIC HOPE 4 7 6 5   5 4 (rivera nest)MELANCON JANSEN 117 3.50 54% 0.90 4.20  
  (by BIND out of MYSTIC DREAMER by FED BIZ)
DONEGAL FREEDOM 3 2 1 1½   2½ 55 (noel dane)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 5.00  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of WARM SUNSHINE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
CUPCAKE COWBOY 2 5 2 7   6 6 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 20.00 51.20  
  (by STREET BOSS out of MISS ATLANTIC CITY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
DELTA FRONT 6 4 56 6   7 726½ (gelner j)THORNTON G 120 5.00 4.00  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MEKONG DELTA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  BOUEUX ROUGE               (silva walter)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 12.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of VERVE by UNBRIDLED)
SCR  DISTORTED MATH               (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 124 15.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of KIDDARI by SMARTY JONES)
 
EVD-7   08/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:143 1:263   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF CONTRABAND 4 3 3 2nk 1 1 1 (ward ronnie)QUILES ANTONIO 121 4.00 5.30  
WOOD RIVER 5 6 66 6 67 44 2 (segura kearn)BARRERA J 121 2.00 25% 3.00 2.10 P
COURT JESTER 2 2 21 32 2 2 32 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 2.60  
GAMER NATE 6 5 54 44 34 34 4 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 117 10.00 13% 6.80 2.40  
MO CREDO 3 4 43 55 55 5 5 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 6.00 25% 3.10 9.90  
SEEHOSS 1 1 11 1nk 4 6 622¼ (larrosa a)STOKES J 121 12.00 11.10  
SCR  MY PAL SWEET               (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
 
EVD-8   08/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:123     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT 8 8 811 710   3 14 (zenon shelto)QUILES ANTONIO 121 4.50 19% 4.20 3.40 W
F J'S FLACO 2 3 3 22   2½ 24 (maturin chad)STOKES J 124 2.00 38% 1.70 3.10 P
DYNAMIC SUN 7 7 56 46   44 38 (briley lonnie)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 2.20 S
ALLER VITE 5 1 1½ 12   1½ 4 (richard rus)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 20.00 9.60  
HAY DIDDLE DIDDLE 1 2 4 57   57 512 (gonzalez isai)VARGAS P 124 15.00 16% 5.10 11.60  
DOCE DE LA NOCHE 6 5 79 69   610 614¾ (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 124 2.50 7.60  
NEPHI 3 4 68 810½   812½ 716½ (west henry)FLORIAN JOSE 119 15.00 17.90  
ADMIRAL AFLEET 4 6 2½ 3   712 827½ (senegal j)FUSILIER C 121 6.00 10.30  
SCR  MECKES PRIORITY               (dussett)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.