Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Wednesday - August 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (6/11/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/11/1/4)-(6/11/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/11/1/4)-(6/11/1/4)-(6/11/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/11/1/4)-(4/8/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/11/1/4)-(4/8/6/2)-(8/1/2/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-2   WIN (4/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/2)-(4/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/2)-(4/8/6/2)-(4/8/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/6/2)-(8/1/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/2)-(8/1/2/10)-(4/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
EVD-3   WIN (8/1/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/10)-(8/1/2/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/10)-(8/1/2/5/10)-(8/1/2/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/2/10)-(4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/10)-(4/7)-(8/1/2/6/10) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
EVD-4   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/1/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/1/9/7)-(4/1/9/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/7)-(8/1/2/6/10) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(8/1/2/6/10)-(4/5/9/1) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
EVD-5   WIN (8/1/2/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/6/10)-(8/1/2/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/6/10)-(8/1/2/6/10)-(8/1/2/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/2/6/10)-(4/5/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/6/10)-(4/5/9/1)-(5/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-6   WIN (4/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/9/1)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/9/1)-(5/3/6)-(2/9/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-7   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/9/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-8   WIN (2/9/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/7)-(2/9/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/7)-(2/9/1/7)-(2/9/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   08/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOUSE BOURBON Jun13 May22 May01 Apr10 Feb24 (landry allen)MAGNON H 117 6.00 15% 5.70    
2  FIRST CLASS HARLOW Jul12 May30 May11 Apr25 Mar20 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 2.50    
3  DUMBSTRUCK Jul12 Jun06 Apr25 Mar24 Feb09 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
4  ATHENS MOON Jul23 Mar23 Mar03 Feb22 Jan05 (mouton chadw)BARRERA J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Jun29 Jun07 May18 Apr24 Apr10 (richard russell)POMPELL L 121 20.00    
6  MO SATURDAYS Jul14 Jun29 Jun15 May18 Feb09 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 124 3.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  CAJUN AMI Jun15 Jun01 May17 Apr19 Feb10 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 121 15.00    
SCR  PERRINS Jun29 Apr19 Mar14 Feb08 Jan13 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 121 15.00    
SCR  DEN'S GOOD GRACE Jul05 Jun22 Jun04 May16 Apr05 (delany)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
SCR  LIL SWEET THANG Jun21 Jun01 Apr12 Mar09 Feb23 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 15.00    
11  EL PERFECTO Jun07 May10 Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 (claire alexis)STOKES J 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  JAYS HOLIDAY May29 May15 May01 Apr05 Mar22 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 121 10.00    
SCR  WHITE ICE Jul19 Jun29 Jun06 May02 Mar22 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 117 8.00    
 
EVD-2   08/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH'S VISION Jun22 May25 Mar07 Feb13 Dec27 (chevis a)STOKES J 118 4.50    
2  SMOKEY HARBOR Jul20 Jun15 Apr18 Feb13 Jan07 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STATE OF THE UNION Aug09 Jul19 Jun20 May30 May09 (bruno l)FLORIAN JOSE 116 20.00    
4  POPULIST Jul20 Jun10 May14 Mar22 Feb16 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 121 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  BODE'S LIGHT Aug09 Jul06 Apr18 Mar06 Feb09 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 121 12.00    
6  AND FIFTY Jul11 Apr24 Mar13 Feb18 Jan26 (david b)GREEN AUBRIE 121 5.00 13% 6.80    
7  GOTTATAKEHIMTO Jul15 Jun27 Jun15 May18 May09 (patt roland)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 20.00    
SCR  TURN ON THE MAGIC Jul20 Jul04 Jun08 May17 May03 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 121 2.50 13% 6.60    
9  SMOKY TOPAZ Jul11 Jun20 May30 May17 May03 (richards coral)THORNTON G 121 10.00    
 
EVD-3   08/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANKS Jun29 Jun08 May17 May03 Feb24 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
2  BELLO CREEDO Jul18 Jul04 May23 Jan06 Dec20 (landry ray)ROSIER R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHIEF ALPHA Jul15 Jun26 Jun11 Mar27 Aug29 (del eric)QUILES ANTONIO 121 12.00    
4  CHAOSMOS Jul19 Jun29 Jun07 Apr12 Feb13 (richard russell)POMPELL L 121 4.50    
5  MUFFIN NUTS Jul03 Jun14 May25 May10 Apr28 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 8.00 ★    
6  BLEEP BLEEP Jun13 May10 Apr17 Feb23 Jan27 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 118 12.00    
7  SWIFT N TRAFFIC Jul26 Jul04 Jan06 Dec27 Dec07 (mouton cha)MARQUEZ L 118 20.00    
8  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Jul04 Jun14 Mar16 Feb25 Dec30 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
9  MINNESOTA MIRACLE Jul13 Dec16 Nov29 Nov10 Jul13 (segura kearne)VARGAS P 121 15.00    
10  JAZZY JUSTIN Jul19 May03 Apr11 Feb17 Dec29 (toups brent)THORNTON G 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  SILVER N LAI Jul11 May30 Feb17 Jan04 Dec14 (toups brent)LOZADA CARLOS 121 20.00    
SCR  DON'T BOX ME IN Jul13 May22 May02 Aug26 Aug03 (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 8.00    
SCR  JOEY'S GAME Jul18 Jun21 Mar06 Feb18 Jan28 (charles keit)BARRERA J 121 15.00    
 
EVD-4   08/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARLY DAWN Jul13 Jun08 Nov16 Nov02 Oct06 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 124 6.00 ★    
2  CUSTOM CANDY Jun28 Jun08 Mar12 Feb18 Nov30 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 121 15.00    
3  FLYING I Apr26 Mar02 Feb15 Jan18 Dec28 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00    
4  KAN SHE Jun28 May31 May08 Apr12 Feb15 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 2.00 70% 0.40    
SCR  FLAWLESS TAKEOVER Jun07 May17 Apr20 Dec20 Nov25 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 3.00    
6  GRACE'S SOLDIER Jul26 Jul06 Jun22 May15 May04 (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
7  NATURALBORNSENDER Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 May18 Apr18 (zeno benjam)MELANCON JANSEN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  ENOUGH HEART Jul11 Jun13 Jul15 Jun30 May27 (zenon charles)STOKES J 121 20.00    
9  RUN NATALIE RUN Jul11 Jun07 May18 May09 Apr17 (ward ronnie)QUILES ANTONIO 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  MYDEALOFTHEDAY Jun13 Apr27 Feb21 Feb01 Jan05 (constantine)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 20.00    
 
EVD-5   08/14/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOYANT Jul19 Jul05 Jun08 May15 Apr20 (tillis e)STOKES J 124 8.00 20% 4.10    
2  TRIPLE RED ACES Jun27 Jun15 May16 Apr27 Feb01 (landry allen)MAGNON H 122 6.00 5% 17.70    
3  FATHER MARK Jul19 Jun08 May16 Apr24 Apr28 (david b)BARRERA J 121 2.50    
4  GUS'S DREAM WORLD Jun14 May30 May02 Apr12 Mar10 (gelner scot)MELANCON JANSEN 117 12.00    
5  STRUTTIN APRIORITY Jun27 Jun15 May16 Sep09 Aug10 (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 119 20.00    
6  DONEGAL ARROW Oct11 Sep02 Jul22 Feb10 Jan05 (noel dane)ROSIER R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MASTER OF DISGUISE Jul03 May31 Apr18 Feb23 Feb09 (diodoro robert)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00    
8  BAD DECISIONS Jul04 Aug06 Jun10 Feb25 Dec15 (cangemi danie)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
9  LOUDERMILK Jun08 May15 May01 Mar24 Feb02 (mojica edit)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
10  RUN CARLOS Jul13 Jun06 Jan27 Dec20 Dec02 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CUSTOM CADILLAC Jul05 Jun15 May01 Mar10 Feb15 (cuccia j)VARGAS P 121 4.50    
SCR  MISSIN CURFEW Sep29 Sep06 Jul31 Jun29 Apr28 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 124 6.00    
 
EVD-6   08/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONEGAL DREAMER May16 Apr26 Apr12 Feb08 Jan21 (noel dane)ROSIER R 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SUNSET STARLET by MALIBU MOON)
2  CUPCAKE COWBOY Jun27 Apr25       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MISS ATLANTIC CITY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  DONEGAL FREEDOM Jan26         (noel dane)MCMAHON J 120 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of WARM SUNSHINE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  MYSTIC HOPE Jul16 May29       (rivera nesto)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 3.50 54% 0.90    
  (by BIND out of MYSTIC DREAMER by FED BIZ)
5  GRAND SAM Apr30         (degeyter ran)BARRERA J 120 2.50 13% 6.70    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of WHAT WHAT WHAT by ARCHARCHARCH)
6  DELTA FRONT Jun29 Jun08 Apr06 Mar15 Feb25 (gelner j)THORNTON G 120 5.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MEKONG DELTA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  DISTORTED MATH Jul10 Jun25 Apr25 Jan13 Dec18 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 124 15.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of KIDDARI by SMARTY JONES)
SCR  BOUEUX ROUGE         (silva walter)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 12.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of VERVE by UNBRIDLED)
9  MIDNIGHT AVENGER Jul17 Jun28 May31 May08 Apr12 (turner patti)VARGAS P 120 10.00 5% 17.50    
  (by FLATTER out of MIDNIGHT SWEETIE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
EVD-7   08/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEHOSS Jul18 Jun01 May22 May01 Feb21 (larrosa a)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
2  COURT JESTER Jun13 May22 Apr26 Feb24 Jan19 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 117 3.00    
3  MO CREDO Jul19 Jun06 May18 Mar06 Jan27 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 6.00 25% 3.10    
4  KING OF CONTRABAND Jun29 Jun13 May24 Apr25 Apr05 (ward ronnie)QUILES ANTONIO 121 4.00    
5  WOOD RIVER Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 May18 Apr19 (segura kearn)BARRERA J 121 2.00 25% 3.00    
6  GAMER NATE Jul12 Jun01 Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 117 10.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  MY PAL SWEET Jul12 May22 May01 Mar22 Feb24 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
 
EVD-8   08/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAY DIDDLE DIDDLE Jul25 Jun28 May29 May01 Jan13 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 15.00 16% 5.10    
2  F J'S FLACO Jul05 Jun13 Nov22 Oct11 Jul29 (maturin chad)STOKES J 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
3  NEPHI Jul05 Jun20 May29 May09 Apr17 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 15.00    
4  ADMIRAL AFLEET Jul27 Jul11 Jun15 May24 Apr11 (senegal j)FUSILIER C 121 6.00    
5  ALLER VITE Jun01 May18 Apr17 Mar06 Feb09 (richard rus)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 20.00    
6  DOCE DE LA NOCHE Jul25 Jul05 Jun14 May24 May04 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 124 2.50    
7  DYNAMIC SUN Jul11 Jun14 Apr26 Apr13 Dec19 (briley lonnie)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MECKES PRIORITY Jul20 Jun15 May24 May04 Apr12 (dussett)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
9  HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT May29 Apr27 Apr12 Feb25 Feb15 (zenon shelto)QUILES ANTONIO 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.