Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - October 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/5)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/5)-(6/3)-(1/2/3/9) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(1/2/3/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(1/2/3/9)-(7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/9)-(1/2/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/9)-(1/2/3/9)-(1/2/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/9)-(7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/9)-(7/5/3)-(5/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(5/6/7)-(3/7/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/11/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/11/7)-(5/6/11/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(3/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(3/7/8/4)-(4/6/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/4)-(3/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/4)-(3/7/8/4)-(3/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/8/4)-(4/6/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8/4)-(4/6/2/1)-(2/7/8/10/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/1)-(2/7/8/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/7/8/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/10/5)-(2/7/8/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/10/5)-(2/7/8/10/5)-(2/7/8/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY PAWS Oct02 Mar26 Feb26 Feb08 Jan25 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 6% 14.60    
2  MARLEY LUCK Sep30 Sep09 Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 126 4.50    
3  K P SILVER BULLET Oct07 Sep12 Aug21 Aug13 Jul30 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 5.00    
4  FRONTLINER Jul30 May06 Apr01 Feb24 Jan18 (johnson gar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 3.50 56% 0.80    
5  UNCLEJACKOMO Oct11 Sep24 Feb05 Jan22 Jan02 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  T MONEY Sep16 Aug11 May30 Apr30 Apr13 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.00 7% 13.40    
7  FIRST CITIZEN Sep30 Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 (jackson jam)NUNEZ Y 126 8.00    
 
MVR-2   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CLOAK AND DAGGER Sep16 Aug01 Jul16 Jun24 Jun12 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 121 1.80    
2  VERBIER (IRE) Sep26 Sep03 Aug31 Aug06 Jul17 (zielinski richar)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
3  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Sep23 Aug31 Aug22 Jul13 Jun15 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  AURA OF GOLD Sep05 Jul11 Jun22 May21 May07 (madrigal)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00    
SCR  TALKSCHEAP Aug07 Jun26 Jun19 May11 May03 (alessi jame)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 8.00    
6  SERGEANT GUMP Sep19 Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 (decker anna)SERPA ANGEL 121 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
MVR-3   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTRA CRAFTY Sep12 Jul31 Jul15 Jun19 May29 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
2  MOST ADORABLE Sep30 Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
3  THIRTY SOMETHING Oct01 Sep05 Aug15 Jul29 Jul17 (morales m)REYES FRANK 123 4.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  LACY QUEEN Sep06 Aug21 Jul25 Jul10 Jun15 (aguirre juan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50    
5  GEMSHINE Sep30 Sep04 Aug07 Jul01 Jun12 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
SCR  SHADY BABY Oct08 Sep06 Aug21 Jul25 May15 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 124 5.00    
7  HALO EFFECT Sep30 Jun19 May29 May13 Apr22 (yoder d)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
8  DEE'S KY WILDCAT May29 May18 Apr11 Mar27 Mar19 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
9  PENNY'S TREASURE Sep12 Jul31 Jul15 Feb22 Feb05 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 9% 10.10    
10  CLOUD PRINCESS Oct03 Sep12 Sep02 Aug10 Jul23 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00    
 
MVR-4   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLESS THE KITTEN Sep19 Aug29 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 10.00    
SCR  AUGER Oct08 Sep19 Sep03 Aug21 Aug06 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00    
3  MAKING ME CRAZY Sep19 Aug22 Jul23 Jul02 Mar19 (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 8% 12.00    
4  VENETIAN DREAM Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 Aug15 Aug05 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00    
SCR  IRISH UNITY Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 Aug06 Jul24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  BIG ROWDY DAN Sep24 Jun08 Jun01 May09 Apr20 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 2.00    
7  GAME BOY BENNY Sep30 Sep10 Jun23 Jun02 May13 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-5   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Oct02 Sep17 Aug27 Aug12 Jul18 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.50    
2  TAMMY'S TOY Oct08 Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 (brown glenr)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 20.00    
SCR  CLEVELAND POWER Oct01 Sep14 Aug30 Aug09 Jul18 (lopez e)SERPA ANGEL 124 20.00    
SCR  JOSH'N Sep25 Sep07 Aug01 Jul25 Jul04 (murillo-rodriguez)PEREZ A 124 15.00    
5  ROYAL'D Aug21 Jul25 Jul03 May27 Apr29 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 69% 0.40    
6  KID RUSSELL Oct08 Nov28 Oct10 Sep19 Aug14 (juarez lorenz)BRACHO A 124 8.00 10% 9.40    
7  WEEKENDER Oct02 Jul26 Jun12 Apr08 Feb19 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  WORTHY OPPONENT Oct03 Sep19 Aug20 Jul18 Jul03 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50    
9  BEAT THE DEALER Sep19 Aug26 Jul18 Jun12 Dec07 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00    
10  RED HOT POWER Oct11 Sep26 Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 (gonzalez dona)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
11  SWEET LEMON DROP Oct08 Sep18 Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 (jackson jam)NUNEZ Y 124 5.00 ★    
 
MVR-6   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEBIRD SING Sep19 Sep02 Aug14 Jul18 Jun24 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
SCR  SANDRINHA LOVE Sep27 Sep13 Aug29 Aug14 Jul27 (decker anna)SERPA ANGEL 121 12.00    
3  KERLO'S CAUSE Oct04 Sep20 Aug22 Aug07 Jun29 (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  PEARLINTHEROUGH Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 Jul04 (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  COROMANDEL Sep19 Aug20 Jul09 Jun24 Jun03 (radosevich jus)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
SCR  CARIBBEAN NIGHT Oct06 Sep25 Sep04 Aug26 Jul30 (inirio o)NEGRON LUIS 126 10.00    
7  SKYLAR'S SISTER Sep22 Sep10 Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 17% 4.80    
8  BANK BUSTER Sep19 Jun22 May27 May15 Apr25 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00 16% 5.40    
9  LONG BLACK VEIL Sep25 Sep12 Aug14 Jul20 Jul06 (jarvis)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-7   10/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Sep30 Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Sep18 (shanyfelt val)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  FUTURE FLAY Oct09 Sep25 Sep07 Aug22 Aug09 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 124 12.00 6% 15.80    
3  BANNED FROM MIDWAY Oct04 Sep12 Aug14 Aug01 Jul03 (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 126 3.00    
4  SABELLE Aug20 Jul22 May30 May04 Apr11 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  PRANCIPANTS Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 May27 Apr23 (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 124 4.00    
6  DANCE STEP Oct02 Sep03 Aug07 Jul01 May28 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
7  FULL TIME STRUTIN Sep19 Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 Jul25 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 5.00    
 
MVR-8   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THELMA LUCILLE Oct02 Sep17 Aug15 Aug07 Jul17 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 3.50    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
2  COWGIRL SARA Oct02         (schuster robin)DIAZ I 123 2.50 49% 1.10    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
SCR  PRADA MANDALA Sep25         (wilson david)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of PRAY FOR GRACE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
4  LOTS OF SASS Oct02 Sep17 Feb19     (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 123 20.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of SASSY OMBRE by OLD FORESTER)
5  DRILLING         (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of EAST AND UNION by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  SOMETHING LUCKY Oct01 Sep17 Aug26 Aug15 Aug07 (doering )FERNANDEZ R 123 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  PINK RACER         (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 6.00 12% 7.20    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MY PINK EASTERBABY by STRAIGHT MAN)
8  RON DAH LOU Oct02 Aug26 Aug07     (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 123 4.50 11% 8.30    
  (by CORFU out of WINNERCOASTTOCOAST by SUPER SAVER)
9  PRINCESS EM Oct02 Sep17 Aug26 Nov21 Oct29 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of RECORD HIGH by TOUCH GOLD)
10  BOLD RUBY Oct02 Aug26 Aug07 Jul01 May08 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00 8% 12.20    
  (by BOLD RED out of O. T. HUGHES by HENNY HUGHES)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.