Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Wednesday - May 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(4/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(4/7/2/3)-(4/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/2/3)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/3)-(4/5/3)-(6/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(6/3/5)-(4/5/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(4/5/1/7)-(3/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/1/7)-(3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/7)-(3/6/1)-(6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   05/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G T THREE FIFTY Apr25 Mar25 Feb28 Jan15 Dec28 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 1.60 64% 0.60    
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME May08 Apr23 Apr02 Mar13 Mar06 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 121 8.00    
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY May01 Apr11 Mar06 Jan31 Dec26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.00 10% 9.20    
MUTINY May08 Apr22 Apr04 Mar25 Mar11 (bailey rica)PETERSON FERRIN 123 3.50    
RAISE THE PURSES May18 Oct28 Oct06 Sep25 Sep13 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIMON SAYS May15 Feb14 Jan08 Dec26 Jun24 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-2   05/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYSTAL M May06 Mar27 Mar14 Feb24 Nov29 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50    
HALO EFFECT May13 Apr22 Apr11 Mar27 Mar11 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 16% 5.10    
DEE'S KY WILDCAT May18 Apr11 Mar27 Mar19 Feb05 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
MAP TO MY HEART Aug22 Aug03 Jul24 Jul06 May15 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.00 58% 0.70    
WELLOILEDCAT May20 May06 Jan11 Dec21 Dec05 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   05/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPUNKY ONE May13 Apr22 Apr10 Mar11 Mar04 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00    
MANDOLIN BREEZE May13 Nov21 Nov06 Oct21 Sep21 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00 7% 12.40    
HISTORYINTHEMAKING Feb21 Feb07 Dec28 Dec13 Nov28 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
NATIONAL DIAMOND May08 Apr22 Oct10     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
PRIDE AND ATTITUDE May13 Apr22 Apr10 Mar25 Mar11 (poole m)BRACHO A 115 2.00    
WILD MARIAH Apr22 Apr10 Apr01 Mar19 Feb27 (johnson l)DIAZ I 117 8.00    
MAYBETHEONE Nov30 Oct28 Sep21 Sep04 Aug14 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 115 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
TDN-4   05/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATDID I BUY Apr01 Mar14 Feb14 Jan30 Aug15 (radosevich)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 3.00    
DIMPLED Oct05 Sep19 Aug23 Aug09 Jul10 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00    
APPALACHIAN SPIRIT May03 Apr01 Mar14 Feb24 Jan09 (overholt paul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
THIRTY SOMETHING May08 Apr08 Mar19 Feb27 Feb05 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.20 42% 1.40    
EXTRA CRAFTY Apr01 Mar14 Feb24 Jan09 Dec11 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 1.80 20% 4.00    
 
TDN-5   05/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IAN GLASS May08 Apr19 Apr04 Mar07 Feb02 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00    
CYCLONE May09 Apr19 Mar23 Feb25 Jan28 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
ROCKSTAR RO May20 May08 Mar28 Mar17 Mar05 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 1.60 14% 6.00    
AUGER Apr17 Feb14 Jan15 Oct23 Oct06 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00    
TOUCH CODE Mar20 Feb26 Feb15 Feb01 Dec28 (brown glenro)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
FLIPPING FISH May08 Mar06 Feb18 Feb02 Jan14 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 1.80 46% 1.20    
 
TDN-6   05/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFTER SUNRISE Nov15 Oct11 Sep05 Aug15 Jul27 (langley joshua)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 13% 6.40    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
BUMPKIN May21 Mar25       (langley joshua)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BUMP BUMP by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
MOBIL MISSION Sep05 Aug15       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
  (by MOBIL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
D J'S FIRST STEP May13 Apr22       (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80 44% 1.30    
  (by CORFU out of LITTLE GREEN LIGHT by SMARTY JONES)
ROLL ON MAX May13 Apr22 Mar25     (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
  (by FORT LARNED out of NO TRUER by ALCINDOR)
EL CHAPIADOR         (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 119 12.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of MISS TAPIT by TAPIT)
BUCKEYE MIKE         (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SNAG out of CHAIN YANKER by DELTA MINER)
 
TDN-7   05/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOST ADORABLE May13 Apr10 Mar25 Mar11 Dec21 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
VAMONOS PIACENTE Apr10 Jan22 Dec20 Aug29 Aug09 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
FEELING EASY May13 Apr22 Nov30 Oct12 Aug14 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 40% 1.50    
BEAUTIFUL SCORE May13 Apr22 Mar19     (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 4.00    
THE KID'S PRAYER May13 Oct06 Sep21 Aug31 Aug03 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00    
DOLCE MARIE Apr22 Nov21 Nov06 Oct21 Oct04 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
TDN-8   05/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOOK THE RISK         (langley joshua)DIAZ R 119 12.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of VENNILOPE PITSTOP by HANSEN)
GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN May13 Apr22       (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 4.50    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of NEVERGONNAHAPPEN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SWAYBACK MOBIL May13 Apr08 Mar25 Feb29 Feb15 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
DREAMINGABOUTTIME May13 Apr13 Apr08 Mar20 Feb15 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
MARQUITOS M May13 Nov22 Oct24 Sep21 Aug28 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MALI by BWANA CHARLIE)
CINSAULT May13 Apr08 Mar25 Feb29 Feb15 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by FORT LARNED out of PINOTAGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
TURKODANCER         (langley joshua)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.