Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - May 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(2/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(2/5/1/7)-(1/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (2/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/7)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/7)-(1/3/5)-(7/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(7/6/2)-(4/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(4/3/1)-(4/7/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(4/7/1/5)-(5/4/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/5)-(5/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/5)-(5/4/7/3)-(4/6/1/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (5/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/3)-(4/6/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (4/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/7/2)-(4/6/1/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUM ISLAND Feb16 Dec08 Nov24 Oct01   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
2  AVA'S UNCLE BILLY Mar21 Feb11 Jan13 Dec10   (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
3  BROWN DON'T STOP Apr12 Mar24 Feb25 Jan19 Dec17 (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 122 4.50    
4  ROCK STAR BOY Feb25 Jan12 Jul20 Jun04   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  ERIC FROM MIAMI Feb18 Jan13 Nov03 Oct14 Sep17 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
6  INDIANQUEST Mar14         (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
BAQ-2   05/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I FEEL THE NEED Mar28 Feb11 Jan01 Dec08 Oct18 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 119 5.00 12% 7.10    
2  MAGGIE T Apr05 Mar16 Feb16 Dec31 Dec14 (giangiulio)RIVERA R 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
3  TRY IT AGAIN Feb16 Feb04 Jan26 Dec03 Nov19 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50    
4  STRANGE FRUIT Mar14 Feb19 Dec30 Nov26 Oct26 (reynolds pa)PAREDES JHOVANY 119 8.00    
5  SHOOPTHEREITIS Apr05 Mar16 Feb16 Dec31 Nov14 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
6  SYNONYMOUS Mar28 Mar08 Dec31 Nov30 Nov04 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 8.00    
7  ARGENTINA GIRL Mar28 Mar14 Feb19 Jan09 Nov26 (sanchez-)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-3   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Affirmed Success Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROTKNEE Mar02 Jan28 Dec30 Nov24 Oct29 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40 45% 1.20    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  DONEGAL SURGES Mar29 Feb24 Jan27 Oct30 Sep29 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SOLAR SURGE by BERNARDINI)
3  SHERIFF BIANCO Nov26 Oct29 Oct01 Sep21 Sep15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 17% 4.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SUMMER RULES by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
4  THRILL OF IT Apr05 Mar03 Feb09 Jan01 Dec07 (terranova )RIVERA R 120 6.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of GULF FRONT by THE FACTOR)
5  EXCELLENT TIMING Apr12 Mar10 May19 Apr21 Mar12 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of EXPLICABLE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
BAQ-4   05/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I LOVE CARA Apr19 Mar16 Feb29 Jan19 Jan01 (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 126 12.00    
2  PAPI ON ICE Apr05 Mar17 Mar08 Jan14 Oct04 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SONDSLIKSOMDINIDDO Apr11 Jan14 Sep04     (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
4  SCOTTO Apr04 Mar08 Feb17 Feb03 Jan06 (jones edu)BOCACHICA J 119 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN PURCHASE Apr19 Mar17 Feb29 Feb11 Jan18 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 15.00    
6  BINGOOD TO KNOWYA Apr11 Mar28 Feb24 Jan26 Jan07 (baker charlt)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
7  GUN MAESTRO Apr05 Feb29 Jan18 Dec30 Dec17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
SCR  PHANTOM JEWEL Apr19 Mar23 Mar03 Jan28 Jan01 (contessa c)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/02/2024 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGENT CREED Feb17 Jan15 Dec16 Nov10 Sep15 (garber owen)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  DAUNT Nov11 Oct19 Sep21 Aug26 Jul30 (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50    
3  REALLY GOOD Mar30 Feb17 Dec23 Nov15 Sep03 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 19% 4.40    
4  BEUYS (IRE) Apr14 Mar16 Dec30 Oct06 Sep07 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 43% 1.30    
5  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Apr19 Oct23 Oct03 Sep18 Aug29 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00    
6  MONDEGO (GB) Nov04 Sep09 Aug05 Jul08 Jun02 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60    
 
BAQ-6   05/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH HEAT Apr05 Mar22 Feb10 Jan06 Dec17 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 118 6.00 15% 5.70    
2  WILD BANKER Apr06 Mar24 Feb23 Jan26 Dec01 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
3  SIX PERCENT Mar30 Mar16 Feb04 Dec09 Nov30 (rodriguez ru)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
4  BOURBON CALLING Apr07 Mar07 Feb25 Jan12 Dec29 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 31% 2.20    
5  BOLD VICTORY Mar30 Mar16 Feb16 Jan04 Nov30 (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOLDTHEFLIGHT Mar30 Feb18 Jan31 Dec04 Nov07 (summers cha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
7  GUT FEELING Apr06 Mar29 Mar02 Jan12 Dec29 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
BAQ-7   05/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOYS CODE Nov18 Oct20 Sep24 Aug31 Aug16 (dixon li)DAVIS A 124 12.00    
2  AULA Mar22 Feb29 Feb04 Jan11 Dec15 (maker mi)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 10.00    
3  JACKSON HEIGHTS Apr13 Sep24 Aug27 Jul28 May29 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  DR. KRAFT Apr19 Mar24 Feb11 Dec16 Dec01 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
5  BATTLEOFLEXINGTON Apr12 Jul04 Jun09 May06 Apr21 (catalano wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  SAINT GAUDENS Mar24 Feb11 Jan18     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40    
7  MESSI THE MAGICIAN Apr19 Mar24 Mar09 Jan27 Jan06 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
 
BAQ-8   05/02/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARADE RING (IRE) Mar15 Feb11 Jul20     (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00 9% 10.40    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of OASIS SUNSET by OASIS DREAM (GB))
1A  IZZY SWEET GIRL (IRE) Mar29         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00    
  (by KODIAC out of BIONIC BUFFY by DARK ANGEL)
2  GROWTH RATE Feb24 Jan27 Aug20     (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PEACE CORPS by VIOLENCE)
4  MARCO T. Mar29 Nov04 Sep04 May11   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by KANTHAROS out of YOU GO TO MY HEAD by SUPER SAVER)
5  CLASSIC CARA Apr20 Mar08 Nov18 Oct13 Oct01 (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 118 50.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GEOGRAPHIC by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  OCEAN MERMAID (GB) Aug12 May13       (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 27% 2.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SPARKLING SURF by FRANKEL (GB))
7  AWATEA Aug18         (mott riley)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 ★    
  (by COLLECTED out of AURORE by ARCH)
8  BEWILDERED         (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00    
  (by MITOLE out of GOLDRUSH GIRL by GOLD TRIBUTE)
9  AZTECA STARDUST         (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of HELLOO REGINA by WILBURN)
10  PRIVATE PROPERTY (IRE)         (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
  (by TERRITORIES out of ROSEISAROSE by ACCLAMATION)
11  BELLIQUEUX         (baker char)RIVERA R 118 30.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of PARISIENNE by GOOD AND TOUGH)
SCR  SILVOLOGY         (mcgaughey claude )RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
SCR  LESLIE'S HUMOR Jan14         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LA TITINA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  NO TRICKS         (duarte j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DANCE TO BRISTOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  SASSY ALLIE         ( )TBA null      
  (by COAL FRONT out of SEATTLE SASS by CHIEF SEATTLE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.