Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/3)-(5/7/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/3)-(5/7/3/1)-(2/6/8/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/1)-(2/6/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/1)-(2/6/8/5)-(1/6/7/9/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/8/5)-(1/6/7/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/5)-(1/6/7/9/3)-(9/8/2/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (1/6/7/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/9/3)-(1/6/7/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/9/3)-(1/6/7/9/3)-(1/6/7/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/7/9/3)-(9/8/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/9/3)-(9/8/2/3)-(4/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (9/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/2/3)-(9/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/2/3)-(9/8/2/3)-(9/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/2/3)-(4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/2/3)-(4/6/8)-(7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/1/8)-(4/6/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/8)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8)-(7/1)-(2/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-9   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/6/8/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/6/8/5)-(7/1/6/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1)-(2/4/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(2/4/7/5)-(8/2/9/10) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-10   WIN (2/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/5)-(2/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/5)-(2/4/7/5)-(2/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/5)-(8/2/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-11   WIN (8/2/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/9/10)-(8/2/9/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/9/10)-(8/2/9/4/10)-(8/2/9/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AS LUCK HAPPENS Jan29 Dec26 Dec09 Nov24 Nov11 (ke)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
2  SEA BREEZE BOY Feb29 Feb05 Dec30 Nov19 Sep23 (chambers mike)RADKE K 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  MR ZED Sep16 Aug27 Aug20     (toye joe)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SIR LOOKING GLASS Dec09 Nov05 Sep24     (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 118 6.00    
5  LORD FISC Feb03 Jan13 Dec03 Jan01   (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
6  COUNTRY BOY Feb05 Dec26 Nov23 Nov04 Sep25 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 8.00 13% 6.80    
7  WEDNESDAY AT SHADY Dec28         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 2.00    
 
TUP-4   03/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTER JUMPER Mar04 Nov05 Oct10 Sep06 Aug21 (wolf ashl)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 7% 12.60    
2  BAYOU CHROME Mar04 Dec30 Dec16 Nov29 Nov02 (silva-martinez a)PENA BRYAN 122 3.50    
3  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Mar04 Feb20 Jan31 Oct13 Aug26 (whitehous)IRONEYES R 117 10.00 13% 6.40    
4  HOT MEMORIES Feb28 Feb14 Feb06 Jan13 Dec30 (tubbs scot)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00    
5  ELUSIVE LOVE Feb28 Jan30 May05 Apr08 Mar01 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  BRANNIGAN Feb28 Feb15 Feb03 Jan21 Jan12 (perez s)RADKE K 122 4.00    
7  MOON TIME Feb28 Feb15 Jan18 Dec16 Dec01 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
TUP-5   03/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG JACK Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 May02 (martinez a)RADKE K 122 12.00    
2  J C'S A LEGEND Feb27 Feb06 Nov24 Nov05 Oct01 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
3  FLEET OF FLAGS Feb27 Feb06 Jan12 Nov20 Oct29 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50    
4  RENEW Apr22 Apr05 Mar27 Feb22 Jan10 (kato akifumi)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
5  RESPECT THE UNION Feb22 Mar14 Feb27 Jan31 Jan05 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 8% 11.00    
6  UNCLE LEON Dec30 Nov24 Oct21 Sep24 Sep03 (rosales jorg)CONTRERAS LUIS 116 5.00 24% 3.10    
7  ROYAL HALO Feb27 Feb01 Aug13 Jul16 Jun18 (lucarelli f)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.50    
8  WEDDING GROOM Apr23 Mar14 Jan31 Jan07 Dec01 (dennison dan )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
TUP-6   03/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST ATBA Three Year Old Sales Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMYLUX Jan29         (alvarez se)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.00 45% 1.20    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of TIZ GOLDILUX by TIZDEJAVU)
2  ARIZONA REINA Feb15         (simpson)BRAVO MISAEL 122 20.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of HONEY CANDY by DESPERATELY)
3  MY ANCHOR IS HOT Feb21 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 (evans justin)REYES R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of ONE HOT ROMANCE by ROCK HARD TEN)
4  LINDYSNOTOBNOXIOUS Jan29 Jan12 Dec20 Nov13 Sep03 (kereluk edward)MAWING A 122 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of OBNOXIOUS by SILVER CHARM)
5  ARIZONA LINDY Feb15 Nov28 Sep30 Jul30 Jul02 (hone bart)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWESOME EFFORT by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  X RAY VISION Feb15 Dec12 Nov28 Sep22 Aug28 (eikleberry)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of WINNING VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
7  EZ ALL THE WAY         (martinez est)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 5.00 8% 11.70    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of R LA PATRONA by BENCHMARK)
8  TIA SUZI Feb15         (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 15.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MY INDY KITTY by TALE OF THE CAT)
9  EZ ARIZONA         (alvarez sergi)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00 8% 11.70    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of ARIZONA RANGER by U S RANGER)
 
TUP-7   03/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AWHITESPORTSCOAT Feb29 Sep17 Aug12 Jul22 Jun09 (hedge rick)MAWING A 124 8.00    
2  TIGER BY HIS TAIL Oct11 Sep04 Aug19 Jul29 Jul09 (barrio sergio)PENA BRYAN 124 12.00 17% 4.80    
3  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Feb29 Feb20 Jan18 Nov21 Oct21 (alvarez serg)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CURLY ESA Mar04 Feb22 Feb06 Jan26 Dec30 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
5  ECONOMICAL Mar11 Feb22 Feb06 Oct21 Sep24 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 3.00    
6  MEET JOE Feb19 Sep02 Aug07 May27 Apr14 (kenney ryan)RADKE K 124 5.00    
7  TAINO Feb20 Jan30 Dec05 Nov26 Nov13 (denny travi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
8  TRIBAL IMPACT Feb28 Dec16 Sep17 Sep09 Jul30 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
9  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Sep17 Aug19 Jul30 Jul16 Jun23 (toye joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 37% 1.70    
 
TUP-8   03/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST ATBA Three Year Old Sales Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALEBS LADY Feb13 Oct20 Aug25 Jul29 Jul07 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 122 5.00 ★    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of LADY OF HONOR by ALGORITHMS)
2  LOTSA STEEL Feb15 Dec19 Nov06     (alvarez s)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SPINNING STEEL by HARD SPUN)
SCR  TWISTED MISCHIEF         (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 122 20.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MINT TWIST by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  GREASE MISSLE Feb26 Dec12 Nov28 Oct14 Sep30 (hon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 1.00 63% 0.60    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MIDNIGHTHUSH by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  WYATT'S IN CHARGE Feb15         (mcfarlane l)CRUZ M 122 12.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JERSEY BUNS by JERSEY TOWN)
6  PERFECT MISCHIEF Feb13 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 8% 11.20    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of NO PROB LAMA by PAYNTER)
7  CHIRISCA Aug26 Aug12       (alvarez)BRAVO MISAEL 122 20.00    
  (by STANFORD out of PRETTY SYRIE by STREET BOSS)
8  ACES OVER DEUCES Feb05 Nov28 Sep10 Jul08 May06 (villamar ca)MORALES ROBERTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of A DROP DEAD DIVA by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  LUCKY BURGLAR         (campo stacy)PENA BRYAN 122 6.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of IRISH LUCK by LEMON DROP KID)
 
TUP-9   03/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEX'S GIRL Oct22 Apr02 Mar18 Mar05 Feb25 (tubbs scot)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TIZ FOR REAL Feb15 Dec12 Oct18 Sep10 Aug26 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00    
3  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Feb19 Aug20 Aug13 Aug02 Jul19 (gutierrez)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
4  BORN TO REIGN Feb06 Oct18 Sep27 Sep11 Aug27 (martinez o )MORALES ROBERTO 124 15.00    
5  LAKER JET Feb26 Oct14 Oct07 Sep17 Aug25 (bean robert)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 ★    
6  MO CONNELLY Feb19 Dec31 Dec10 Nov26 Nov11 (johnston kimber)CRUZ M 124 4.50 ★    
7  RED NOON RISING Feb19 Dec30 Dec17 Oct08 Oct02 (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 3.50 77% 0.30    
8  JASMINE CHIEFTAIN Mar03 Feb09 Jan27 Dec30 Dec02 (evans justin)REYES R 124 2.50 ★    
9  PAISLEY'S VISION Feb15 Dec05 Nov13 Sep17 Aug20 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 124 5.00    
 
TUP-10   03/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCY L Feb27 Feb07 Dec02 Nov11 Oct22 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50    
2  BIG BEAUTY Feb06 Jan29 Dec19 Apr09 Mar18 (evans justin)REYES R 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
3  CIDSTAYINURLAINE Feb27 Feb12 Jan30 Dec18 Sep27 (rojas mur)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00    
4  R SWIRVIN GIRVIN Feb19 Dec31 Nov25 Oct27 Sep16 (capestr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50 12% 7.50    
5  LOTSA LACE Feb26 Aug26 Aug06 Jun25 May02 (cuccia susa)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FAST TO FORTUNE Feb26 Dec18 Sep02 Aug05 Jul20 (woolley bennie )CORBETT W 122 8.00    
7  JEWEL AZUL Feb27 Jan31 Aug12 Jul19 Jul08 (woolley ben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 6.00 9% 9.60    
8  LORRAINE'S LEGACY Jan03 Dec22 Oct19 Aug24 Jul13 (gangidino lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 122 20.00    
 
TUP-11   03/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE RED RIFLE Feb28 Jan11 Nov14 Oct22 Sep03 (woolley ben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 10.00    
2  IOWA HAWKEYE Feb20 Jan30 Aug19 Aug05 Jun17 (caraman michael)RADKE K 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
3  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Mar06 Nov05 Oct15 Sep13 Sep06 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
4  NYQUILER Mar06 Feb19 Feb05 Dec29 Dec09 (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 3.00 ★    
5  GRUMPY BAY Feb28 Feb12 Jan30     (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 118 6.00    
6  INCREDIBE MO Feb27 Feb03 Jan05 Oct13 Aug19 (whitehouse wilto)MAWING A 124 12.00    
7  GORM Mar06 Feb04 Jan07 Dec09 Nov18 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00    
8  CONRAD THE RED Feb27 Feb05 Dec12 Dec06 Nov10 (anderson gonzal)CRUZ M 124 4.50 51% 1.00    
9  BIG WAY Mar06 Feb20 Jan26 Dec20 Dec04 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 15.00 8% 10.90    
10  WESTERBERG Mar06 Feb21 Feb05 Nov14 Oct13 (perez sergio )AYUSO ARMANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLUES RAPPER Mar06 Feb27 May05 Apr24 Apr11 (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.