Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (16/3/11/9/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-2   Win (12/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-3   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-4   Win (1/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-5   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-6   Win (6/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-7   Win (4/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (9/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-9   Win (16/5/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-10   Win (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-11   Win (10/7/2/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT-12:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LU'S REDEMPTION Aug30         (duggan p)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
VALENTINE GIFT         (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
DUSK Aug27         (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  SNARKY Sep01 Aug10       (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
SCR  CALLING AN AUDIBLE         (barker edward )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
LEARNING TO FLY         (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00    
ALETTE D'ORO         (hills a)RENDON JAIRO 119 6.00    
BARONESS BOURBON         (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
HANDLE ON YOU Aug30         (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  CITY BLOCKS         (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
11  BELLS TOLLING         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  REALTA Aug10         (levine bruce)RIVERA R 114 15.00    
13  MIA NIPOTINA         (sells rach)DAVIS A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIL' HAYADOIN         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
15  CARA'S GIRL         (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
16  CALL HER BLUFF Sep01 Aug09       (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
BAQ-2   10/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUM ISLAND         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
ELECTRIC EEL Aug27 Aug12 Jul23     (david carlos)RIVERA R 114 15.00 8% 11.50    
MAXIMILLIONS DREAM         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
RATHMORE         (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
LIVEHAPPY         (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
CHANGE OF COMMAND Aug25         (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 15% 5.50    
THUNDERSLAM         (johnson )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
WAJDA Aug25         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
STATES UNITED         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
10  REASONED ANALYSIS         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
11  SKIP THE LINE Jul29         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
12  SEA STREAK Sep09         (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 119 2.50 54% 0.80    
SCR  TRAILING MONSTER May18         (ginter jr)ACOSTA D 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST Vosburgh Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT NAVIGATOR Sep04 Jul23 Jun16 May14 Apr15 (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 118 20.00    
COWAN Sep22 May30 May06 Feb19 Jan22 (ginter jr)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
SHERIFF BIANCO Sep21 Sep15 Aug11 Jul16 Jul01 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ACCRETIVE Sep02 Jul22 Aug27 Jul31 Jun26 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 10% 9.00    
HIGH OAK Aug26 Jul29 Jun09 May06 Mar30 (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
CODY'S WISH Aug05 Jun10 May06 Nov05 Aug27 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 0.20 66% 0.50    
 
BAQ-4   10/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAZADERO Sep21 Aug23 Jul04 Jun16 Nov05 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50    
1A  BOLD ENDEAVOR Sep21 Aug03 Mar31 Mar03 Jan15 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
FULL SCREEN Aug12 Jul20 Jun04 May07 Nov18 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
OUTLIER Sep15 Aug30 Aug03 Jul16 Jul08 (ginter jr)ACOSTA D 124 8.00    
BOURBON CALLING Aug18 Jul16 Jun17 May05 Mar19 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 126 6.00    
ANTIGRAVITY Aug13 Jul22 Jun17 Apr02 Mar04 (ward dan)RIVERA R 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWIFTSURE Sep04 Aug13 Jul09 Nov06 Sep30 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
GUNTOWN Sep02 Aug13 Aug03 May13 Apr22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 8% 11.10    
 
BAQ-5   10/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC13 FAST Gallant Bloom Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARAMEL SWIRL Aug26 Jun17 May14 Feb11 Aug28 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.00 44% 1.30    
STERLING SILVER Aug26 Jul29 Jun25 May29 Apr22 (albertrani tho)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
UNDERVALUED ASSET Aug25 Jul22 May05 Mar04 Feb04 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
BEGUINE Jul29 Jun17 May20 Dec10 Nov13 (allard t)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
REMAIN ANONYMOUS Aug21 Nov23 Sep25 Aug22 Jul15 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00    
HEADLAND Aug25 Jul21 Jun23 May29 Apr21 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/01/2023 7920ft DIRT RC14 GOOD Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND SONATA Aug24 Jul30 Dec26 Nov19 Oct22 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 126 30.00    
SOLDIER RISING (GB) Aug26 Jul30 Jun10 May13 Nov26 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 126 5.00    
STONE AGE (IRE) Aug26 Nov05 Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 6.00 6% 15.10    
ADHAMO (IRE) Aug12 Oct08 Aug27 Jul23 Jun11 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 10.00 12% 7.40    
REBEL'S ROMANCE (IRE) Jul30 Nov05       (appleby charl)BUICK T 126 1.80 29% 2.40    
WAR LIKE GODDESS Aug03 Jun09 Apr28 Nov05 Oct08 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
SO HIGH (GB) Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 50.00    
PIONEERING SPIRIT Sep04 Aug26 Jul27 Jun24 Jun04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 10.00    
ASTRONAUT Mar04 Nov26 Oct08 Sep03   (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 126 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/01/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Woodward Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGE IT Aug05 Jul08 Jun10 Apr22 Mar04 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
LAW PROFESSOR May19 Apr01 Feb18 Jan07 Nov05 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALGIERS (IRE)         (crisford simo)BUICK T 124 6.00    
ZANDON Aug05 Jun10 May05 Dec03 Sep24 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
PIPELINE Aug26 Aug03 Nov05 Aug27 Jul23 (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
COSTA TERRA Aug18 Aug09 Jul21 Jul01 May13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00    
SCR  UN OJO Sep10 Aug02 Jan19 Dec31 Apr02 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 30.00    
TYSON (SAF) Sep02 Jul29 Jul01 Jun04 May06 (carroll josie)CASTELLANO J 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
O'CONNOR (CHI) Aug25 Aug06 Apr01 Jan28 Dec31 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
10  FILM STAR Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 12.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENSON Aug19 Jul14       (david a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BE THE BOSS Sep04 Aug05 Jul04 Jun09 May21 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00    
SCR  RALLY SQUIRREL Sep03 Aug18 Jun15 May24 Apr26 (goberdhan cha)MARTINEZ R 122 30.00    
LOCKE AND KEY Aug31 Aug17 Jul07 Jun02 May06 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 6% 16.30    
TWO FOR CHARGING Aug05 May29 Apr22 Jul28 May29 (abreu jorge )RIVERA R 119 10.00    
ALWAYS CHARMING Sep04 Jul15 Jun17 May12 Apr01 (klesaris robe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
CALLALOO Sep04 Mar24 Mar04 Feb18 Jan19 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00    
QUICK TO ACCUSE Aug05 Dec03 Oct30 Oct07 Aug26 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 10% 9.30    
ROCKET AND ROLL Aug27 Jan14 Dec16 Nov05   (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 54% 0.90    
 
BAQ-9   10/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOUSEFLY (IRE) Sep02         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  STEEL LUTE Aug20         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50    
SCR  DANCING DEAN Sep03         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
CLASSIC CARA         (friedman mitchell)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
VINO ROUGE Aug13         (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  NOT TONIGHT JOE         (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  SPENDALOT         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
SCR  LUCEVAN LA STELLE         (albertrani tho)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00    
SCR  MAGIC EIGHT BALL Aug13 Jun02       (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
SCR  CHANNEL LOOP         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  SCANDALOUS (GB)         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
12  DAY AWAY Aug31 Aug13       (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
13  SENSING FLATTER Sep03         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  VILLI OLENTO Sep16 Aug30 Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
15  MATURITY DATE Aug18         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
16  PARADISE LANE Aug31         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.00 31% 2.30    
 
BAQ-10   10/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISRUPTION Aug23 Jul09 Dec04 Oct30 Sep22 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
SCR  LADY JASMINE Aug12 Jul27 Jul15 Jun25 May29 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
SCR  STELLA MARS Sep14 Aug12 Jul09 Jun18 Apr28 (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00    
SWEETNESS Nov04         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
CAN'T FOOL ME Sep03 Aug06 Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  FROM HELLO Aug20 Jul15 Jun11 May12 Apr21 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
SCR  RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA Aug31 Jul04 Jun21 Mar30 Feb24 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00    
SAIL WITH THE WIND Aug27 Jul29       (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AUTUMN GLORY Jul02 May14       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50    
10  SARATOGA KISSES Aug28 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 May22 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 124 30.00    
11  DREAM ROAD Sep02 Aug19 May06 Mar24 Nov26 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
SCR  SMOKIE EYES Sep04 Aug16 May29 May04 Nov27 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
13  SWEETEST PRINCESS Sep04 Aug11 Jul15 May29 Apr08 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 115 12.00    
SCR  SNOWY EVENING Sep04 Aug16 Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
SCR  CRIMSON PRINCESS Sep04 Feb01 Jan04 Nov13 Oct05 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
16  DASHING DELLA Sep14 Jul30 Jun23 May29 May04 (arenas marce)RIVERA R 113 8.00    
 
BAQ-11   10/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 5:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK ON BELLE         (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 114 8.00    
1A  WISE CONVERSATION Sep01 Jul09       (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 114 8.00 6% 16.60    
NECESSARYANDPROPER         (dutrow richar)MARTINEZ R 119 12.00 6% 14.60    
SONG OF SOLOMINI         (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  MASTERY'S SECRET Sep15 Aug24       (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 112 20.00    
POSEIDON'S MIST Sep01 Jul27       (david carl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50    
MISS OMAHA Aug25 Jul09       (orseno f)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
ALLEY'S SONG         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  DANCING LIANA         (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
PERFECTLY MPERFECT Sep01         (sisterson jack)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00    
10  SOL EMPERATRIZ         (d'angelo fr)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.