Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - April 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/8/5/3)-(2/8/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/8)-(2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/8)-(2)-(2/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/6/5/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2)-(2/1/8) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2)-(2/1/8)-(4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/8)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8)-(4/1)-(3/5/7/9/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(3/5/7/9/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(3/5/7/9/2)-(2/3/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/5/7/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/9/2)-(3/5/7/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/9/2)-(3/5/7/9/2)-(3/5/7/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/7/9/2)-(2/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/9/2)-(2/3/4)-(3/2/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-6   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(3/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(3/2/7)-(10/8/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(10/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (10/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/8/2)-(10/8/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/8/2)-(10/8/2/1/6)-(10/8/2/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAIGHT TO GO Mar01 Feb14 Jan30 Nov09 Oct10 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00    
2  SAUNTER         (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 63% 0.60    
3  THEYCALLMELEE Mar21 Feb15 Jan16 Nov04 Sep28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 15.00 ★    
4  BANNED FROM MIDWAY Mar04 Sep19 Aug26 Jul21 Jul08 (caramori eduar)DIAZ I 126 4.50    
5  SOULSTONE Mar08 Feb22 Feb06 Jan09 Dec15 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 3.00 ★    
6  PACKIN Mar21 Feb14 Jan12 Dec28 Nov16 (norr)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 20.00    
SCR  SUPER GEUSE Mar01 Jan31 Sep28 Sep14 Feb11 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 8.00    
8  NOGRATZ Mar08 Aug26 Aug11 Jul22 Jul03 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 3.50 12% 7.30    
 
MVR-2   04/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REYS PINA COLADA Mar08 Feb16 Jan18 Dec12 Nov23 (lopez a)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
1A  LATE DATE Mar02 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 Nov08 (lopez carlos )BRACHO A 124 6.00 ★    
2  EXPRESS FASHION Mar20 Dec30 Dec03 Nov15 Oct06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 117 1.20    
2B  LEMON MOUSSE Mar20 Mar02 Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 (gorham m)DIAZ R 117 1.20 74% 0.40    
3  GIMME CLEARANCE Mar02 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 Nov21 (silv)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 15.00    
4  STARLITESLEW Mar20 Oct25 Sep26 Sep14 Aug30 (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 15.00    
5  BETTER HALF Nov30 Oct29 Sep29 Aug15   (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 ★    
6  BEAUTIFUL LASS Mar20 Mar02 Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   04/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Mar21 Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 Aug29 (flores israel)CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
2  ONE FOR THE MONEY Mar21 Mar06 Feb16 Aug15 Jun16 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by STRONG CONTENDER out of MAUX MONEY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
3  BUDDHA BOY Mar23 Feb22 Jan12 Dec24 Nov26 (londono odin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of GO FORWARD by STEVWARD)
4  CONNECT ME Mar23 Mar11 Feb24 Feb03 Jan05 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 ★    
  (by CONNECT out of LET'SLEAVEITATTHAT by BODEMEISTER)
5  SCREAMING JEREMY Mar02 Feb14       (poole c)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
  (by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
SCR  WISEACRE Feb15 Jan27       (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of HARLINGTON'S ROSE by HARLINGTON)
7  TIMESATAPPIN Mar22 Mar01       (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 8.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of TIME GIVEN by POINT GIVEN)
8  WAITES KINGDOM Mar21 Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00 9% 10.40    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of CONQUEST SUMMERFUN by SUMMER BIRD)
9  NAPA DUDE Mar22 Mar01 Feb01 Jan12 Dec18 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 20.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of HARBIN by GONE WEST)
 
MVR-4   04/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEEDY FIRE Mar27 Mar13 Jan24 Jan02 Dec07 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 3.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  DREAM MUSIC Oct04 Sep14 Sep07 Aug04 Jul28 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 3.50 ★    
2  CURIOSITY KILLS Mar13 Feb22 Feb07 Jan09 Dec07 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 ★    
3  LELAWALA Mar23 Mar13 Feb20 Jan19 Jan22 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 ★    
4  LUCKY CAT TOO Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 Jan27 Dec01 (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
5  GREGS POSSE Feb27 Feb01 Jan02 Nov28 Nov18 (po)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
6  SCARRAZANO Jan19 Dec29 Dec08 Nov21 Nov02 (bracho jr)REYES FRANK 124 8.00    
7  FIONA Feb20 Jan05 Dec15 Nov16 Oct17 (erdel john)RIVERA R 124 12.00    
 
MVR-5   04/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIEND Mar09 Jan25 Dec30 Dec09 Nov25 (hernandez jav)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
2  UNCAPTURED FAITH Mar23 Mar09 Feb20 Jan24 Dec14 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHRIMPIE Mar18 Feb25 Feb09 Jan12 Dec28 (smith larry)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  GRAN CHEMIN Mar18 Feb25 Feb01 Oct24 Sep23 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 8.00    
5  MISS MATCHMAKER Feb23 Feb01 Jan05 Dec02 Oct24 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
6  ENDLESS Mar18 Oct06 Sep07 Aug17 Jun08 (adams l)HESS SARA 119 6.00    
7  SOPHISTICATED Feb08 Jan06 Dec22 Dec03 Nov02 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 5.00 9% 10.80    
8  PLAYFUL SUMMER Mar09 Feb20 Jan05 Dec14 Nov08 (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00    
9  UNESCORTED Mar23 Feb07 Jan23 Jan02 Dec07 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 117 10.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  IRON BERTIE Mar23 Mar01 Feb14 Jan30 Jan12 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   04/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROP ANCHOR Mar24 Feb04 Jan19 Jan06 Dec17 (adams l)BRACHO A 124 6.00 ★    
2  KILLER BEE Mar17 Mar04 Jan19 Nov15 Oct11 (smith larry)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  ALFIO Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 Jan19 Dec09 (thornbury jef)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
4  FISHING FOR FUN Mar15 Feb09 Jan25 Dec29 Dec09 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 12% 7.20    
5  ONE LUCKY DAY Mar24 Mar04 Jan21 Dec30 Sep07 (hernandez rey)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50    
6  ON SPOT Feb07 Dec09 Nov12 Oct26 Oct19 (tumblin andr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
7  FATHER PATRICK Feb24 Feb11 Nov27 Nov06 Oct05 (hernandez javi)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   04/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLONDE BY NATURE Mar28 Dec06 Nov19 Oct25 Aug01 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
2  WINDY LU WHO Mar14 Feb06 Jan18 Dec28 Nov28 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
3  SALLY STRONG Aug13 Jul15 Jun08 May12   (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
4  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR Feb20 Oct13 Sep18 Aug08 Jul09 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.50 ★    
5  BLAZING ZENNA Mar14 Feb06 Dec19 Nov09 Oct04 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
6  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Mar14 Feb06 Jan10 Dec30 Nov30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
7  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Mar17 Mar04 Jan28 Jan10 Dec18 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 15% 5.80    
8  LIEUTENANT KITTY Dec29 Nov22 Nov15 Oct31 Oct19 (hernandez jav)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
 
MVR-8   04/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS BRIGHTSIDE Mar18 Feb09 Jan20 Dec28   (estvank)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 ★    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MORGANITE by GEMOLOGIST)
2  DONNARUMMA Feb20 Jan12 Dec21 Nov28 Nov07 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BUBBLES AND BABIES by A.P. INDY)
3  CANDYMONIUM Feb20 Aug14 Jul15     (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 126 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of BROWN EYED MARY by PULPIT)
4  TATHBEET Feb25 May26       (leit)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 126 8.00    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of TAKREES by DAAHER)
5  TWELVE SHARP Mar15 Feb08 Jan05 Nov10 Oct01 (alamo miguel)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of EUPHORIA by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
6  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Mar08 Feb10 Feb01 Jan13 Jan01 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 ★    
  (by TAPITURE out of HELLO GYPSY by QUIET AMERICAN)
7  KISS IT GOODBYE Feb22 Jan11 Dec11     (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of LOOKOUT LADY by SMART STRIKE)
8  SAIDAR         (waltz brian)BRACHO A 126 6.00 25% 3.10    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of AES SEDAI by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  I'VE BEEN THINKIN Nov23         (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SOFT KISS by BERNARDINI)
10  MIDNIGHTMAKESSENSE May19 Mar16       (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 126 4.50 49% 1.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MIDNIGHT VISIT by HENNY HUGHES)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.