Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Wednesday - December 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   12/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMING ALWAYS Nov02 Sep22       (grubbs l)FELIX E 119 3.50 7% 14.30    
2  UNDER THE BED Oct16         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00    
3  YOU'RE A DANDY Nov06 May27 May20 Apr29 Apr08 (jazdzewski jo)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
4  CAUGHTINMYWEB         (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 6% 15.30    
5  PRANA Nov10         (hiles j)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
6  MORIARTY Nov20 Oct21 Sep27 Aug23 Aug14 (bogle fergus)LEZCANO ABEL 119 8.00 ★    
7  ELLIE DELI Oct06 Sep14 Jun22     (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
8  GRANDPAPPY'S DREAM Nov07 Oct12       (reed r)MCKEE J 119 8.00    
9  CHARACTER COUNTS Oct05 Sep07 Aug06     (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00    
SCR  INSIDE GIRL Nov12         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
TP-2   12/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WE THANK YOU Nov11 Oct04 Sep23 Sep01 Aug19 (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00    
2  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 Aug31 Aug09 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 118 3.00 31% 2.30    
3  BOURBON TRAFFIC Nov17         (galindo-)RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00 16% 5.40    
4  CONGRATS FOR GLORY Oct04 Aug16 Jul26 May31 May07 (short thomas)RAMOS D 120 15.00    
5  EYEOFTHEBEHOLDER Nov10 Sep22 Sep09 Aug09 Jul19 (jazdzewski jo)CANNON DECLAN 115 30.00    
6  FROOME (IRE) Sep20 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jun18 (adams l)MUSARRO JOE 118 10.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  HOLY CROSS Nov11 Oct04 Sep22 Sep12 Aug30 (galindo-to)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50    
8  TRIPLE CHROME Nov26 Oct23 Oct02 Aug12 Jul23 (vanden britt)FELIX E 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
9  FOMO Oct21 Sep18 Aug25 Aug07 Jun26 (hendriks mcl)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00    
10  BRONZE BEAST Nov11 Oct02 Sep16 Jun11 May22 (rouck l)ROCCO S 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  SONGWRITER Oct20 Oct02 Aug31 Jul26 Jun14 (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
 
TP-3   12/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONE STORMY LADY Oct04 Aug28 Apr29 Apr10   (hancock j)BERMUDEZ E 122 10.00    
2  GLO GIRL GLO Oct11 Sep07 Aug10 Jul19   (sherman alan)GILLIGAN JACK 122 10.00    
3  CAPTIVE STAR Sep18         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 8.00 ★    
4  CONNELMAURA Oct26 Sep22       (walsh bren)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00    
5  PINK ROBE Nov02         (short ricky )RAMOS D 122 20.00    
6  PINKY TUSCADERO         (hill f)LEBRON VICTOR 122 15.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  GRACIE MANSION         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
8  XTRASAUCEWELLDONE Nov11 Oct21 Jul16     (nihei miche)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 122 12.00    
9  JEFF'S JOY Oct21 Sep27 Aug26 Jul31   (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00    
10  RALLYING HEART Nov10         (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
11  SATIS         (hansen sc)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 20.00 8% 12.20    
12  GOSHEN Nov03 Sep15       (murphy conor)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  MARTZ CREEK MUSIC Nov17 Nov10 Oct31 Oct05   (platt noah)HISBY RONALD 122 30.00    
 
TP-4   12/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICK IT CHARLIE Oct10 Sep20 Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 (raines lindse)CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00    
2  BARSTOW Nov16 Nov03 Sep25 Sep15 Aug31 (garcia )DE CRUZ 118 5.00    
3  NOT SO EASY Oct18 Oct03 Sep15 Aug24 Feb23 (girten tim)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 5.00 15% 5.60    
4  RAL COPPERHEADROAD Nov03 Oct05 Sep12 Jul13 Jun28 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 121 50.00    
5  SNAKE BITE Jul20 Jun30 Mar19 Feb24 Feb10 (cowans wi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  AUTHORITARIAN Sep20 Aug09 Jul20 Jun17 May31 (vosler eugene)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00    
7  MIGHTY CRAIC Oct19 Oct05 Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 (deegan joseph)GILLIGAN JACK 118 15.00 8% 11.20    
8  CHIEF HOWCOME Nov09 Sep30 Aug31 Aug16 May14 (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 ★    
9  FARZIN Oct24 Sep30 Sep13 Aug26 Aug04 (sandy s)MCKEE J 121 30.00    
10  GOOD FIRST Nov16 Oct19 Sep27 Jul29 Jun11 (anderson l)FELIX E 121 10.00    
11  RAULITO Oct24 Sep23 Sep16 Sep01 Aug12 (adams l)MUSARRO JOE 121 50.00    
12  LINK TO DESTINY Sep20         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  GOT LOST Nov02 Oct17 Sep27 Sep01 Aug18 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 121 10.00    
SCR  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Nov22 Nov08 Oct19 Oct04 Sep27 (howard john )RAMOS D 121 8.00    
 
TP-5   12/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANAGED MISCHIEF Nov10         (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 119 12.00    
2  LADAN Nov17 Nov10 Oct20 Sep24 Jul31 (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
3  WICKED FROST Oct26 Sep14 Aug10     (greenhill je)HALDAR J 119 30.00    
4  MISCHIEVOUS DOLL Nov02         (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOMENT TO SHINE Nov16         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 35% 1.80    
6  HAPPY HELEN         (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
7  GIVING SPIRIT Oct05 Sep07 Aug03     (stidham michae)ROCCO S 119 10.00    
8  HAPPYSECRET Nov10 Oct12 Sep24     (wohlers laur)RAMOS D 119 4.00 6% 14.50    
9  LILIESFORMILLIE Oct22         (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00    
10  ELEGANCE         (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00    
11  MISS LIZZY         (mora leandro)LEZCANO ABEL 119 20.00    
12  PIDEME OTRA         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 112 3.50 9% 10.20    
SCR  DIAMOND CLUSTER         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  STORY CHANNEL Nov16         (pinzon mari)CHIRINOS ROIMES 119 50.00    
 
TP-6   12/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASETA Nov05 Oct20 Sep05 Aug07 Jun24 (morey william )LEZCANO ABEL 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  WEAPON Nov15 Oct27 Sep28 Sep22 Sep12 (alessi james)FELIX E 121 30.00    
3  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA Oct26 Aug17 Jul24 Jun01 May19 (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 118 10.00    
4  DOWN TO BIZZNESS Nov03 Oct07 Sep22 Sep07 Aug17 (waltermire bru)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
5  CASPER JUSTICE Nov22 Nov03 Oct20 Sep22 Aug30 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 118 15.00    
6  SARGEANT BARGER Nov17 Nov03 Sep22 Sep12 Sep01 (danner doug)CANUTO THIAGO 118 10.00    
7  LIBERTY BLUE Oct25 Oct07 Sep21 Sep07 Jul27 (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00    
8  OFFICIAL BUSINESS Nov10 Oct16 Sep01 Jul23 May22 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 5.00    
9  BEOCCA Sep28 Sep12 Aug19     (minnock way)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 10.00    
SCR  LAGERFELDT Sep23 Sep05 Aug10 Jul13 Jun25 (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 118 10.00    
11  WIMOWEH Oct27 Oct06       (gorostieta )MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 6.00 6% 15.60    
12  LAND REMEMBERED Sep12 Aug22 Jul29     (cannon steve)OUZTS W 118 8.00 11% 8.50    
13  ROUNDER Nov15 Oct26 Sep15 Aug31 Aug09 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HARD RYE GUY Nov05 Oct07 Aug25 Jun30 Apr24 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
TP-7   12/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI BELLE Oct17 Oct07 May27 Apr24 Mar12 (rodrigu)DE CRUZ 118 10.00    
2  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT Nov15 Oct28 Aug19 Jul27 Jun16 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 118 12.00    
3  SENSITIVITY Oct14 Apr02 Feb27     (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  ELUSIVE JUSTICE Nov14 Oct29 Oct19 Oct12 Sep19 (davis d)SANJUR SANTO 121 50.00    
5  BIRTHDAY TIME (GER) Nov04 Sep22 Aug19 Jul28 Jun04 (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00    
6  TWILA MAE Oct26 Oct11 Sep29 Sep06 Aug17 (girten ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  CRYSTAL SHIP Oct23 Oct05 Sep22 Aug30 Aug08 (danner doug)CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 4.00 ★    
8  TWO SIXTYONE Oct27 Sep01 Jul09 Jun17 Jun08 (king l)GILLIGAN JACK 121 10.00    
9  IDIOMATIC May06 Apr02       (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50 60% 0.70    
10  MAYBE LATER Oct20 Sep22 Sep01 Aug24 Aug11 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 121 5.00    
11  UNDER ONE SKY Oct27 Sep03 Jul23 May29 Apr27 (kenneally e)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 10.00    
12  PRINCESS NINA Sep22 Aug22 Aug06 Jul23 Jul01 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00    
SCR  ROGUE TOO Oct10 Aug03 Jul01 Jun01 Feb26 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 15.00 ★    
SCR  BERAVINA Nov11 Oct23 Sep17 Jul30 Jul02 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 30.00    
 
TP-8   12/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGERITO Sep07 Aug19 Jul19 May06 Mar25 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 12.00    
2  WHISKEY WEEKEND Oct10 Sep12 Aug25 Aug04   (klopp randy)RAMOS D 121 15.00    
3  MEATLOAF'S CHANCE Sep06 Aug02 May12 May04 Apr04 (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 121 20.00    
4  STORM HERO         (wittek kary)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 20.00    
5  BIG HELLO Nov13 Sep28 Jun22 Apr24   (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 10.00 ★    
6  MEMPHIS PRAYER May07 Apr24 Apr01 Feb25 Jan29 (douaihy michel)AYALA ISAIAS 124 4.00 11% 8.10    
7  FROSTY DREAMS Jul28 May04 Mar31 Mar12 Feb26 (spicer j)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
8  B G LEE Nov13 Oct12 Aug22 Jul27 Jul11 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
9  MID ATLANTIC Oct19 Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 Jul16 (murphy co)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.50 61% 0.60    
10  AMERICAN SILVER Nov13 Oct11 Sep20     (bahena ismael)MILLER CHASE 121 20.00    
11  HESTON Jun02 Apr22 Feb19     (engler jeff)MOJICA JR 121 6.00 ★    
12  PAID TWICE Nov13 Nov02 Oct12 Aug24 Jul24 (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 121 8.00    
SCR  BAD JOKE WOKE FOLK Sep21 Aug19 Aug02 Jun22 May12 (short thomas)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
SCR  OVER CALENDARED Nov17 Sep09 Aug25 Jul16 Jun25 (cline robert)HALDAR J 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.