Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(4/1/5)-(8/6/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(8/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(8/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (8/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/7)-(8/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/7)-(8/6/3/7)-(8/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/4)-(2/7/9/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/4)-(2/7/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/4)-(2/7/9/4)-(6/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/7/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/4)-(2/7/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/4)-(2/7/9/4)-(2/7/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/9/4)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9/4)-(6/3/1)-(10/5/3/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(10/5/3/9/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(10/5/3/9/6)-(1/6/9/3/7) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-7   WIN (10/5/3/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/3/9/6)-(10/5/3/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/3/9/6)-(10/5/3/9/6)-(10/5/3/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/3/9/6)-(1/6/9/3/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/6/9/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/9/3/7)-(1/6/9/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/9/3/7)-(1/6/9/3/7)-(1/6/9/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Dec23 Dec03 Nov14 Oct24 Oct08 (huffman )MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
2  EXONERATED PREZ Dec05 Nov05 Oct21 Aug29 Jul30 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
3  HAD RIGHT Dec26 Dec05 Nov05 Oct23 Oct10 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 126 3.50    
4  MY MAN VITO Dec26 Dec12 Apr11 Mar20 Mar03 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00    
5  BOSS BEAR Dec03 Nov14 Oct30 Sep19 Aug27 (skerre)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
SCR  TIZ SPEEDY Dec28 Dec08 Nov16 Oct24 Sep18 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
7  HARD ASTRAY Oct29 Oct15 Sep22 Sep11 Aug20 (fletcher jeff)TAPARA LUIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE'S WISH Dec05 Nov11 Sep20 Jul31   (castillo )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CHANNEL REGATTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
2  ATHENA'S GHOST Dec26         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 126 20.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of MONETARY DREAMER by WOKE UP DREAMIN)
3  MISS LITTLE BIT Dec05 Nov25 Oct30 Sep30 Sep09 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 5.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HIP NINETY THREE by HARLINGTON)
4  STARCOURT Dec27 Nov28 Oct31 Sep27 Aug25 (roberson denni)DIAZ I 126 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by ENTICED out of TWISTED DECISION by OLD FASHIONED)
5  GRAN ROXY         (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 20.00 18% 4.50    
  (by GIRVIN out of GRAN LETIZIA by BROKEN VOW)
6  PRINCESS OPAL Dec26 Nov02 Sep26 Aug29 Jul21 (casalinova tina)VEGA L 126 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of MAMA JOYCE by FIRST DUDE)
SCR  OUR AMERICAN GIRL Sep13 Aug30 Aug02     (peach chadwi)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SILVER LANTANA by BADGE OF SILVER)
 
MVR-3   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMERICAN CAUSE Dec21 Nov20 Nov02     (clay pat)STOKES J 126 15.00    
2  GAISGEACH Nov18 Nov05 Sep24 Sep26 Sep08 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
3  JEDI'S WAY Dec23 Nov29 Nov20 Sep28 Sep13 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 10% 8.90    
4  TWICE SHY Dec08 Nov25 Apr01 Mar04   (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 15.00    
5  DIXIE MAN Dec02 Nov19 Oct23 Oct03 Sep05 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
6  SAILINGTHEISLANDS Nov20 Nov05 Oct07 Sep17 Aug27 (mahan p)DIAZ I 126 1.60 21% 3.70    
7  KLIMTSTER Jan06 Dec23 Dec04 Oct28 Oct08 (aguirre juan)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  THISISRIDICULOUS Dec23 Dec11 Nov20 Jun07 May25 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 126 2.50 49% 1.10    
9  COWBOY LUKE Dec20 Nov27 Nov04 Oct21 Sep22 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 126 8.00    
 
MVR-4   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD TO STARDOM Dec28 Dec01 Nov19 Oct27 Oct08 (inirio carlo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
2  TAPSOLUTION Dec26 Dec10 Nov17 Oct24 Oct07 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50    
3  SCRATCHOFF Dec02 Oct23 Sep25 Sep15 Aug19 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 12.00 12% 7.20    
4  IRISH UNITY Dec10 Nov26 Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 8.00 6% 16.10    
5  HOLY SAINT Dec30 Nov18 Oct23 Mar20 Sep07 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 126 1.60 47% 1.10    
6  BIG ROWDY DAN Dec11 Nov20 Oct19 Sep24 Jun08 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
7  MAKING ME CRAZY Dec28 Dec11 Nov26 Oct19 Sep19 (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   01/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT OF AKRON Jan08 Dec05 Nov13 Oct26 Oct03 (ba)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
2  COWTOWN BOSS Dec30 Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 May06 (donjuan serg)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  VISUAL MISSION Dec16 Nov11 Nov02 Oct03 Sep10 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 6.00    
4  STUNT MAN Dec18 Dec05 Nov18 Oct10 Sep26 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JOSH'N Oct30 Sep25 Sep07 Aug01 Jul25 (norris stephani)STOKES J 124 20.00    
6  PRIVATE DRIVE Jan08 Dec05 Nov02 Sep25 Sep10 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
7  OAKEN Dec19 Nov19 Oct30 Sep25 Aug30 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 23% 3.40    
8  BUCKEYE RED Dec19 Oct30 Sep26 Apr02 Mar06 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00    
9  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Dec30 Dec05 Nov02 Oct02 Sep17 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Mar11 Feb21 Jan02 Dec12 Nov20 (romero)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
 
MVR-6   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY LES Nov11 Oct30 Aug19 Aug07 Jul11 (castro raq)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM Dec28 Mar29 Mar08 Jan17 Dec13 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 15.00    
3  INSIDE STUNT Dec30 Dec02 Nov11 Oct30 Sep24 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 4.00 35% 1.90    
4  EDDIE M Dec28 Dec01 Nov16 Oct12 Sep12 (reid davi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 15.00    
SCR  MOREAU Nov19 Nov05 Sep26 Sep09 Aug19 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 2.00    
6  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Nov13 Oct30 Sep08 Aug26 Jul03 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60 44% 1.30    
7  GAMBOLING GHOST Aug21 Aug09 Jul18     (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00    
 
MVR-7   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KINDERHOOK Dec17 Nov06 Oct11 Jun18 May15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60    
2  CRAFTED Dec02 Aug16 Jul31 Jul06 Jun09 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50    
3  MEDIA DARLING Dec17 Apr29 Apr01 Feb28 Sep25 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 15.00 15% 5.70    
4  CLEVELAND POWER Oct29 Oct01 Sep14 Aug30 Aug09 (romero a)TAPARA LUIS 124 20.00    
5  INTO GOLD Dec17 Oct07 Sep03 Aug21 Jul29 (rone pen)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 22% 3.60    
6  K KID Dec17 Dec02 Nov14 Oct07 Sep03 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  RED CHILI PEPPER Dec02 Nov14 Oct01 Sep12 Aug26 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 10.00    
8  RUN RED RUN Sep28 Sep16 Aug26 Aug01 Jul23 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
9  LUST FOR LIFE Dec09 Nov06 Sep04 Dec21 Nov30 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 13% 6.70    
10  BOLD BUCKEYE Dec02 Nov06 Oct08 Sep19 Aug28 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 6.00 29% 2.50    
 
MVR-8   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VDAYTOTHETENACIOUS Nov23 Oct05       (romans dale)BRACHO A 126 1.40 28% 2.60    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BATTALEYS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  LEGENDARY STAR Dec11 Oct28 Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 (lopez jacint)MEJIAS RICARDO 126 20.00    
  (by MOBIL out of GIRLIANO by PAULIANO)
3  GREAT REVELATION Dec05 Jul14 Jun29     (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 20.00 7% 13.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of SENSATIONAL CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
4  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL Dec11 Nov14 Oct28 Sep24 Aug20 (radosevich jef)DIAZ I 126 2.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SMOOTH PERFORMER by BENCHMARK)
5  A VAN ON THE RUN Dec11 Oct23 Oct01 Aug29 Jul02 (huffman ca)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
6  HARBOUR BRIDGE Dec11 Nov12 Oct22 Sep23 Aug26 (hetrick krist)CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00 24% 3.20    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TIGER MOTH by STREET SENSE)
7  DOCS LEGEND         (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of CREATE A LEGEND by MEADOWLAKE)
8  RED IN FRONT Dec07 Nov17 Oct13 Sep01 Jul26 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of SWEEPING FRONT by WAR FRONT)
9  NORTH SHIP Dec11 Nov14 Oct17 Sep24 Aug21 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 126 10.00 12% 7.40    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LARKIN by BERNARDINI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.