Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Friday - November 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1)-(4/7/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (2/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/1)-(4/7/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/1)-(4/7/6/2)-(8/3/4/9/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (4/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/2)-(8/3/4/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/2)-(8/3/4/9/2)-(9/8/2/1/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-4   WIN (8/3/4/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/9/2)-(8/3/4/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/9/2)-(8/3/4/9/2)-(8/3/4/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/4/9/2)-(9/8/2/1/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4/9/2)-(9/8/2/1/10)-(3/2/9/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-5   WIN (9/8/2/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/2/1/10)-(9/8/2/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/2/1/10)-(9/8/2/1/10)-(9/8/2/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/2/1/10)-(3/2/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/2/1/10)-(3/2/9/8)-(9/8/7/3/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-6   WIN (3/2/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/9/8)-(3/2/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/9/8)-(3/2/9/8)-(3/2/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/9/8)-(9/8/7/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/9/8)-(9/8/7/3/4)-(1/5/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (9/8/7/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/7/3/4)-(9/8/7/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/7/3/4)-(9/8/7/3/4)-(9/8/7/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/7/3/4)-(1/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/7/3/4)-(1/5/2/3)-(11/5/8/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (1/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/3)-(11/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (11/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/5/8/3)-(11/5/10/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/5/8/3)-(11/5/10/8/3)-(11/5/10/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   11/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMMY TWO SOCKS Oct12 Aug30 Aug18 Jul18 Jun08 (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
PAXSATIONAL Oct03 Aug02 Jun30 Jul30 Jul15 (barker edward)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00    
CAMM' DUKE Oct04 Aug09 Jul06 Jun06 May12 (ryerso)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
MAGNIFICENT MILE Oct13 Sep14 Aug22 Jul14 Jun28 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 4.00 32% 2.20    
FORWARD MOVE (IRE) Oct12 Sep27 Aug18 Oct06 Aug17 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
SCR  TRUMPTASTIC Sep17 Jun12 May11 Apr17 Mar02 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 5.00    
DILLINGER Oct12 Aug30 Aug07 Jul12 May23 (russell brittan)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.00 45% 1.20    
 
BAQ-2   11/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONORARY DEGREE Oct05 Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 Jul28 (jones e)OTERO AAROM 111 15.00    
1A  BOURBON'S HOPE Oct12 Sep24 Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 (jones eduar)MARTINEZ R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
HATCH (GB) Sep29 Aug29 Jul31 Jun29 Apr11 (dutrow ric)RIVERA R 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
NOLO CONTESTO Oct12 Sep01 Aug15 Jul27 Jun28 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00    
AIR SHOW Oct05 Sep14 Jan12 Dec09 Nov03 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIGH HEAT Sep29 Sep15 Sep02 Jul19 Jun23 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 121 8.00    
SCR  DISCO DEANO Sep24 Aug10 Jul12 Jun12 Mar10 (ferraro anth)COA J 123 4.00    
UNCLE GEORGE Sep24 Aug28 Jun10 May28 May06 (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 8.00 25% 2.90    
BRONX BOMBER Oct18 Sep21 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 (barrera osc)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 30.00    
SUPER CHIEF Oct18 Oct05 Sep14 Aug18 Jul31 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 123 4.00    
 
BAQ-3   11/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DASHING DELLA Oct18 Aug10 Jul17 Jun27 Jan19 (arenas marcelo)OTERO AAROM 110 20.00    
AMY'S LIGHT Oct17 Sep20 Jul17 Jul07 Jun20 (pringle )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAROL T Sep19 Aug02 Jul07 Jun09 May11 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
DARN THAT SONG Oct09 Sep17 Sep04 Aug13 Jul17 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 1.60 35% 1.90    
CAPITAL GAL Jul22 Jul07 Jun15 May14 Apr28 (abreu jorg)RIVERA R 122 8.00    
FIRST CLASS CAT Sep19 Jul18 Jun30 Jun20 May24 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
MYBRONXBABY Oct14 Sep19 Aug23 Jul17 Jun18 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
BAQ-4   11/01/2024 5940ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOOKY LADY Oct13 Sep13 Aug22 Jul24 Jun28 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
MAINSTREAM SELLOUT Oct26 Sep05 Aug13 Jul18 Jun20 (saville nia)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
SETTLING STORM Oct04 Aug24 Jul25 May29 Jan14 (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 25% 2.90    
PALLOTTA SISTERS Sep02 Jul25 May29 Apr26 Feb10 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 123 3.50 9% 10.20    
MISS BONNIE T Oct03 Sep22 Aug04 Jun20 May09 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00    
SCR  BANANA SPLIT Oct12 Sep20 Sep06 Jul25 Jun21 (jones micha)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 30.00    
LADY LAOBAN Oct13 Sep14 Jul05 Jun08 Nov17 (duggan p)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
NEXT ON STAGE Oct04 Sep02 Jul25 Jun15 May16 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
KOBE'S SMILE Oct12 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Oct13 (boniface)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  DREAM CENTRAL Oct13 Aug08 May24 Nov09 Oct19 (sharp joe)RIVERA R 121 8.00    
11  WISH LIST Sep22 Aug16 Jun15 May25 Apr20 (terranova )RIVERA R 123 6.00    
SCR  BOBBY JEAN Oct20 Sep19 Aug16 Jul17 Aug10 (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   11/01/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE CERVERE         (clement )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 5% 18.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PANTHER STRIKE by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
1A  VESPERA Oct13 Sep15       (clemen)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 6.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of ANYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
BEMBRIDGE LEDGE Oct06 Sep01       (maker j)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00 11% 8.10    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ROCKY HEADLAND by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BOSSY PANTS Sep19 Jul14 Jun14     (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUEEN MUM by PAYNTER)
MIDNIGHTLOVEAFFAIR         (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of HURRICANE KITTEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  VEHEMENTE Aug22 Jul17       (sharp j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 10.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of RESOUNDINGLY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
PANACHE Sep19 Jul21 Jun21     (devaux cherie)SERPA ANGEL 119 5.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MOJO MAMA by TAPITURE)
MIA VITA Sep15         (dutrow ric)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of INTANGAROO by ORIENTATE (GB))
PRETTY LIZA Oct03 Aug28       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 27% 2.70    
  (by KANTHAROS out of AMURMAR by GALILEO (ARG))
TAM I AM Oct03 Aug31       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of BELLA AURORA by CARPE DIEM (FR))
10  SO DARN PRETTY (IRE) Oct03         (russell b)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO DARN HOT out of ZONDAQ by BERNARDINI)
11  CONTRACT LAW Oct03         (bartkowski lis)ADORNO ABNER 119 30.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of MISS MYSTIQUE by TEUFLESBERG)
SCR  AERIALIST         (reynolds patrick )RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of STARSHIP GUSSIE by HIGH COTTON)
 
BAQ-6   11/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPPY'S PRIDE Oct19 Aug28 Aug10 Jul13 Jun23 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 121 6.00    
SCR  CHARGING AERO Oct12 Aug29 Aug11 Aug01 Jul12 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 125 6.00    
MISTER J T Oct19 Sep14 Aug22 Aug11 Jun16 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50 29% 2.40    
POMPOUS PRINCE Sep23 Aug25 Aug01 Jul09 Jun05 (ferraro anth)COA J 125 8.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  CEES GET DEGREES Oct19 Aug28 Jul21 May09 Mar29 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
SCR  TALKIN PHAROAH Aug21 Jul08 May22 Mar22 Mar07 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 123 3.50    
COLD AS HELL Oct19 Aug28 Aug10 Jul12 Jun06 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
PIPES AND DRUMS Oct19 Sep14 Aug08 Jun29 May31 (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
FIERY HEART Sep21 Jul08 Jun11 Nov14 Oct09 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
DOT'S DOLLAR Sep27 Aug10 Jul25 Jun23 May05 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.50 12% 7.60    
 
BAQ-7   11/01/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA Oct06 Aug25 Jul07 May24 Mar09 (bartkowsk)LEPAROUX R 123 6.00    
BARRAGE Oct06 Aug31 Jun16 May11 Nov18 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.50    
SAMBURU (GB) Oct06 Aug31 Jul13 Jun16 May27 (maker mich)RIVERA R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
DANCING RINCA Sep27 Aug31 Jul20 Jun16 Sep09 (drysdale neil)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SECURED LANDING Sep02 Jun18 May27 Apr01 Feb02 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 118 20.00    
HUNT BALL (IRE) Aug23 Jul13 Jun07 Apr12 Mar09 (mott wil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
BRING ME A CHECK Oct06 Aug30 Aug03 Jul13 Jun07 (maker j)DAVIS KATIE 121 4.00 15% 5.70    
RAMBLIN' WRECK Oct06 Aug31 Jul13 Jun16 Oct28 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
SPIRIT PRINCE Oct06 Aug24 Jul08 Jun07 Nov19 (clement chris)SILVERA RUBEN 118 5.00 30% 2.30    
 
BAQ-8   11/01/2024 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM Atlantic Beach Purse ($135K) 2 ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER SWIFT Sep29         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
  (by VEKOMA out of SUPER MARINA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
GHOSTLY ROSE Sep28 Sep07 Aug03 Jun21   (gonzalez javier)SERPA ANGEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of LET RIGHT BE DONE by WAR FRONT)
JOEY MUSCLES Oct04 Aug31 Aug10 Jul07 Jun08 (antonu)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of SMOKIN RED HOT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
DUMB MONEY Sep15 Aug25 Jul27     (sacco greg)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of CYCLICAL by MORE THAN READY)
EPITAPH Oct04 Aug25       (contessa c)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of BARB'S ON EDGE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SHOOT THE NICKEL Sep28 Jun06       (devaux adrianne)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of C. S. INCHARGE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
COLONEL BOB Oct05 Aug20       (reid e)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
  (by YORKTON out of HONORVILLE by PETIONVILLE)
WARHEART Oct06 Sep05 Aug17     (brisset r)LEPAROUX R 120 3.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of INSIDE OUT by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  EXECUTIVE ORDER Oct05 Aug31       (bartkowski lisa)RIDER TBA 120 2.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of RED'S ROUND TABLE by CUVEE)
 
BAQ-9   11/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MITOLE'S DIAMOND Oct17 Jun21 Apr26     (shivmangal lo)PANAIJO JORGE 122 50.00    
FORCED ERRORS Oct03 Aug31 Aug02 Jun21   (atras rob)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00    
FIRE BARON Oct25 Oct05 Sep01 Aug07 Jul12 (paragall)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
EL ALACRAN Oct12 Sep26 Sep01 Jun21 Jun02 (morley )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 12.00    
GUILE Sep28 Sep01 Aug07 Jul12 Jun15 (maker mich)RIVERA R 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
DANGEROUS DRIVER Oct05 Aug24 Jul12 Jun06 May12 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 122 12.00    
GET READY TO ROCK Oct05 Sep01 Dec08 Sep22 Sep02 (kimmel j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
SHAKIN THE BELLE Oct03 Sep09 Aug31 Jul24 Jun28 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
NILRUC Sep26         (brown r)LUZZI J 122 10.00    
10  BOLT D'PLATA Oct17 Oct05 Aug04 Jul11 May23 (terran)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00    
11  PRAIRIE DUNES Sep28 Aug24 Aug15 Jun30 Mar27 (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.